domingo, 3 de mayo de 2015

THE UE THIS BLINDED FOR AN ILLUSION BECAUSE HE SCARES HIM THE REALITY


The whole UE is coming undone in some economic and social uncertainties that he refuses to want to see it is as if the first minister of the euro area are amid a desert and instead of seeing the sands that will bury them sees a wonderful oasis full with palms and a lake of fresh water the situation it begins to be alarming and the worst thing is that the oasis is not stumped because every time they need it more to survive but the reality is another very different one there are not palms there is not water there is not alone shade there is a burning sun that will burn definitively. 

All the governments of the UE, they are not determined to confront the reality but in also denying it Spain you ready to be image of this illusion that doesn't exist I don't know what it seeks the euro area with continuing praising the action of the government from Spain, I cannot understand as a state that every time has more unemployment that is able to convert the statistic of the occupation for the work per hours, instead of for busy workers that the debt continues ascending month to month that they don't stop the imputations of acts of graft of public funds, of bleach of money, of abuse of power, carried out for political, of proving judicially that an accounting existed B of the party in the government. And that the economic data are false completely like in their day he made Greece with Goldman Sachs it continues like he said being presented in Europe like example at least is what our rulers tell us. 

But it doesn't finish with Spain the problem, the illusion of the data diffused in advance by the Italian Ministry of Work has broken: April 23 the holder of the wallet Giuliano Poletti had announced some preliminary data that indicated 92.000 new contracts in March - the first month of the labor reformation - with an ascent of almost 50% of the contracts on time indefinite. For that time, however, the opposition had alerted that to confirm the Government's enthusiasm he/she was necessary to wait the definitive data of Istat, the national institute of statistic.  

Their arrival last Thursday he fell as a pitcher of cold water on the Executive of Matteo Renzi: the unemployment rate ascended in March 0,2 percent with regard to February again, month in which the fact had already registered a slight increase. The data of Istat show that the positive path of December and January, when the unemployment had begun to lower, it is interrupted. The unemployment rate has arrived until the level of last November, when Italy was still sunk in the tunnel of the recession. The Italian fact, is certain, it continues being very low with respect to Spanish, with an unemployment of 13 percent. However the calculations transalpine are different, since Rome continues counting as employees some workers that charge a provisional subsidy that is to say as consequence of files of employment regulation he also makes traps to be in the wonderful oasis. 

In fact the law, call with the English term "Jobsact", not alone it simplifies and it reduces the discharge (introducing in the event of unfounded discharge, a compensation, while previously the worker could request the reinstatement in his position), but prevue that the companies don't pay quotas to the social security during three years for each new contract on time indefinite. A measure that, in the first minister intentions, it should facilitate the new recruiting’s, mainly of young, thanks to the conversions of precarious contracts in more stable contracts. But neither this objective has been gotten during the first month of application of the reformation: the juvenile unemployment in March went up 0,3 points, until arriving to 43,1 percent.  

Parallelly to these disasters Greece Italy and Spain, the German population is less and less numerous and more and more old. A report of the Federal Office of Statistical prevue that the 81 million inhabitants that he has Germany to day of today increase lightly in the next ones five to seven years stops later to diminish drastically. This way, in 2060 Merkel will live in the country of Angela between 68 and 73 million people. The previous presage of 2009 had assumed that there would be between 65 and 70 million people. The new calculations, therefore, indicate that the population contracts, but she will make it to a slower rhythm, and the cause of you/he is it the immigration. 

The population's aging affects to the whole European Union. The hope of life increases and the rate of natality decreases. In Spain, the population bigger than 65 years will bend of here at 2050. And the population that should finance the payment of their pensions (between 16 and 64 years) he will decrease. According to the National Institute of Statistic, if today for each 100 people in age of working there are 27,6 bigger than 64 years; in 2050, there will almost be 73. The Governments of almost all Europe has reformed its systems of pensions. Italy, France, Portugal or Sweden have undertaken changes to limit the premature jubilation and to retard the real age of jubilation. This questions the German idea of the immigration because it is evident that what Germany doesn't want is that they emigrate to her old but young but like we see in all the countries the youths they end. 

Alone there is a solution and this solution goes by not growing if there is not possibility to maintain the demographic growth inside some parameters that political and society should study jointly they are not entitled the politicians to decide if to Germany they are necessary him more inhabitants or not this is a question of a lot of human and social importance it is certain that if Germany you full with immigrants sooner or later stopped to be Germany, somebody has thought of that, the incoherence’s of the solutions that political and economists seek to apply or to give as acts of faith, they are an authentic aberration that puts in danger the social life and politics of Europe. 

Imagine as in next ten years and we are that Germany has 90 million inhabitants among those which alone 50 are German of an or two generations, the first thing that one thinks is if the other forty millions will feel German or not because alone they will be there to work, not you to you but me this reminds me the situation of the Egypt of the Pharaohs and the Jews, the few Germans will be pensioners and rich and those immigrated the hard-working poor will be building their funeral monuments, and I eat these workers they will also have emptied their origin nations these they will be some deader nations of what today he is already. 

They don't come that this is untenable that these ideas are what I come saying a terrible illusion that to blinds the reason and the common sense. Germany doesn't need to grow more but just the opposite, he should decrease at the level of a logical demography that the experts should study and if he scares them that their factories stop for manpower lack, what they have to make is to transfer them to where they make they lack factories and it has more than enough manpower, hear the difference of cost of this manpower in origin in relation to the German it is such that would allow to make the Spaniards, Italian, Portuguese work for example and Greek, with a normal wage for them and to maintain the margins of gross benefit the sufficiently wide ones to maintain the German pensions, and this would be very seen because it would be the form of to maintain and to enlarge and to balance the consumption of the UE. 

But what you cannot continue thinking is that I eat Germany he goes well it is necessary to maintain it to all coast, this is an aberration because alone it is like I say an enormous illusion that was also stumped in some few months but at the time.  

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