With some luck and desires maybe will be able to say that the European
economic crisis will have been braked in this 2013, but certainly not overcome
that is otherwise what he will be necessary to make as quickly as possible, the
deflation or the stagflation of the economy we will install in next 5 years in
the euro area, and in Spain during about 15 years I calculate. This inequality
is not an impression or a personal pessimism, by no means is it the time that
Spain needed to build an industrial fabric that of two indispensable conditions
for the country, one is the very important economic and other obtaining of
resources the employment creation.
My plan so that this is not so and so long, he has two slopes, the
politics and the economic one, it is clear that one without the other one
doesn't work well, the problem is in how to conjugate them because the politics
is in hands of the Governments, the politicians, and a numberless of legal
organs, such as Congresses or Senates or both in many cases, this makes it slow
in its reactions and maxi me, when this problem that of the legal and
democratic bureaucracy multiplies it for twenty-seven.
However, the economy doesn't have anything of democratic, it is quick in
reactions, he is not due to anybody it is absolutely free, too much would say
me, and in many cases it skirts the illegality. That is to say politics and
economy are in fact and at the same time complementary and totally
antagonistic, and however there is not more remedy than to make them cohabit
more or less in harmony.
It is necessary to endow to the politics of much more dynamism and of
hardness in their taking and application of decisions. For there is it to
really insist in the European unit, it is necessary to give from the nations
that compose it all better more national sovereignty, it is necessary to order
the laws and the European constitution, so that it is from superior range to
the laws and constitutions of the nations that form the Union.
For example a law or community norm either of political or economic
range, it should be approved unanimously I don't eat up to now, but for simple
majority or qualified according to the range of the law in question, and to be
reflected obligatorily if he/she doesn't have space in the national
constitutions changing these without delay neither discussion some, they won't
be able to this way the nations to retain or to lengthen in their benefit and
to form of political blackmail sometimes, agreements and previously approved
laws and validated by the European Council in which you/they are already
represented legally.
The European Union should be aware that that entire Country or Nation
that he doesn't agree on undergoing this rigidity, should abandon its status of
permanent member of the European Union, it is not necessary to think of the
total expulsion he will be able to continue being part of the same UE but in
associate's quality or attaché, already returning to the figure lived of being
simply member of an European Common Market, but he won't have neither voice
neither I vote neither it will perceive any type of grant of the European
bottom of compensation.
He will have the advantages of free trade with the union and he will be
able to in the moment that he requests it and complete the requirements and
appropriate parameters, to request the total reincorporation of full right to
the European Union, accepting government's laws unconditionally and fiscal of
the Union. The European Union should understand that he is better being few and
all united ones that many and without union some. This first and great step
would take us without a doubt after some years to the total European
unification.
Once taken this very hard political, hard decision, measured of reactivation
of the European economy should be applied, we leave of the base that the fall
has already been sustained, what it is necessary to make quickly is to look for
reactivation measures, of the economy, so that the next one begins 2014.
1º. - to Increase the circulating monetary mass of Eurus 20% and at the
same time to devalue the euro in also 20%, that is to say to put the euro more
or less to a change of 110 dollars.
2º. - to Go down the interest from the money to 0,25% up to 2015, taking
the relief of the FED that foregone will go up it in the first trimester of the
2014, starting from the 2015 year in that this slope of the money and the
devaluation of the euro will have reactivated the production maybe it will have
gone up the inflation, to go increasing the cost of the money between annual
point up to the 2020 (final of the damned decade) to the one that we would
arrive with a money with a cost of 3% as maximum.
3º. - to let that the inflation ascends until 4% like end maximum
arrival to this figure, if it is that it arrives, it was stabilized and it
began to lower for the pressure of the increase of the interests and for the
stabilization of the reactivation of the economy that will have taken place in
theory.
With these economic measures the exports and the internal production
were reactivated, the internal consumption will accelerate, as well as the
credit flow to the companies and matters, with these measures you should
reactivate the labor market, the imports will be retained when going up its
price, this balanced the scale of payments and it avoided the possibility of an
excessive inflation. The knowledge of the interests of the money and their
preset evolution, it will allow the concession of credits to the investment and
the consumption and their calculation in what concerns to their costs of
paying-offs, objective fact and that it is very necessary for the taking of
investment decisions in companies and of the expense for the matters. Of course
it will be necessary the control of the evolution of the established plans, of
there the importance of the points related with the political governability of
the union, because if something doesn't work like it would be of waiting, you
cannot be one year to rectify in a sense or another.
The European Union should understand that in these moments it is not any
economic colossus, rather on the contrary, and it cannot be allowed to sustain
a foreign currency that is very above its real value, this should stop it
immediately because it is the logical thing, all the parameters that give value
to a foreign currency are for the floors, there is not productivity, there is
galloping debt, unemployment to 12%, we don't have own resources, my question
is clear that he/she gives value to the euro so that 37% is quoted above the
Dollar, alone there is an explanation the international speculation, all this
is hard, very hard, but it is question of saying course, we are here, and from
here we will go back to truly be the European giant that we want to be. I maxi
me if like it seems we want to implement a new unique market jointly with the
USA.
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