miércoles, 23 de octubre de 2013

SPAIN, IS NOT GOOD TO BEGIN TO SING BEFORE OF MEMORIZING THE LETTER OF THE SONG


We are already as always, this country doesn't have remedy, maybe it is a question of political necessity to encourage to the society, but I believe sincerely that this form of making to the society confuses it and it discourages. Because I say this, because today we already read in all the Spanish newspapers that the Spanish economy came out in the third trimester of the year of the technical recession, after growing 0,1% between July and September, according to the estimates of the Bank of Spain, collections in its economic bulletin of October,  

Please gentlemen reporters and economists, I ignore if you also like to play certainly not with people to me, I suppose that a lot of part of my complaint is not his blame, I imagine that they should be forced by its control structures to publish the notes that the BDE emits., but I that don't have the obligation of obeying nobody, see myself in the moral obligation of telling to the society that is not believed that we are leaving the recession because it is not this way, no matter how much they denominate it "technically", so when they see in regular. <With the growth of 0,1% registered in the third trimester, the Spanish economy enters in positive after nine contraction trimesters and he says good-bye to the call technical recession, after two and a half years> they don't believe it to him. 

For sure it is certain the fact, I don't question it, but you cannot cackle as a rooster that wakes up the day when seeing the first sunbeams. Because first, 0.1% is not neither I line neither sun, and if also this coincides with the trimester but tourist of the year and at the same time for the trimester of less internal expenses for industrial vacations and of trade etc., it is logical and very poor this result, is also to keep in mind that of the popular statement "a flower no to do summer" the test it is that in spite of this cackled result the setback annualized of our GDP is of -1.2%. 

So better to treat these economic terms with much more wisdom because the society when he thinks that it has passed those of Cain, to pay the turn to the school of their children this September, and many see that they don't receive it to pay the food or the school transport, and let us don't say the books, he won't understand it, and another time we will be in that that the government deceives us.   

As test that what I say is this way and I don't eat they seek to cackle, alone it is necessary to continue reading the data of the BDE. In the third trimester, the internal demand would have registered a similar setback to that of the previous trimester, of 0,3% in rate inter quarterly, while the net external demand would have elevated its contribution to the product, with a contribution of 0,4 percentage points, as consequence of a "certain moderation" of the exports and a "light setback" of the imports. That said vacations inside of and tourists of it were. 

With all these reflections, and the reality that continues with maintaining the first floor level of rents, those still unfavorable perspectives of the labor market and the high indebtedness of the families, (because they continue without being able to work and to make money and to pay their debts) they don't allow to foresee a sensitive recovery of the short term consumption, and for that reason one cannot say that we are or that we have left the recession. 

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