The industry
of Catalonia has decided to take the reins of the recovery of the economic
activity doing without completely of the problems and attacks without the
politicians' of the PP considerations and of the Spanish journalists. They
prove this way it some of the joint indicators, as the evolution of the
industrial GDP that already chains five trimesters followed by growth in the
Catalan case while the one referred to the group of the Spanish sector only
made it in the fourth trimester of the 2013. As they indicate the last data for
available territories.
In short, the GDP industrial Catalan has grown in
five points from October of the 2012, while Spanish has gone back in 4,7 points in the same period.
We are speaking anything less than a differential of 10 points in that the
Catalan industry already leads to the rest of the Spanish economy and this
difference is not because Spain buys us our production it is because thanks to
god the Catalan industry has done without of the Spanish market and he has gone
to the world.
The evolution
of the index of industrial production (IPI) during the years of the crisis he
also attests the small breach that has opened up among the two economies, with
some rates that they ran even before begins the great depression and that the
years of the crisis they have distanced lightly. While in March of the 2009 the
IPI moved between the 100,8 of Catalonia and the 101,4 of Spain, in March of
this year the Catalan index has climbed up to the 105,4 while the state one has
fallen at the 95,9. Partly it is logical they are the blissful 10 distance
points between Catalonia and the rest of Spain.
The distance
is also visible from the point of view of the business volume, because taking
as starting point the last trimester of the 2012, the Catalan index is four
points above which throws the group of the Spanish industry. It is not strange
that in this situation the harmonized index of trust of the Catalan industry
for the first two trimesters of this year leads in four points and half to
Spanish: 119 in front of 114,6. The same indicator for the group of the economy
also offers a favorable balance to the atmosphere managerial face Catalan to
the second trimester of the 2014 with 125,5 points for the 118 of Spanish.
Don't all
those data make more than to complicate the one that Madrid consents to give
the imperium of making the Catalan consultation and thing of the constitution
is not or of the negative of the congress like they will allow it and if it
wins the “YES”? That he makes Spain if it loses the evolution of the Catalan
cycle and don't sink simply to that of the group of since Spain it would
influence him very negatively in their symmetry process with Europe."
In a titled
article the economic cycle of Catalonia. An analysis of the symmetry regarding
Spain and to the UE, they are explained in the conclusions that that best
behavior in Catalonia, settles on "strengths like the high grade of
international opening of its economic activity, a relatively more important
weight of the industrial sector, and inside him of sectors with capacity
exporter with a considerable increment of intensive activities in technology,
bigger synchronic "exists between the cycle economic Catalan and that of
the rest of Europe due to the typologies of its industry and to that there is a
bigger volume of industrial trade with the countries of the center of the
continent."
In spite of
everything that exposed, other indicators suggest the idea that the recovery is
still in an initial stadium, because although all the indexes are returning to
rates of the beginning of the crisis, the employment in the industrial sector
has not stopped to fall. With everything at the beginning of this year, the
industries of Catalonia gave work to 525.000 workers, according to the data of
the EPA. This figure represents practically that one of each four employee’s
industrial Spaniards works in Catalan companies.
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