Everybody coincides all they know and they know the situation and the
problems. The perspectives for the world economy are clear, and they are not
favorable: recession in Europe, anemic growth in the best in the cases in
United States, a deceleration in China that extends in most of the emergent
economies.
The Asian economies are exposed to China so much that this you leave almost
in the globalizers necessity giving I work them and production to reduce costs.
Latin America is exposed to smaller prices of matters cousins (as China and the
advanced economies you stopped) there is also a tremendous drought in the south
cone what affects to the cultivation of cereals. Central Europe and oriental
are exposed to the euro zona and this in turn to the euro. And the turbulences
in the Middle East are causing serious economic and geopolitical risks and,
therefore, the prices of the petroleum fall and they also sink countless
economies poor.
There is no doubt that there is a recession in the euro zona. Although it
is not possible to predict their depth and duration, neither it is general and
with the same intensity in all their extension, my opinion is that there will
be different recessions, the constant contraction of the credit, the problems
of sovereign debt, the lack of competitiveness and the fiscal austerity imply
all a serious one and in some places deep economic contraction that he crawled
I get a change of political social which will give a turn toward the social
communism another time.
United States that grows at a snail's pace from 2013, faces considerable
risks to the drop due to the crisis of the euro zona. It should also fight with
a significant fiscal ballast, for that reason the new saving measures in
expenses of defense that has opted to apply Obama are indispensable, the
political stagnation that has already begun in view of the next elections that
he has the country will block all new initiative and to longer term and the
more than probable republican victory will make change the economic inertia of
the most powerful country in the world completely but in turn it will be cruel
with its society.
Meanwhile, they are every time it is more reserved the pattern of growth of
China. The fall of the real estate prices is detonating a reaction in chain
that will have a negative effect in the construction companies, the investment
and the government's revenues. But with everything I don't believe that Chinese
suffers if she will make it the international financial world because he is put
in all that smells as always of expansible bubble.
The situation in Africa and everybody Islamic it is of a such complexity
that cannot be more than with the luck, so that they get ready the things and
it can leave the economic atony that they suffer these regions gives you
immemorial times, the petrodollars don't change the whole complex Islamic, but
rather alone world they unbalance it more and more the social and tribal fights
and nuns confuse the real objectives of the society and they maintain it
anchored in kind of a similar dark age to the western medieval time.
As he said in the heading all we know what happens, but the reality is that
nobody can put order and remedy to all that we know that it happens. Curious
paradox but simple very simple of understanding, the knowledge of the situation
is thing of the globalization, the problems are caused without any doubt by the
globalization, but however the globalization is not prepared for globalizer the
solutions, because the solutions are not global, as well as neither they are it
the politicians, the beliefs, and the societies.
Already days ago in my comments I demand the retreat of the theory of the
globalization that is destroying the world, but it is a similar case to the
contamination all we know that we contaminate and that it is bad for all, but
who he wants to do without of her, but this is an error, the globalization he
has an effect contrary to which is supposed, the globalization it doesn't
balance neither societies, neither economies, neither political, neither
resources, but just the opposite who it will suppose that in a world globalized
almost in their entirety the petroleum will lower more than 50% of its
price.
The globalization what globalize is the speculation, and it makes worse the
social, and economic imbalances in the world, it is necessary to disable the
idea of the globalization and to change it for the cooperation, that is to say it is necessary to give to each society
the possibility to supplement him in what is necessary him to prosper in its
future and in its economy, and not to force him to apply what was them well in
its day to some few ones, under some circumstances that are impossible in other
atmospheres and circumstances, this performance practice is very from the USA
that they believe always that everybody should be as them, to practice its
system of life, to follow the rules of its economy, and until they should speak
in English.
I believe that the USA took in its moment the idea that as them they knew
all that passed in the world, they were the suitable ones in unifying and globalizer
the world to its image and likeness and they rushed to it, the consequences
will be brutal if we didn't stop this aberrant politics suddenly, and
characteristic of a country and some specialists and political and economic
that are single preparations to understand to the USA but that centuries they
still lack them to understand what is the world and its disparity minimally.
The global situation of the world that is indispensable that we understand
it and that we have to solve as soon as possible, we have to solve it even
solving each one of their own imbalances that they have been enlarged by the
application of a false and mistaken theory, for those that seemed them to
benefit them in principle, and that today like to all they see that it is
ruining them and making go back.
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