lunes, 3 de agosto de 2015

NOBODY MISSED GREECE IN THE EURO AREA



We follow to thinking of the convenience of saving Greece or not, the first thing that we should consider is if Greece wants to be saved and I would say that catching like guide the referendum that I have carried out the president for some weeks Tsipras, believes that the Greeks don't want to be saved. That which takes me to the consideration that to save them doesn't belong to the Greeks but of the politicians of the Eurozone. 

The question is that the Eurozone has the mistrust that if a member of the euro gets lost, he gets lost the whole universe euro and this is a tremendous estimate error on the part of the responsible ones economic and political of the UE, I maintain whenever he harms more to the economy of the euro to maintain the uncertainty of not being able to save Greece that not the certainty that the problem you aisle and it is stopped free of the obligation to stay in a permanent and irreparable crisis. 

I believe that today I can demonstrate that I am right when I read that: The activity manufacturer of the area euro grew quicker of that foreseen initially in July, only controlling lightly from the record of June of 14 months, while some prices to the rise maintained to line new orders, as they showed on Monday managerial surveys.  

Julio was one month very moved for the monetary union, with Greece touching the crash and, maybe like it was of waiting, the survey of this country showed the most marked fall in its 16 years of history. Giving a clear sign that the rest of the block minimized the turbulences, Holland, Spain and Italy enjoyed a solid growth, with this last one registering its biggest expansion in more than four years. This should like to those responsible for the BCE. 

Those responsible for the monetary politics will be calmer thanks to the robust rhythms of growth registered in these countries and to the stability of the sector manufacturer in their group, and all that with a threat of palpable "grexit." The index final PMI of the sector manufacturer of the area euro was of 52,4 in July, comfortably above the level of 50 that separates the growth of the contraction. The figure overcame a preliminary estimate of 52,2, but he stayed near June 52,5. 

An index that measures the production that incorporates to the prospective compound PMI for Wednesday and considered as a good guide for the growth he stayed stable in June of 53,6, overcoming the preliminary reading of 53,4. The growth of new orders controlled last month - the sub index fell at 52,2 from 52,7 - while the factories increased their prices for second month, although to a smaller rhythm that in June. Although it should be considered normal for the period summer holidays. 

Alone it is to consider that the UE considers the Greek disaster as mirror so that we look at ourselves in the one from Spain that we are the following ones in celebrating general elections and where it exists a serious threat that a government type conforms to Syriza, and this if he has a logic because the same as I say that Greece would not affect to the economy euro, a possible fall and later exit of Spain of the Euro group this if it would be the end of the Euro group. 

Nevertheless I believe that Greece will never be an example for the Spanish politics because the size conditions and economic importance cannot be comparable, to the actions and threats exercised in Greece, I fear myself that the Spanish society would not tolerate the pressures that Greece tolerates.  

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