sábado, 2 de mayo de 2015

WE ALL KNOW WHAT HAPPENS BUT ALREADY NOBODY CAN CHANGE IT ALONE



Everybody coincides all they know and they know the situation and the problems. The perspectives for the world economy are clear, and they are not favorable: recession in Europe, anemic growth in the best in the cases in United States, a deceleration in China that extends in most of the emergent economies. 

The Asian economies are exposed to China so much that this you leave almost in the globalizers necessity giving I work them and production to reduce costs. Latin America is exposed to smaller prices of matters cousins (as China and the advanced economies you stopped) there is also a tremendous drought in the south cone what affects to the cultivation of cereals. Central Europe and oriental are exposed to the euro zona and this in turn to the euro. And the turbulences in the Middle East are causing serious economic and geopolitical risks and, therefore, the prices of the petroleum fall and they also sink countless economies poor. 

There is no doubt that there is a recession in the euro zona. Although it is not possible to predict their depth and duration, neither it is general and with the same intensity in all their extension, my opinion is that there will be different recessions, the constant contraction of the credit, the problems of sovereign debt, the lack of competitiveness and the fiscal austerity imply all a serious one and in some places deep economic contraction that he crawled I get a change of political social which will give a turn toward the social communism another time. 

United States that grows at a snail's pace from 2013, faces considerable risks to the drop due to the crisis of the euro zona. It should also fight with a significant fiscal ballast, for that reason the new saving measures in expenses of defense that has opted to apply Obama are indispensable, the political stagnation that has already begun in view of the next elections that he has the country will block all new initiative and to longer term and the more than probable republican victory will make change the economic inertia of the most powerful country in the world completely but in turn it will be cruel with its society. 

Meanwhile, they are every time it is more reserved the pattern of growth of China. The fall of the real estate prices is detonating a reaction in chain that will have a negative effect in the construction companies, the investment and the government's revenues. But with everything I don't believe that Chinese suffers if she will make it the international financial world because he is put in all that smells as always of expansible bubble. 

The situation in Africa and everybody Islamic it is of a such complexity that cannot be more than with the luck, so that they get ready the things and it can leave the economic atony that they suffer these regions gives you immemorial times, the petrodollars don't change the whole complex Islamic, but rather alone world they unbalance it more and more the social and tribal fights and nuns confuse the real objectives of the society and they maintain it anchored in kind of a similar dark age to the western medieval time. 

As he said in the heading all we know what happens, but the reality is that nobody can put order and remedy to all that we know that it happens. Curious paradox but simple very simple of understanding, the knowledge of the situation is thing of the globalization, the problems are caused without any doubt by the globalization, but however the globalization is not prepared for globalizer the solutions, because the solutions are not global, as well as neither they are it the politicians, the beliefs, and the societies. 

Already days ago in my comments I demand the retreat of the theory of the globalization that is destroying the world, but it is a similar case to the contamination all we know that we contaminate and that it is bad for all, but who he wants to do without of her, but this is an error, the globalization he has an effect contrary to which is supposed, the globalization it doesn't balance neither societies, neither economies, neither political, neither resources, but just the opposite who it will suppose that in a world globalized almost in their entirety the petroleum will lower more than 50% of its price. 

The globalization what globalize is the speculation, and it makes worse the social, and economic imbalances in the world, it is necessary to disable the idea of the globalization and to change it for the cooperation, that is to say it is necessary to give to each society the possibility to supplement him in what is necessary him to prosper in its future and in its economy, and not to force him to apply what was them well in its day to some few ones, under some circumstances that are impossible in other atmospheres and circumstances, this performance practice is very from the USA that they believe always that everybody should be as them, to practice its system of life, to follow the rules of its economy, and until they should speak in English. 

I believe that the USA took in its moment the idea that as them they knew all that passed in the world, they were the suitable ones in unifying and globalizer the world to its image and likeness and they rushed to it, the consequences will be brutal if we didn't stop this aberrant politics suddenly, and characteristic of a country and some specialists and political and economic that are single preparations to understand to the USA but that centuries they still lack them to understand what is the world and its disparity minimally. 

The global situation of the world that is indispensable that we understand it and that we have to solve as soon as possible, we have to solve it even solving each one of their own imbalances that they have been enlarged by the application of a false and mistaken theory, for those that seemed them to benefit them in principle, and that today like to all they see that it is ruining them and making go back.  

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