As the hours
pass and that the comments of specialists are happened in politics with regard
to the local elections to city councils celebrated yesterday in Spain and of
course in Catalonia. The great query now is if Artur Mas it will maintain or
not its intention of summoning the Catalan elections for September 27. The
pressures on the president so that it allows it to run they have not made more
than to begin, this morning he wrote it myself and they also make it on the
part of a sector of their party and for part, in more measure, of their still
partners of it United Democratic. Press that they won't take in showing openly
or it is not very possible that alone they were pronounced openly if he/she
decides not to make them.
The
Christian democrats of it UNITED, (let us remember that But it governs between
two for a coalition parties, Democratic Convergence and it United Democratic
(CIU) that already pled to finish the legislature, they will double starting
from today their demand and, this time, Mas he could listen to them. The loss
of Barcelona has been a very hard blow for Convergence. The result obtained in
the entirety of Catalonia is very digestible, even flattering, for Mas, but
without dominating Barcelona it is difficult it led a process of independence
of Catalonia.
The
president is already some weeks ago aware that its pact with Oriol Junqueras
and the ANC to summon the elections the 27-S took to a devastating result for
its party, since the loss of votes for its coalition is assured so much by the
punishment that always suffers who governs and more under the conditions of current
crisis as for the indiscretion and in definition of the Duran i Lleida
president of its United Democratic that gives a certain image of uncertainty
the combined CIU. However, it prefixed their word to any consideration in
against.
That
position changes now because the loss of Barcelona is practically in certain
insecure way in my comment previous fact in hot I have not wanted to extend in
the reasons but now already rested the facts believe that if there are enough
reasons so that Mas it moves away its intention of not finishing the
legislature and therefore not to summon premature elections the 27S and it is
expected at the 2016 to that they pass the Spanish general elections announced
for November of this year.
The reasons
are clear the possible independence of alone Catalonia one will be able to vote
once if he gets lost the possibility the most probable thing it is that already
never more he repeats this opportunity so in September, Mas and Catalonia met
with a government in very concerned Madrid for their next elections and
therefore very aggressive and here with a future capital of the new country
with a local government that one doesn't know if he wants that he wants to make
with Catalonia, it is also until very possible that no longer this that there
is you waste to itself.
The winner
of these elections in Barcelona (BCN in common) it is it for single 1 deputy on
CIU that is the second 11/10, it is also a non-unitary formation but
constituted for: Guanyem Barcelona; Podemos; ICV; EUiA and Proces Constituent i
and Equ that is to say pick up several social civic movements and a single
political party, this amalgam it is necessary to see like they restrained among
them when they are in the enormous and complex city council of Barcelona, I
sincerely doubt that they not understand each other for ineffective but for
their own egos.
What I am
saying doesn't mean by no means that Mas it gives up the process sovereignty
and their leadership. In fact, Convergence and ERC could attempt a combined
list of the forces for the yes to the independence or even for the right to
decide from face to the general elections, but later when it is seen that
character has and if the new governorship arrives and if it continues governing
the PP in Spain what would allow on one hand to recover the desired totem of
the unit that is to say Barcelona and to meet with a less belligerent Spanish
government.
This
scenario would be ideal for Artur Mas. The postponement of the Catalan
elections would allow CiU to avoid its internal crisis at the moment, besides
avoiding the blow from the electorate to the traditional forces. The voters
could give loose rein to their anger with the traditional formations in the
general ones and they would arrive calmer to the Catalan. And it could also
demonstrate that there is not alternative to convergence so that it is this who
leads the assault to the independence of Catalonia this century.
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