THE UE. DOESN'T SEE THE EXIT TO THEIR CRISIS WITH THE APPLIED MEASURES

  

Regrettably I see myself repeating and another time the same thing. It is evident that the UE is outside of the basic foundations of its foundation, it is necessary to solve this reality if we want to find the exit to the crisis of the European economy that he goes affecting one after another to the countries of the UE. And this solution doesn't come like they seek from Brussels applying solely measures of economic type are he already makes more than one month entangled with the Greek situation and yesterday we saw how you begins to outline to modify the commitments of deficit execution on the part of France because otherwise France enters in the fall slope. 

  

It is clear that the situation begins to break the unit (that was never very strong) of the European Union, it is a strange drift that seemingly goes against any mercantile and civil logic. The normal thing puts a sector for example in crisis anyone, it is that before the difficulties of sales or of provisioning’s etc. they spread to be united they contain they believe an association of defense of common interests, never before the global problems the affected parts, what they are gone by the head is to separate, and however the European Union if he takes this road. 

The problem is that now the first part of the disunion, already begins to have a certain entity, and two clear divergences are creating it already begins to have an union of European countries with the same problem that they look for oneself solution, and another part headed by Germany that tells to all the other ones that they are mistaken, and not alone he says it to the countries common to its economic doctrine that is to say to those of the area euro, it is that he also faces the euro sceptic Great Britain, or before the countries that are not part of the euro, in the face of this complex duality wonder because they stay so far away these postures before oneself problem, which of the two theses it is mistaken, or the other way around it benefits the situation of disintegration of forces to who. 

I believe that the solution to the dilemma is clearer from the point of view of to who benefits him that not to try to see it from the point of view of those that it harms them. They will see the thing it is clear and evident that alone with budgetary cuttings you won't leave this recession that we have above, the recessive measures framed in the theory of the reduction of the differential of the budgetary deficit of the countries, they take us hopelessly to but recession, however I don't know because, the European Union doesn't think of an operation for the industrial recovery and of the consumption, I have reached the conclusion that he doesn't think about that, because neither it interests to the same economy that he doesn't neither want the financial solution of unifying the European sovereign debts.   

The reason of this strategy, is that Germany wants to take captive the European market in global, and it will get it in two ways, an already has it, it has gotten that the European countries are believed that there is not solution for the debt, and that they must cohabit with her, that doesn't fit them doubt it means not to grow, because for this road the reductions of national budgets to that the union forces, kill the possibility of productive and social incentives completely, and this takes us to the stagnation. And the same thing that is spending with the production systems in the economic aspect, and therefore of creation of GDP and of employment, at the end of this history, at the end of this plan, alone it was an economic one and an industrial and productive politics of growth the one that Germany directs. 

  

It is not this the European Union that the Europeans accept in their moment, the Europe that we all wanted, is that that would balance all the Europeans, that that he promised that not alone a part would be in progress, while the other ones third two leave they transform into the sub world of the first European world, because if we don't change it somewhere around the things they go.   

I don't want to think in that this situation is really an aggression plan and it conquers, premeditated ahead of time, I want to believe that he has come given by the excessive original dependence from the European Union to the German theses. Be like me, what is certain it is that today is not more remedy than to take one of the two roads that have before, one is we separate all of the constrictive theses of Germany, and we leave to the market to fight for our economic survival with the one it rearms at any cost of the industry and the reactivation, or we conform to and we become the German federal Union.   

Of anything the Spanish reformations, neither those of Greece and Italy will be worth, if these governments are guided from Berlin to know that they have to make, they will continue them giving the same medicine that is making them losing the economic health: to clip, to brake, and to try to be obedient or otherwise, they are left without credit, without ratio of solvency, without structural grants, and with a state of brutal recession.   

LA UE. NO VE LA SALIDA A SU CRISIS CON LAS MEDIDAS APLICADAS

Lamentablemente me veo repitiendo una y otra vez lo mismo. Es evidente que la UE está fuera de los fundamentos básicos de su fundación, hay que resolver esta realidad si queremos encontrar la salida a la crisis de la economía europea que va afectando uno tras otro a los países de la UE. Y esta solución no viene como pretenden desde Bruselas aplicando solamente medidas de tipo económico estamos hace ya más de un mes enredados con la situación griega y ayer vimos cómo se empieza a plantear modificar los compromisos de cumplimiento de déficit por parte de Francia porque de lo contrario Francia entra en la pendiente de caída.

Está claro que la situación empieza a romper la unidad (que nunca fue muy fuerte) de la Unión Europea, es una deriva  extraña, que aparentemente va en contra de cualquier lógica mercantil y civil. Lo normal pongamos por ejemplo un sector en crisis cualquiera, es que ante las dificultades de ventas o de aprovisionamientos etc. tienden a unirse se agrupan crean una asociación de defensa de intereses comunes, nunca ante los problemas globales las partes afectadas, lo que se les pasa por la cabeza es separarse, y sin embargo la Unión Europea si toma este camino.

El problema es que ahora la primera parte de la desunión, ya empieza a tener una cierta entidad, y se están creando dos claras divergencias ya empieza a haber una unión de países europeos con el mismo problema que buscan una misma solución, y otra parte encabezada por Alemania, que les dice a todos los demás que están equivocados, y no solo se lo dice a los países comunes a su doctrina económica es decir a los de la zona euro, es que se enfrenta también a la euro escéptica Gran Bretaña, o ante los países que no forman parte del euro, ante esta compleja dualidad me pregunto porque se mantienen tan alejadas estas posturas ante un mismo problema, cuál de las dos tesis está equivocada, o al revés a quién beneficia la situación de disgregación de fuerzas.

Creo que la solución al dilema está más clara desde el punto de vista de a quien le beneficia, que no intentar verlo desde el punto de vista de los que les perjudica. Verán la cosa es clara y evidente que solo con recortes presupuestarios no se saldrá de esta recesión que tenemos encima, las medidas recesivas enmarcadas en la teoría de la reducción del diferencial del déficit presupuestario de los países, nos llevan irremediablemente a mas recesión, sin embargo no sé porque, la Unión Europea no piensa en una operación para la recuperación industrial y del consumo, he llegado a la conclusión de que no se plantea eso, porque tampoco le interesa a la misma economía que no quiere tampoco la solución financiera de unificar las deudas soberanas europeas.

El porqué de esta estrategia, es que Alemania quiere tomar cautivo el mercado europeo en global, y lo conseguirá de dos formas, una ya la tiene, ha conseguido que los países europeos se crean que no hay solución para la deuda, y que han de convivir con ella, eso no les quepa duda significa no crecer, porque por este camino las reducciones de presupuestos nacionales, a que la unión obliga, matan por completo la posibilidad de incentivos productivos y sociales, y esto nos lleva al estancamiento. Y lo mismo que en el aspecto económico nos está pasando con los sistemas de producción, y por tanto de creación de PIB y de empleo, al final de esta historia, al final de este plan, solo quedara una económica y una política de crecimiento industrial y productiva la que dirige Alemania.

No es esta la Unión Europea que los europeos aceptamos en su momento. la Europa que todos queríamos, es aquella que equilibraría a todos los europeos, aquella que prometía que no solo una parte estaría en marcha, mientras las otras dos terceras partes se convierten en el sub mundo del primer mundo europeo, porque si no lo cambiamos por ahí van las cosas.

No quiero pensar en que esta situación sea realmente un plan de agresión y conquista, premeditado de antemano, quiero creer que ha venido dado por la excesiva dependencia original de la Unión Europea a las tesis alemanas. Sea como sea, lo que es cierto es que hoy no queda más remedio que tomar uno de los dos caminos que tenemos delante, uno es separamos todos de las tesis constrictivas de Alemania, y salimos al mercado a luchar por nuestra supervivencia económica con el rearme de la industria y la reactivación cueste lo que cueste, o nos conformamos y nos convertimos en la Unión federal Alemana.

De nada valdrán las reformas españolas, ni las de Grecia e Italia, si estos gobiernos son guiados desde Berlín para saber que tienen que hacer, les van a seguir dando la misma medicina que les está  haciendo el perder la salud económica: recortar, frenar, y procurar ser obediente o de lo contrario, se quedan sin crédito, sin ratio de solvencia, sin subvenciones estructurales, y con un estado de recesión brutal. 

THERE IS NOT FORM OF HIDING THE DISASTER OF THE LEGISLATURE OF PP

The darkest and anodyne legislature in the history of Spain is ending I am sure nobody will question it because we have lived during these years of Rajoy the worst in our Spain cuttings more real unemployment (we don't pay the official's attention) you rescue bank for the demanders of the magnates supported by the Spanish state in short it is not worthwhile to follow all we know how today we are. 

The most neuter fact and undoubtedly it denotes the reality to that I refer it is that to these heights of 2015, the creation of companies continues without noticing that Spain has left the economic recession. Far from reactive in a solid way, the constitution of mercantile societies accumulates an annual fall of 0,3% between the months of January and September. And it is not this their worst fact, since if the month of September of 2015 it is compared with that of 2014 the setback it is even bigger: in short, in the ninth month of this year 6.444 companies arose, what means 2,8% less than the born ones in same period of 2014. 

They don't finish the results here that they draw a negative tendency as for the Spanish managerial demography. According to the National Institute of Statistic (INE), in so far in year the total capital subscribed by the new companies accumulates a descent of 2,9%. The setback is quite bigger, of 42,9%, if the situation of September of 2015 is compared with that of September of 2014. 

This gives credibility to what told them before the unemployment it really increases because there is not new employment no matter how much he swears him the work ministry they are varying the statistics at hour one works when in way one works when you have been finished the unemployment subsidy and they erase you of the lists of the INEM, and this is made because the unemployment is already thank you a fact consubstantial with the form of life of Spain PP. It lacks fabric and size in the same way, it is negative the comparison of the half volume of the amount subscribed by the new companies. In this case, it diminishes 2,7% of January to September, and 41,3% is clipped if the relationship is exclusively among the two Septembers. 

This lack of vigor in the creation of companies in 2015 it is certified also by the statistics of the General Council of the Notary that even worsen the available ones in the web of the INE. This way, with the last data of the notaries in the hand, the constitution of mercantile societies fell 4,4% yearly in rate last September. For lack of a trimester to close 2015, it seems evident that the atony is the tonic in the birth of companies. The last year was equally plane, although he/she closed with a total of 94.152 new signatures, after having grown a shy 0,8% inter yearly. 

It is certain that to trace a more complete perimeter of the map managerial Spanish it is necessary to also analyze the figure of companies that they are dissolved, and in this case it seems that the correlation is positive. According to the Social security, the number of inscribed companies grew 0,8% last year the. But it is not less certain than to combat the drop venturesome activity in Spain they are necessary fiscal and administrative measured that you/they contribute to strengthen the managerial fabric.  

Recently, the employer organization Cepyme claimed the Government a slope of the Tax of Societies and the elimination of obstacles to the managerial activity, among them, to reduce bureaucratic steps and some costs that depend on measures of political nature. A decrease of the quotas to the Social security, the minorities of energy costs to the small companies, a discount of the Tax of Societies and Donations figure among the proposals of the managers, since all those costs affect to the capacity of the autonomous ones and of the small and medium companies to finance their managerial projects and that these prevail in the time. 

But the government doesn't listen alone it interests him to pass the exams of Brussels on tiptoe and to make it they have enough to present some manipulated bills that they support with the greatness of the capital and the push of Catalonia but they hide to the rest of Spain where the labor desert is so evident that it scares anyone that has the but minimum macroeconomics notion because it is evident that two cannot maintain worthily to fifteen and maxim when really the one that produces value added to contribute to the GDP is really alone one.  

NO HAY FORMA DE OCULTAR EL DESASTRE DE LA LEGISLATURA DEL PP

Se termina la legislatura más oscura y anodina de la historia de España estoy seguro que nadie lo va a poner en duda porque hemos vivido durante estos años de Rajoy lo peor de nuestra España recortes más paro real (no hagamos caso del oficial) rescates bancarios por los desmadres de los mangantes apoyados por el estado español en fin no merece la pena seguir todos sabemos cómo estamos hoy.

El hecho más neutral y claro que denota la realidad a que me refiero es que a estas alturas de 2015, la creación de empresas sigue sin notar que España ha salido de la recesión económica. Lejos de repuntar de manera sólida, la constitución de sociedades mercantiles acumula una caída anual del 0,3% entre los meses de enero y septiembre. Y no es éste su peor dato, ya que si se compara el mes de septiembre de 2015 con el de 2014 el retroceso es aún mayor: en concreto, en el noveno mes de este año surgieron 6.444 empresas, lo que significa el 2,8% menos que las nacidas en igual período de 2014.

No acaban aquí los resultados que dibujan una tendencia negativa en cuanto a la demografía empresarial española. Según el Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE), en lo que va de año el capital total suscrito por las nuevas compañías acumula un descenso del 2,9%. El retroceso es bastante mayor, del 42,9%, si se compara la situación de septiembre de 2015 con la de septiembre de 2014.

Esto da credibilidad a lo que les decía antes el paro aumenta realmente porque no hay empleo nuevo por mucho que lo jure el ministerio de trabajo están variando las estadísticas a hora se trabaja cuando de forma se trabaja cuando se te ha terminado el subsidio de paro y te borran de las listas del INEM, y esto se hace porque el desempleo ya es un hecho consustancial con la forma de vida de España muchas gracias PP. Falta tejido y tamaño Del mismo modo, es negativa la comparación del volumen medio del importe suscrito por las nuevas compañías. En este caso, disminuye el 2,7% de enero a septiembre, y se recorta el 41,3% si la relación se halla exclusivamente entre los dos septiembres.

Esta falta de vigor en la creación de empresas en 2015 es asimismo certificada por las estadísticas del Consejo General del Notariado, que incluso empeoran las disponibles en la web del INE. Así, con los últimos datos de los notarios en la mano, la constitución de sociedades mercantiles cayó el 4,4% en tasa anual el pasado septiembre. A falta de un trimestre para cerrar 2015, parece evidente que la atonía es la tónica en el nacimiento de empresas. El año pasado fue igualmente plano, aunque se cerró con un total de 94.152 nuevas firmas, tras haber crecido un tímido 0,8% interanual.

Es cierto que para trazar un perímetro más completo del mapa empresarial español hay que analizar también la cifra de compañías que se disuelven, y en este caso parece que la correlación es positiva. Según la Seguridad Social, el número de empresas inscritas creció el 0,8% el año pasado. Pero no es menos cierto que para combatir la baja actividad emprendedora en España hacen falta medidas fiscales y administrativas que contribuyan a fortalecer el tejido empresarial.

Recientemente, la organización patronal Cepyme reclamó al Gobierno una bajada del Impuesto de Sociedades y la eliminación de trabas a la actividad empresarial, entre ellas, reducir trámites burocráticos y algunos costes que dependen de medidas de naturaleza política. Una disminución de las cuotas a la Seguridad Social, la aminoración de costes energéticos a las pymes, una rebaja del Impuesto de Sociedades y Donaciones figuran entre las propuestas de los empresarios, ya que todos esos costes afectan a la capacidad de los autónomos y de las pequeñas y medianas empresas para financiar sus proyectos empresariales y que éstos prevalezcan en el tiempo.

Pero el gobierno no escucha solo le interesa pasar de puntillas los exámenes de Bruselas y para hacerlo tienen suficiente presentar unas cuentas manipuladas que apoyan con la grandeza de la capital y el empuje de Catalunya pero esconden al resto de España donde el desierto laboral es tan evidente que asusta a cualquiera que tenga la mas mínima noción de macroeconomía porque es evidente que dos no pueden mantener dignamente a quince y máxime cuando de verdad la que produce realmente valor añadido para aportar al PIB es solo una.

HE DIDN'T GET READY ANYTHING WITH THE CONTENTIOUS GREEK

The minister of Economy and Finances of the Eurozone (Eurogrupo) they have met in Brussels today to already approach the first tract of the immediate help in favor of Greece, after the agreement reached at first hour by the leaders, since the country almost needs 11.000 million Eurus for July and August. Greece is in a situation of extreme necessity of liquidity, he has to pay some debts almost immediately, and among them one of 225 million Eurus in interests to the European Central Bank (BCE) July 19 and other 3.500 million the following day. To the sink it the 1.600 million Eurus that he left to duty June 30 to the IMF, to which also has to pay 178 million Eurus of interests the first of August, month in that again conquer more with the BCE other 3.200 million and 194 in interests. 

If I have not added bad in these two months July and August Greece has to pay 8,897millones of Eurus. Well giving for good this and keeping in mind that the advance of the UE is from 11.000 million to me he gives me that to think that the rest, that is to say, single 2.103 million Eurus so that Greece works during these two months, this if we multiply it for 6 it would mean that Greece, the state and the society, they work with 12,600 million Eurus a year and if this is this way, it is that the GDP / real per capita in Greece would be of about 1.150 Eurus, and I believe that I don't make a mistake a lot because it is evident that if the UE advances 11.000 million for two months, it is because he has it calculated, I believe this way that the costs of refund of the rescues and interests that are this time calculated on July and August, should be same or very similar to those of September October… etc. 

If we look at the different PIB's / capita European, we will see that that signed tonight and what you/they sign this afternoon is not for where to catch it, and like I said the negotiation already some days ago between Greece and the alone UE he has two objectives: One is that the UE tosses to Greece and liberate its government of the responsibility of loading with this stain of being the government that could not hold back in the UE. And second, to avoid to the society to have to make a bloody revolution to be liberated of another Greek government to which more disastrous.  

Greece cannot continue being deceived and wanting to deceive the UE and it is Greece the one that plays him to see it and to decide it, in this aspect I believe that the UE has been very guessed right in not falling in the benevolence of a mercy without application possibility, a little like one makes in some cases of convicts' resources to the capital pain and that at the end they finish with the fatal outcome, this it is the end of Greece in the euro group and the more they lengthen it, surprisingly more he shortened this term. 

In some macroeconomic data Greece is located with a GDP / capita of 16.300 Eurus what would correspond to a national GDP of 185 thousand million Eurus, is evident that it is impossible to continue the Greek debt it already overcomes 200% of the GDP, of there you remove them that Tsipras requests and the same reason is the one that forces the UE to not accepting them, because it is not one it removes, what is necessary serious to absorb it completely, but this is legally impossible because according to the commercial law laws this would take I get that the UE stays with the debtor, that is to say with Greece, to be able to liquidate it and to make up for of its debt with what can take out in auctions or sales of active, it is what is made with the managerial institutions, banks, etc. When they are declared in crash. To liquidate it or to absorb it is not more but with that last the UE should make in fact in front of the non-contracted debts with the own UE new landlady of the absorbed entity. 

But this is not written in any treaty neither any law of international right, this it is another of the shortcomings of the organization of the UE that is an absurd formation based on the good will and the fortune of some partners, to those that it doesn't tie them nothing else among them that a foreign currency, but there is not neither political neither economy neither taxes neither common laws. This way to the one that goes him well it sends and to the one that not, alone he has left to obey and to remain silent, I believe sincerely that the same as I say that the European today we no longer owe anything to Greece, I believe that the UE if he should take a resolution with the towns that conform it and restructurers, because the macroeconomic data indicate that the enormous differences among their towns will go making impossible to get a reactivation of the European economy and with it their continuity in the current world.   

GRECIA TIENE QUE DEJAR EL EURO, LA CUESTION ES, LO DEBEMOS HACER TODOS LOS DEMAS

El primer ministro griego, Alexis Tsipras, puso hoy en duda la voluntad del FMI para alcanzar un acuerdo con Grecia, en vista de las reservas que está planteando al plan de reformas griego. Esto es una reciprocidad absoluta porque las mismas palabras podía decir el FMI de Grecia. En su cuenta de Twitter, Tsipras critica su postura, ya que hasta ahora nunca se habían rechazado de manera tan repetida las propuestas de ningún país, "ni en Irlanda, ni en Portugal". Es absurdo esta forma de comunicarse así por twitter, no se negocian las condiciones de las economías de una nación simplemente se intenta imbuir a la sociedad griega y europea de que el malo es el otro.

Porque la realidad es que los propios medios griegos señalan que Grecia habría rechazado la contrapropuesta de los acreedores, entre los que se encuentra el FMI. Esta última petición pedía más recortes en pensiones y un aumento del IVA. En opinión del ministro griego, esta actitud indica dos posibilidades, o bien que las instituciones no quieren alcanzar un acuerdo con Grecia o que Grecia no quiere alcanzarlo con los acreedores yo tengo claro ustedes mis seguidores lo saben que Grecia no va a acceder a nada porque aquí si que sirven a "intereses específicos" de Grecia.

Tsipras habría instado a su equipo en relación con la "perseverancia de algunas instituciones" de no aceptar medidas alternativas. Por su parte, varios medios, citando fuentes oficiales en Grecia, afirmaban que Tsipras habría informado a los miembros de su Gobierno de que los acreedores no habrían aceptado las medidas propuestas. Y esto es lo que hay de verdad, Grecia quiere imponer una rotura, está clarísimo y no es que yo lo recrimine, es que no tiene otra solución en las circunstancias económicas actuales respecto a la realidad griega y la del euro.

El primer ministro aludió con ello a los problemas que está planteando el FMI que cree que el plan griego se ha centrado demasiado en elevar la presión fiscal bien me gustaría que Tsipras nos plantease otra fórmula viable para compaginar los intereses de los acreedores y de Grecia pero no lo hace y no lo hace, porque no la hay, Grecia no puede reducir su déficit nada más que mediante subidas del IVA y de los impuestos empresariales, ya no se puede reducir el gasto público, por ejemplo, o en el coste de las pensiones. No hace falta que el ministro de Trabajo, Panos Skurletis, afirme en declaraciones a la radio pública que "la insistencia del FMI en recortar todas las pensiones hace el acuerdo políticamente problemático" este es el problema de fondo el “políticamente”.

Pero por otra parte es imposible que Grecia obtenida resultados con más subidas del IVA y con cargar más los impuestos a sus empresas de estas últimas le quedan pocas todas se han marchado del país (igual que está pasando en España aunque de momento aquí no se relacione la no reactivación con esto) así que les guste o no el FMI solo le queda pedir que rebajen el gasto públicos y sociales como las pensiones y esto con una economía valorada en euros seria como pedir el suicidio colectivo del gobierno de Syriza.

El FMI  consideró que la economía griega cuenta con una carga impositiva demasiado elevada, por lo que seguir subiendo los impuestos podría dañar aún más el crecimiento económico y hacer más difícil que Grecia pueda pagar y reducir su deuda en el futuro. Sin embargo Tsipras insiste en ello como única salida aceptable para Grecia en fin estamos en un dialogo para sordos es una situación imposible y esto es lo que se niegan a querer entender tanto Grecia como la Troika y hasta que alguien no de su brazo a torcer esto ira pudriéndose cada vez más sin solución alguna de cambio.

En mi opinión en estos momentos la parte equivocada es la troika que incomprensiblemente insiste en salvar un náufrago que no quiere ser salvado lo que da la impresión que el que se está ahogando es la UE el FMI y el Euro, y esta es la cuestión si la Troika o el euro como quieran, depende de un acuerdo con Grecia es que algo falla volvemos siempre al principio es imposible que una organización como la UE dependa de un 2% de su PIB lo cual puede llevarnos a considerar que nos engañan los griegos y los de la troika luego no solo es Grecia la que debe abandonar el Euro sino todos los demás también.

COMO SE HARIA LA QUIEBRA DE GRECIA Y SU SALIDA DEL EURO

Por fin abiertamente y sin vergüenza, los socios de la zona del euro han discutido la posibilidad de que Grecia entre en suspensión de pagos si el Gobierno liderado por Alexis Tsipras no toma medidas para evitarlo, confirmaron hoy a Efe fuentes europeas. Ya llevamos días viendo, quien quiera verlo, que no hay ningún interés por parte del gobierno griego en pagar la deuda que tiene con el mundo, y el hecho es dos caras una porque le es imposible pagarla con su economía básica y la otra porque su nueva política no es capitalista y por lo tanto no aceptara los pecados de sus antecesores.

Así las cosas La posibilidad de que el país entre en suspensión de pagos "fue mencionada como uno de los escenarios que pueden pasar si todo va mal", aunque "no es en el que se está trabajando", indicaron las fuentes. Mentira porque si se está trabajando el problema es como se explica esto a unos mercados y unos acreedores que no van a estar muy contentos con la medida y me temo que van a pedir responsabilidades a la UE  y como ya he escrito otras veces creo que es justo que así lo hagan y que la UE pague por Grecia.

Al mismo tiempo la UE debe obligar a Grecia a salir del grupo del euro  inmediatamente y facilitarle una divisa convertible solo al euro el gobierno griego deberá poner posiblemente en circulación otra vez el Dracma y el BCE le dará un valor con respecto al euro para que Grecia (su economía) pueda inter relacionarse con los mercados mundiales

La cosa es muy sencilla Grecia no deberá nada a nadie excepto al BCE y mientras deba un euro no podrá volver a formar parte del euro grupo independientemente de que su economía se convirtiera. El camino que le quedaría a Grecia por recorrer sería más o menos como el que mueve a países como Ucrania, Turquía, Egipto incluso como ejemplo contrario Suiza.

No se puede creer más en el Gobierno de Grecia porque no es ya un gobierno europeo sus mentiras primero y su política ahora lo han sacado fuera del orden económico y así hay que entenderlo cuanto más se tarde, más problemas tendrá Grecia y más inquietudes tendrá el euro, porque todo lo que está pasando estas últimas semanas no es miedo o pánico al default de Grecia sino a la indecisión del Eurogrupo  los mercados y acreedores ya dan por perdida la deuda griega pero les hace falta saber que esto se acaba aquí y que la euro zona seguirá limpia y más fuerte, asegurándose así que los negocios e inversiones en la UE podrán volver a ser por fin normales.

Que Grecia  se ha mostrado dispuesta a presentar contrapropuestas para salvar las diferencias con sus acreedores y ha dicho que se reiniciarán las negociaciones en Bruselas el sábado, son declaraciones que ya no se cree nadie creo que ni la propia UE. Esta nueva propuesta de Grecia se produce después de que ayer el FMI retirara a sus expertos de las negociaciones en Bruselas por los desacuerdos con el Gobierno de Alexis Tsipras.

En este sentido, el presidente de la Comisión Europea Jean-Claude Juncker, señalo esta mañana que las negociaciones se iban a reiniciar pero que era el Ejecutivo griego el que tenía que dar el primer paso. "Las negociaciones comenzarán de nuevo, primero a nivel técnico, luego a nivel político", ha señalado en declaraciones a la emisora de radio France Culture, recogidas por Reuters. Pero no hay salida como decía antes no hay intención de pagar lo que el nuevo gobierno de cariz neo comunista entiende que fue culpa de unas políticas que ellos no tuvieron nada que ver y que realmente han arruinado al pueblo griego.

Ahora lo que toca es retirar todos los euros (los pocos euros que le queden a Grecia) y que eta los deposite en el BCE, estos euros serán el punto de partida para la garantía del valor de su nuevo Dracma por ejemplo: hoy el cambio euro dracma es el siguiente 100 € = 34,075.01 GRD luego 341 dracma es un euro imaginemos que Grecia tiene hoy en sus depósitos cuentas y liquido 100,000 millones de euros que devuelve al BCE, bien esto permitiría que Grecia imprimiera 34.000.000 millones de dracmas si esta masa monetaria el gobierno griego cree que le es suficiente para operar el dracma tendría un valor de cambio frente al euro de 341 GRD por euro o viceversa un euro valdría 341GRD.

Este valor se mantendría así dependiendo de la masa monetaria en circulación de la economía griega si por su reactivación entrasen por comercio exterior o turismo euros o dólares, el valor de su divisa subiría porque podría depositar más depósitos en el BCE. Esto a su vez podría permitir a Grecia optar por imprimir más GRD y mejorar las condiciones de su sociedad y no mover la paridad o preferir mejorar el cambio del GRD frente al Euro y ya esta no es tan difícil esto funciona así en los mercados occidentales.

Evidentemente si Grecia no reacciona y cada vez necesita más GRD  y no aumenta su garantía en depósito en el BCE o en otros valores su moneda se ira depreciando cada vez más pero esto ya no será culpa de la UE sino del gobierno griego que contando con Varoufakis seguro que nos dan una lección a todos.

GREECE AND SPAIN CAN MAKE CONVENIENT AN INDEPENDENT CATALONIA IN THE UE

That you sew more unexpected they pass in the to go and to come from the economic, political and social events of the humanity's history, today after the events that Greece continues promoting the interns so much in its bank and social politics and with the repercussion that these they will exercise and they will exercise in the social and economic politics of other countries of the European Union in general and mainly in Spain it is in first fire line that the so worked and wanted independence of Catalonia becomes vital point for the own Catalonia it can end up being also it for the UE.  

To develop this topic is I complicated but I believe that I will be able to make it. They will see you, yesterday he read that Alexis Tsipras would meet today with Angela Merkel before the extraordinary meeting of the first European minister to speak of the problem of the African immigrants that they are filling the Mediterranean of cadavers, today this morning I read that possibly to this meeting of both presidents Hollande today it would be added I take the whole afternoon waiting to see some news in this respect and the only thing that I have read is that everything continues the same as the meeting has been very cordial but until here they have bequeathed. 

But the news that has filled with restlessness is that the Bank of the Pireo will condone the inferior debts to 20,000 Eurus. The Bank of the Pireo, the fourth bigger entity of the country for capitalization, announced today that will condone all the inferior debts to the 20.000 Eurus to alleviate the situation of the clients affected by the crisis. In an official statement, the Bank of the Pireo specified that it eliminates 100% of the total debt of up to 20.000 Eurus for all the consumption credits and credit cards. That disposition is open to all the people that have been welcomed to the program of humanitarian help approved by the Government of Alexis Tsipras for the neediest. 

The bank informed that to all these people they will also be frozen its mortgage loans and they will be exempted of the payment of interests during the period of validity of this law, foreseen initially for one year. The entity pointed out that with this measure it seeks to show its commitment of satisfying the current necessities of the economy and the society, and to "help at a new beginning". These last words say a lot more than that that maybe it was necessary to say in these moments, but it is already this I understand in them that the Greek politics has already decided to BEGIN OF NEW, and this is evident it affects to the social economy and for consequence to its relationship with the rest of the UE and of course to the economies of the euro. 

They imagine you that it passed in Spain when in the next elections the government wins Pablo Iglesias party because it is clear that to their already extraordinary political social and his charisma, Greece will be giving him the examples to continue, I go I assure to you that the first day after the elections that entire Spanish that should less than 20,000 Eurus will be to the door of the Moncloa or of the congress in Madrid demanding and waiting the declaration of condonation of debts. Or some of you doubts it me not because the tactics of Tsipras is that of the accomplished facts me today I see it very clear after these events a bank resolution of this caliber puts in evidence the whole banking of the UE that understands each other it should complete some uniform requirements marked by the BCI and me I have not read any indication to the banks that from now on they forgive consumption debts and freeze mortgages until new warning. 

This is very serious not for the fact in yes that find wonderful and socially act because to the Greeks this will liberate them of a lot of burden but the question is how it will finance that Greece and its banks it is evident that with the economic measures of the UE not because extraordinary and social measure doesn't have space in them, for that reason he said before those words of "beginning again" are what I believe me that Greece has already decided now alone it is necessary to negotiate with the UE like one makes  

Among so much he gets ready it is already "war" between Greece and the new politics of Syriza, in Spain they get ready the local and autonomous elections of the next one May 24 and I have the security that it stops then “Podemos” he will have to their favor the whole Spanish society that today is passing many economic penuries and that unfortunately they are many more than those that don't pass them, today Madrid lives very busy some and very concerned others with the economic scandals of the politicians of the PP and of the PSOE the final lunge has been the followed detention or accompanied by public gibe of Rodrigo Rato and also the minister De Guindos declaration that he tells us that there won't be defrauders' list but that all the 715 included, they are so public positions the bill it is easy who has most of public positions in since Spain the PP. 

So clearly it is clear that it is already mounted the clip communist neo on the Union Europe. Greece for the east and Spain for the west will execute the pursuit and I demolish of the UE in its state current single lack to clarify if it is purely for a new politics or because both countries cannot be sustained in the Europe of the euro, be what is the first ones they have already begun the hostilities and the seconds they are preparing them step to step and with the same ideas and political-social foundations in Spain and it doesn't fit doubt that the same as Syriza in Greece; We can it will win government's next majorities in Spain.    

It is evident for me that they know as you I had the possibility to know from inside of the social and government politics of the communism for my work in the old Soviet Socialist Republics, both political organizations Syriza and Podemos they are a more modern adaptation of those politicians that I knew, for that reason when I refer to both organizations I describe them as “communist neo”. In definitive in one year if the UE arrives he will make an important decision that will be to come off of its two extreme or worse still of coming undone as such and European Union.    

Arrived to this point the independence of Catalonia he enters in game in these circumstances we already play ourselves something more than the independence plays ourselves the European democratic being or another dares outside of the concept European Union because it is evident that such and I eat Berlin he already announces to Germany it is very difficult to blackmail her it is more I believe that he is wanting that they blackmail her more to be taken out of above first to Greece and later to Spain because with the same drift politics both, it is impossible that the UE maintains them mainly if he wants to stay to itself.     

So Catalonia could help the UE a lot and of course to if same. I don't want to be neo communist I want to be Catalan, democratic, capitalist and European and I believe that as me many think this way, well this it is the occasion if Catalonia stops to lose the time in Byzantine discussions and he realizes that if he doesn't become unified to if same it finished in hands of the new Spanish communism, Catalonia could have the whole support of the UE because to offer in these moments a new country of seven million and half inhabitants able to be sustained much better than the current Spain, and to be able to be taken charge on behalf of the Spanish debt can also be of great interest for the European Union of the euro. Let us don't forget that we have also made already it in last time, when what today is Catalonia formed the frontier then between the empire Carolingian and the Iberian Peninsula in Arab hands     

GRECIA Y ESPAÑA PUEDEN HACER CONVENIENTE UNA CATALUNYA INDEPENDIENTE EN LA UE

Que cosas más inesperadas pasan en el ir y venir de los acontecimientos económicos, políticos y sociales de la historia de la humanidad, hoy tras los acontecimientos que Grecia sigue promoviendo tanto los internos en su política bancaria y social y con la repercusión que estos van a ejercer y ejercerán en la política social y económica de otros países de la Unión Europea en general y principalmente en España queda en primera línea de fuego que la tan trabajada y deseada independencia de Catalunya pasa a ser vital tanto para la propia Catalunya puede llegar a serlo también para la UE.
 
Desarrollar este tema me es complicado pero creo que podré hacerlo. Verán ustedes, ayer leía que Alexis Tsipras se reuniría hoy con Ángela Merkel antes de la reunión extraordinaria de los primeros ministros europeos para hablar del problema de los inmigrantes africanos que están llenando el mediterráneo de cadáveres hoy esta mañana leo que posiblemente a esta reunión de ambos presidentes se añadiría Hollande hoy llevo toda la tarde esperando a ver alguna noticia al respecto y lo único que he leído es que todo sigue igual que la reunión ha sido muy cordial pero hasta aquí han legado. 

Pero la noticia que me ha llenado de inquietud es que el banco del Pireo va a condonar las deudas inferiores a 20,000 euros. El Banco del Pireo, la cuarta mayor entidad del país por capitalización, anunció hoy que condonará todas las deudas inferiores a los 20.000 euros para aliviar la situación de los clientes afectados por la crisis. En un comunicado, el Banco del Pireo precisó que elimina el 100 % de la deuda total de hasta 20.000 euros para todos los créditos de consumo y tarjetas de crédito. Esa disposición está abierta a todas las personas que se hayan acogido al programa de ayuda humanitaria aprobado por el Gobierno de Alexis Tsipras para los más necesitados.

El banco informó de que a todas estas personas se les congelarán además sus préstamos hipotecarios y se les eximirá del pago de intereses durante el periodo de vigencia de esta ley, prevista inicialmente para un año. La entidad señaló que con esta medida pretende poner de manifiesto su compromiso de satisfacer las necesidades actuales de la economía y la sociedad, y "ayudar a un nuevo comienzo". Estas últimas palabras dicen mucho más de lo que quizás era necesario decir en estos momentos, pero ya está dicho yo entiendo en ellas que la política griega ha decidido ya COMENZAR DE NUEVO, y esto es evidente afecta a la economía social y por consecuencia a su relación con el resto de la UE y por supuesto a las economías del euro.
 
Se imaginan ustedes que pasara en España cuando en las próximas elecciones gane el gobierno el partido de Pablo Iglesias porque está claro que a sus ya extraordinarias políticas sociales y su carisma,  Grecia le estará poniendo los ejemplos a seguir, vaya yo les aseguro a ustedes que el primer día después de las elecciones todo aquel español que deba menos de 20,000 euros estará a la puerta de la Moncloa o del congreso en Madrid exigiendo y esperando la declaración de condonación de deudas. O alguno de ustedes lo duda yo no porque la táctica de Tsipras es la de los hechos consumados yo hoy lo veo muy claro tras estos acontecimientos una resolución bancaria de este calibre pone en evidencia toda la banca de la UE que se entiende debe de cumplir unos requisitos uniformes marcados por el BCI y yo no he leído ninguna indicación a los bancos que desde ahora perdonen deudas de consumo y congelen hipotecas hasta nuevo aviso.
 
Esto es muy grave no por el hecho en sí que encuentro maravilloso y socialmente encomiable porque a los griegos esto les va a liberar de mucho agobio pero la pregunta es cómo va a financiar eso Grecia y sus bancos es evidente que con las medidas económicas de la UE no porque extraordinaria y social medida  no tiene cabida en ellas, por eso decía antes que aquellas palabras de "empezar de nuevo" es lo que creo yo que ya ha decidido Grecia ahora solo cabe negociar con la UE  como se hace
 
Entre tanto se prepara ya está "guerra" entre Grecia y la nueva política de Syriza, en España se preparan las elecciones locales y autonómicas del próximo 24 de mayo y yo tengo la seguridad de que para entonces  PODEMOS tendrá a su favor toda la sociedad española que hoy está pasando muchas penurias económicas y que desgraciadamente son muchos más que los que no las pasan, hoy Madrid vive muy atareados unos y muy preocupados otros con los escándalos económicos de los políticos del PP y del PSOE la estocada final ha sido la detención seguida o acompañada de escarnio público de Rodrigo rato y además la declaración de guindos que nos dice que no habrá lista de defraudadores pero que todos los 715 incluidos, son cargos públicos así que la cuenta es fácil quien tiene la mayoría de cargos públicos en España pues el PP.
 
Así que a todas luces está claro que  ya está montada la pinza neo comunista sobre la Unión Europa. Grecia por el este y España por el oeste van a ejecutar el acoso y derribo de la UE en su estado actual solo falta aclarar si es puramente por una nueva política o porque ambos países no pueden sostenerse en la Europa del euro, sea lo que sea  los primeros ya han iniciado las hostilidades y los segundos las están preparando paso a paso y con las mismas ideas y fundamentos político-sociales en España y no cabe duda que al igual que Syriza en Grecia; Podemos ganará las próximas mayorías de gobierno en España.  
 
Es evidente para mí que como ustedes saben tuve la posibilidad de conocer desde dentro la política social y gubernamental del comunismo por mi trabajo en las antiguas Repúblicas Socialistas Soviéticas, ambas organizaciones políticas Syriza y PODEMOS son una adaptación más moderna de aquellas políticas que yo conocí, por eso cuando me refiero a ambas organizaciones las califico de "neo comunistas". En definitiva en un año si llega la UE deberá de tomar una decisión importantísima que será desprenderse de sus dos extremos o peor aún de deshacerse como tal Unión Europea.
   
Llegados a este punto entra en juego la independencia de Catalunya en estas circunstancias ya nos jugamos algo más que la independencia nos jugamos el ser demócratas europeos u otra osa fuera del concepto Unión Europea porque es evidente que tal y como ya anuncia Berlín a Alemania es muy difícil chantajearla es más yo creo que está deseando que la chantajeen más para sacarse de encima primero a Grecia y después a España porque con la misma deriva política las dos, es imposible que la UE las mantenga sobre todo si se quiere mantenerse a sí misma.
    
Así que Catalunya podría ayudar mucho a la UE y por supuesto a si misma. Yo no quiero ser neocomunista quiero ser catalán, demócrata, capitalista y europeo y creo que como yo muchos pensamos así, bien esta es la ocasión si Catalunya deja de perder el tiempo en discusiones bizantinas y se da cuenta que si no se unifica a si misma terminara en manos del nuevo comunismo español, Catalunya podría tener todo el apoyo de la UE porque ofrecer en estos momentos un nuevo país de siete millones y medio de habitantes capaz de sostenerse mucho mejor que la actual España, y además poder hacerse cargo de parte de la deuda española puede ser de gran interés para la Unión Europea del euro. No olvidemos que además ya lo hemos hecho en otro tiempo pasado, cuando lo que hoy es Catalunya formaba la frontera entre el imperio carolingio y la península ibérica entonces en manos árabes     

THE POSITIONS OF GREECE IS A SUICIDAL IRRESPONSIBILITY

Everybody economic and politician is pending of what Greece will propose I frankly don't find me well the attitude and the address that the government from Greece has taken in this respect, I don't find neither appropriate neither educated, I believe that a government that has under his designs to more than 10 million beings it cannot lose of view that no matter how much it has won some elections it is not neither owner of the country by no means of the society of the same one. 

I can understand that most of the society of Greece this weary one and I understand it because I am Spanish and above Catalan with what I suffer the Spanish recession and the Spanish pressure double on my native of Catalonia to want to be independent says it because he didn't want that it seems that my psychic situation is of joy and well to be and therefore maybe would disable me to criticize the Greek government's action. 

During last week the Greek government reminded us three things: the first one is that they will take charge that the crisis of the Eurozone doesn't end up until part of its debt has been condoned or that Germany pays it with its reclamation of damages for the II world war. The second this debt is untenable and unpayable for what will have to finish investigating her sooner or later. The third are that, sometimes, they happen accidents, and according to them of all the foregone accidents, the most catastrophic would be, without a doubt, the call "Grexit" or the exit of Greece of the Eurozone.  

In Germany on the contrary prevails the opinion that the exit of Greece would not be a calamity for the country, it would cause a small shock for the Eurozone and it would be something no transcendent for the global economy? The editorials of the press invite the chancellor Merkel to not giving in the face of the blackmail. Even Sigmar Gabriel, vice-chancellor and minister of Economy, assure that the consequences of the "Grexit" can control. In my opinion Germany is right the economic world knows that Greece cannot make in front of its debt and today the Greek debt it is practically in hands of worthy of the UE (banks central countries and BCE). 

But I believe to guess that the Greek government looks for another purpose that not alone it is purely financial and he thinks that if it plays strong the UE will give fearing the effects that could cause in the world economies and vice versa, that is to say that the world economies would lose the trust in the euro if this he abandons Greece to its luck. I believe sincerely that the Greek government makes a mistake totally. In fact, I am convinced that the consequences if Greece continues taking a risk in looking a security in its capacity to unbalance the UE and the euro it is a suicide. Maybe calculated to blackmail the UE or to be liberated of the democratic rigidity of the prevailing politicians in the UE. 

Greece doesn't count that its bounces has two effects: one certainly worries the members of the UE and especially to the partners of the area euro. But at the same time they cause a general uneasiness to those that could help because it puts them in a position of it turns blackmailed and this doesn't like anybody and stiller if they are bigger than you. The possible fact that they could leave harmed they won't like them and the Eurozone at all. Greece today doesn't seem to understand the complex situation that would be generated with an unpaid of its debt and the exit of the euro. 

Alone they want to see that the problem is on the contrary, because the truth is that the Greek rulers should think How more we have to lose?, is the bad thing that they are not asked the What a question he/she has to lose the UE?, do I already respond them, anything absolutely, is the same as you gentlemen minister and president from Greece its money its debt has already lost it, and do they know it more than enough. The alone UE has to assure to the economic world that 3% of its GDP doesn't alter its bills neither its economy at all and frankly with a plan of injecting 60,000 million Eurus a month demonstrates it easily.  

My readers know that I am of those that say that the euro area would rot and maybe he should have made it some years ago absorb the Greek debt in a proportion that stops Greece under conditions to make in front of the resulting balance as he/she said yesterday it is impossible for any country to confront a debt that means 180% of its GDP but this doesn't happen and here we have the consequences some consequences that single today I value them at political level. An exit of Greece would suppose that the country would be outside of the Eurozone but it would continue belonging to the UE. Could the UE have the unconditional support from Greece to the sanctions to Russia? To give an example.  

The exit of the euro for a posture of force not well expert on the part of Greece could be difficult for her economy, although the result would depend of how it was carried out. Of the diverse bad outcomes, certainly the worst is to continue applying political that don't work and that they don't have the back of the Greek citizens. And this is to understand it because of this it is guilty the own area euro those that closed the eyes so that enters to be part of the euro with what this means, they are those that now they should study if the culture and the idiosyncrasy of the Greek society would be able to rectify if leaves again. 

The best outcome reaffirms myself it would be the reduction of the debt together with the change from a fiscal surplus to a neuter budget at level fiscal and more reformations to take a short cut the corruption and the escape of taxes, but this doesn't fit doubt it is to continue intervening and watching over to the country and its economy sews that it seems that the new rulers don't like it. I believe that it is worthwhile to try to get this before to resign to that Greece leaves the euro.  

But what cannot be consented from the UE and the euro area is that Greece begins direct negotiations between Greece and its creditors, or that he plays with coming closer to Russia and eye I say that it plays, if they believe that it is its solution to change the UE for Russia it is its responsibility 

I DON'T BELIEVE THAT WE SHOULD CONTINUE MAINTAINING THE IMPOSSIBLE THING

There is not thing that more hates that somebody seeks to want to make me go cat by rabbit and this today is what the Greek government seeks, you look at Syriza it is clearly a political party of look and socialist forms but that in the bottom his politics outline is Marxist, this party has been made with the power in Greece thanks to the extreme despair and disillusion of the totally sunken Greek society for "democratic" governments' years that alone they have looked after its interests and transport and millionaire that of its shipping ones, and this is to recognize it and to admit this way it because it is the town who has put them to the front of its country. 

Now then this government and east town have to be consequent with their problem and their vote decision, they should solve it them like they can but non feel that are entitled to arm the one that will arm, outlining ideas goes on pilgrimage, you threaten and blackmails at hundreds of millions of inhabitants that we are their neighbors and that not alone we don't have anything to do with what has passed them, but rather many are almost in the same circumstances. He would say that still worse us the Spaniards that I eat have never participated in anything of what happened behind the Pyrenees, we are not able to neither to request compensations to Germany for their occupation of the Spanish floor, because it didn't happen. 

That that now if he wants to make or he seeks to make Greece and Ho gods of the Olympus! The Greek Government has captured finally in the figure of 279.000 million Eurus the demand of repairs for the Nazi occupation of Greece during the Second World War. That is to say Greece is telling to Germany he "pays my debt", I don't want now to discuss its reasons because I am not Greek and I don't know the reasons that they adduce but he smells me bad, very bad, because we are speaking of a debt, if it is that it exists, of 60 years ago until today it has not been necessary them that chance.  

The most attractive thing in this respect it is that Greece has mounted a parliamentary commission to quantify and to clarify this topic I suppose myself that began to work last week for search to claim and to value the pertinent repairs and to also add the refund of the loans granted by the "Government Greek marionette" imposed by the Nazi invaders and of the despoiled archaeological pieces. I don't know if they valued to change the millions of marks that the Germans have been left in Greece, for tourism and for investments in Greek companies from then on, be like be, the question is that they are quick in one week they already have clear that are. 

During their appearance before this commission, the vice minister of Finances, Dimitris Mardas, he has explained that Berlin owes 278.700 million Eurus according to the calculations of the Countable General Office of the State. The granted credits suppose for the busy Greece they add of for yes 10.300 million Eurus. The recovery of the repairs of war has had more repercussion in the last years, coinciding with the crisis and the successive Greek rescues of the troika - IMF, BCE and CE - that add a total of 240.000 million Eurus. So or I make a mistake or it is that none alone Greece doesn't owe anything to anybody, but rather it is worthy of at least 48,000 million Eurus. 

This yes that are some authentic bills of thousand o'clock and some nights, of clear insomnia it is, like he said before I don't know if this has something of artificial reason inside the international right, or I eat up it finds me it is an assembly of the most absurd thing whose purpose is not another that to try to create an internal international conflict in the European Union looking for the break of the same one and getting the bills so breaks to the same time, with that that the commitments, rescues, debts and other, be in the “limbo” or in this case in the Olympus. 

The play doesn't doubt it is this, because for the other side Germany rejects the Greek reclamations and it assures that it has fulfilled all its obligations and he reminds the payment to Greece from 115 million German marks to Greece in 1960. As indemnity of all the occupation damages and that I suppose they were valued reasonably by some tribunals they hear 115 million gold marks, ago 55 years old they are today many thousands of millions of Eurus, now then I am for sure those millions of marks didn't go to the pockets of the Greeks but to the noble families as the Karamanlis, the Papandreou and the Greek royalty embodied in the king Constantine II that it was not substituted up to 1965.  

On the other hand, the Government current Greek goes to for everything and against all and not to want to see it is another of the errors that the European Union paid expensive, it has assured that an ascent of the IVA won't be included in the list of reformations presented to the international creditors, and it is that they cannot request to the Greeks that not pay the IVA it is that they cannot pay anything and much less in Eurus so much costs to see this. So difficult it is to understand that the economy the social industrial fiscal structure of Greece is completely outside of the European parameters, it is that nobody has gone to Greece of tourism although it is lately that the Europeans that something explodes once and for all hope he expands everything for the whole Mediterranean south of the union that don't come that this is the final destination of all this. 

Now alone it is necessary to make decisions and they have to take them in Brussels all the partners of the area euro and there is no other or the Greek debt is absorbed and that of all the countries by means of funds of European unified debt and emitted by the BCE or we are losing the time, to the euro and the European union, and let us pray so that we don't lose the peace if finally they are inflated the eggs to Germany and Greece will flirt with Russia.      

NO CREO QUE DEBAMOS SEGUIR MANTENIENDO LO IMPOSIBLE

No hay cosa que más odie que alguien pretenda querer hacerme pasar gato por conejo y esto hoy es lo que pretende el gobierno griego, miren ustedes Syriza es claramente un partido político de cariz y formas socialistas pero que en el fondo su esquema de política es Marxista, este partido se ha hecho con el poder en Grecia gracias a la extrema desesperanza y desilusión de la sociedad griega completamente hundida por años de gobiernos “democráticos” que solo han velado por sus intereses y el de sus navieros transportistas y millonarios, y esto hay que reconocerlo y admitirlo así porque es el pueblo quien los ha puesto al frente de su país.

Ahora bien este gobierno y este pueblo tienen que ser consecuentes con su problema y su decisión de voto, deben resolverlo ellos como puedan pero no ceo que tengan derecho a armar la que van a armar, planteando ideas peregrinas, amenazas y chantajes a cientos de millones de habitantes, que somos sus vecinos y que no solo no tenemos nada que ver con lo que les ha pasado, sino que muchos estamos casi en las mismas circunstancias. Diría que todavía peor nosotros los españoles que como nunca hemos participado en nada de lo que ocurría detrás de los Pirineos, no podemos ni pedir indemnizaciones a Alemania por su ocupación del suelo español, porque no sucedió.

Lo que ahora si quiere hacer o pretende hacer Grecia y ¡Ho dioses del Olimpo! El Gobierno griego ha plasmado finalmente en la cifra de 279.000 millones de euros la demanda de reparaciones por la ocupación nazi de Grecia durante la Segunda Guerra Mundial. Es decir Grecia le está diciendo a Alemania “paga mi deuda”,  yo no quiero ahora discutir sus razones porque no soy griego y no conozco las razones que aducen pero me huele mal, muy mal, porque estamos hablando de una deuda, si es que existe, de hace 60 años hasta hoy no les ha hecho falta que casualidad.

Lo más llamativo al respecto es que Grecia ha montado una comisión parlamentaria para  cuantificar y aclarar este tema me supongo, que comenzó a funcionar la semana pasada para busca reclamar y valorar las reparaciones pertinentes y añadir también la devolución de los préstamos concedidos por el “Gobierno griego títere” impuesto por los invasores nazis y de las piezas arqueológicas expoliadas. Yo no sé si valoraran a cambio los millones de marcos que los alemanes se han dejado en Grecia, por turismo y por inversiones en empresas griegas desde entonces, sea como sea, la cuestión es que son rapidísimos en una semana ya tienen claro que se les debe.

Durante su comparecencia ante esta comisión, el viceministro de Finanzas, Dimitris Mardas, ha explicado que Berlín debe 278.700 millones de euros según los cálculos de la Oficina General Contable del Estado. Los créditos concedidos supongo por la Grecia ocupada suman de por sí 10.300 millones de euros. La reivindicación de las reparaciones de guerra ha tenido más repercusión en los últimos años, coincidiendo con la crisis y los sucesivos rescates griegos de la troika -FMI, BCE y CE- que suman un total de 240.000 millones de euros. Así que o me equivoco o resulta que Grecia no solo no debe nada a nadie, sino que es acreedora de al menos 48,000 millones de euros.

Esto sí que son unas auténticas cuentas de las mil y unas noches, de insomnio claro está, como decía antes yo no sé si esto tiene algo de razón jurídica dentro del derecho internacional, o como me parece a mí es un montaje de lo más absurdo, cuya finalidad no es otra que intentar crear un conflicto internacional interno en la Unión Europea buscando la rotura de la misma y consiguiendo así que las cuentas se rompan a la misma vez, con lo que los compromisos, rescates, deudas y demás, queden en el limbo o en este caso en el Olimpo.

La jugada no lo duden es esta, porque por el otro lado Alemania rechaza las reclamaciones griegas y asegura que ha cumplido con todas sus obligaciones y recuerda el abono a Grecia de 115 millones de marcos alemanes a Grecia en 1960. Como resarcimiento de todos los daños de ocupación y que supongo fueron valorados por algunos tribunales razonablemente oigan 115 millones de marcos oro, de hace 55 años son hoy muchos miles de millones de euros, ahora bien estoy seguro que aquellos millones de marcos no fueron a parar a los bolsillos de los griegos sino a las familias nobles  como los Karamanlis, los Papandréu  y la realeza griega encarnada en el rey Constantino II que no fue sustituido hasta 1965.

Por otra parte, el Gobierno actual griego va a por todo y contra todos y no querer verlo es otro de los errores que la Unión Europea pagara caro,  ha asegurado que no se incluirá una subida del IVA en la lista de reformas presentada a los acreedores internacionales, y es que no pueden pedir a los griegos que paguen no el IVA es que no pueden pagar nada y mucho menos en euros tanto cuesta ver esto. Tan difícil es entender que la economía la estructura fiscal industrial social de Grecia está completamente fuera de los parámetros europeos, es que nadie ha ido a Grecia de turismo aunque sea últimamente, que esperamos los europeos que algo explote de una vez que se extienda todo por todo el sur mediterráneo de la  unión que no ven que esto es el destino final de todo esto.

Ahora solo hay que tomar decisiones y las tienen que tomar en Bruselas todos los socios de la zona euro y no hay otra o se absorbe la deuda griega y la de todos los países por medio de bonos de deuda unificada europea y emitidos por el BCE o estamos perdiendo el tiempo, al euro y a la unión europea, y recemos para que no perdamos la paz si finalmente se le inflan los huevos a Alemania y Grecia se va a coquetear con Rusia.     

IT IS NECESSARY TO FINISH WITH THE DEGENERATION OF THE AREA EURO

You cannot follow the area euro he collapses this way in the deepest in the political, economic inefficacy, and of the lack of credibility in itself, the analysis of the situation is very dangerous in these moments all the ministries of economy of the ECOFIN, each one in its country, they are not calculating and valuing doesn't eat to save the euro, but as being left without dying in the intent, this it is the tremendous reality in which are in these moments, although it is not public, the lack of results views in the reactions of the economies of UE and the fears of the financial markets regarding all plan of the euro area give the rule to this situation. 

The change of political situation in Greece, the immobility of the economy in Italy, and the more than sure loss of most absolute of the government from Spain, he threatens to accelerate the fall to the hole of the euro area, the other circumstances continue being the same ones, also even harming to the economies that maintain them. France this change, Germany continues anchored in its uncompromising foundations and without any vision of solidarity, in spite of having been alone and of suffering as anybody the deterioration of its economy, think that for its form of being won't find out, but the depreciations of their real assets are in these very superior moments to those of Spain and Italy. 

But this doesn't serve me as comfort, because in definitive it is not good me for anything, (the wrong of many is comfort of silly) the area euro seems that he has thrown the towel clearly, and this in fact sustains it for the French attitude, I believe that finally it will be France the one that precipitated the end, because I doubt that after the victory of the right of Sarkozy, the socialist François Hollande current government something will have to make to try to save its second command and if it continues with political of right he won't understand it the French society.  

It is not that I am mad the idea, I have told it many times and concretely I have requested in some of my articles a brave that begins to move in the sense, appropriate to save the euro and the UE, I don't know because I sense that he is cooking the idea that the euro can fall in the European chancelleries, the burden that has to support Greece doesn't believe that it is sustained by much more time by Syriza and I fear myself that the next one hurts political it will be seen in Spain. At the end if there is not a substantial change on the part of Germany and they get ready the world pressures coming from the Middle East comely etc. that the brave almost with all security will be France the one that redoes the conditions that were good to begin the dream of the European Union in his day, again because the reality is that those circumstances today they are no longer valid.  

Of course that I can be in an appreciation error, and to calculate that what cooks can have a surprise variant, which could be that France, I don't know how, opts to be preparing the way to dismantle Germany of their destructive theses, instead of the exit of France of the euro, in fact using this possibility like final ultimatum, be like be, the certain thing is that I support any movement that spreads to unblock the irreversible end of the European Union, whenever it is with a positive solution, but I don't want to support to maintain it neither one minute more, with some actions so negative and interested, as those that it proposes day after day the German politics.  

It is that the inefficacy that impose the arguments of the Merkel is clear, in fact, I challenge somebody of my readers to that they tell me one alone that develops a reason or action plan, its manifestations are always the same ones: this is not the definitive solution, the creation of European funds this is not the definitive solution, the creation of the rescue Fund, this is not the definitive solution, the current "QE", it is worth you say because, and also say which it is to their to understand the definitive solution, because the pressures and the cuttings already go you that they are not it, but rather just the opposite, except for clearing it is that if they are the solution for Germany that at the end no matter how much now it loses, he will always have left enough advantage to buy once to the rest of the area euro this it is completely ruined. 

Lastly, I believe that I already exposed it but I make it again, I can grant to Germany that doesn't want to participate in acts of solidarity with nations that formerly those that maintained it in waist after two dramatic wars, were but it is that I find so outside of place this attitude that until I ask for forgiveness to expose it and to think it, but me contrary to the Merkel always intent to say what I think, and now I will tell him that if she doesn't want European because exactly serious funds Germany who would guarantee them in the bottom, I understand it, but there is another possibility that I exposed in their day, and it is the creation of an organization whose serious function to negotiate what we could call the European public treasure, endowing it of an initial capital of 2 trillion Eurus, the trillion that was approved already makes more than one month in form of a bottom ghost because nobody has seen it, and another trillion more as margin of security,  

These two trillions mean 16% of the current global GDP, this quantity would be contributed by the BCE, with the help of the setting in circulation of 2 trillion new Eurus, that would make lower the rate of the European foreign currency that we cannot really sustain and they are making it lower the markets without we take out profit some of this circumstance. The countries of the euro area included Germany, they would deposit in this entity their current debts that he would make increase their capital on one hand and their risk for another. 

But these surrenders would be totally counted unilaterally, so that each country he would have their debt and their very defined countable parameters, to be able to qualify her, and to treat her independently, of another debt with the purpose that each one has their interests and independent costs, that is to say that to Germany doesn't cost him nothing else that what their solvency rules, and this way the debt of each country. 

Starting from this controlled reunification, the alone new petitions of debt financing rotted to be requested and granted by this stamen, and not the open financial market, to this market the new entity would go, which would negotiate European debt without specifying of the one who or it stops who is, and once obtained of the market it would assign it to its addressee counting the different applications of cost of the same one, according to the parameters of internal solvency of each country of the euro area. Of course this organization would be qualified and authorized to negotiate purchases or debt sales or financial products you tune of inside of and outside of the euro area, that is to say he should try to make business as another financial entity anyone of the market of international debt. 

I assure them that one in the best ways of unifying what is, is that what unifies, be a good business and of benefits for the partners, this is a rule of gold that I have learned during my professional life. But what cannot be is that the debts in the UE grow more and more and have they cause as sign of general alarm, the necessity that the capital hides in the debts of countries like Germany that get paid instead of paying. This any person economist or not, you see that it is a natural aberration and that it denounces a bubble of such a caliber that when it explodes we will be taken to all for before