With some luck
and desires maybe will be able to say that the European economic crisis will
have been braked in this 2014, but certainly not overcome that is otherwise
what he will be necessary to make as quickly as possible, the deflation or the stagflation
of the economy we will install in next 10 years in the euro area, and in Spain
during about 15 years I calculate. This inequality is not an impression or a personal
pessimism, by no means is it the time that Spain will need to build a new
industrial fabric that of two indispensable conditions for the country, one is
the very important economic and other obtaining of resources the employment
creation.
My plan so
that this is not so and so long, he has two slopes, the politics and the
economic one, it is clear that one without the other one doesn't work well, the
problem is in how to conjugate them because the politics that up to now is in
hands of the Governments, the political parties more or less classic, they have
left that for its incoherence’s they are infiltrating numerous political
tendencies that in the bottom that will make at the moment, it is to complicate
a lot everything but this will make slower its reactions before any problem or
taking of decisions.
However, the
economy doesn't have anything of democratic, it is quick in reactions, he is
not due to anybody it is absolutely free, too much would say me, and in many
cases it skirts the illegality. That is to say politics and economy are in fact
and at the same time complementary and totally antagonistic, and however there
is not more remedy than to make them cohabit more or less in harmony.
It is
necessary to endow to the politics of much more dynamism and of hardness in
their taking and application of decisions. For there is it to really insist in
the European unit, it is necessary to give from the nations that compose it all
better more national sovereignty, it is necessary to order the laws and the
European constitution, so that it is from superior range to the laws and
constitutions of the nations that form the Union.
For example a
law or community norm either of political or economic range, it should be
approved unanimously I don't eat up to now, but for simple majority or
qualified according to the range of the law in question, and to be reflected
obligatorily if he doesn't have space in the national constitutions changing
these without delay neither discussion some, they won't be able to this way the
nations to retain or to lengthen in their benefit and to form of political
blackmail sometimes, agreements and previously approved laws and validated by
the European Council in which you/they are already represented legally.
The European
Union should be aware that that entire Country or Nation that he doesn't agree
on undergoing this rigidity, should abandon its status of permanent member of
the European Union, it is not necessary to think of the total expulsion he will
be able to continue being part of the same UE but in associate's quality or
attaché, already returning to the figure lived of being simply member of an European
Common Market, but he won't have neither voice neither I vote neither it will
perceive any type of grant of the European bottom of compensation.
He will have
the advantages of free trade with the union and he will be able to in the
moment that he requests it and complete the requirements and appropriate parameters,
to request the total reincorporation of full right to the European Union,
accepting government's laws unconditionally and fiscal of the Union. The
European Union should understand that he is better being few and all united
ones that many and without union some. This first and great step would take us
without a doubt after some years to the total European unification.
Once taken
this very hard political, hard decision, measured reactivation of the European
economy should be applied, we leave of the base that the fall has already been
sustained, what it is necessary to make quickly is to look for reactivation
measures, of the economy, so that the next one begins 2015.
1º.
- to Increase the circulating monetary mass of Eurus 20% and at the same time
to devalue the euro in also 20%, that is to say to put the euro more or less to
a change of 110 dollars.
2º.
- to Go down the interest from the money to 0,00% up to 2016, taking the relief
of the FED that foregone will go up it in the first trimester of the 2015,
starting from the 2015 year in that this slope of the money and the devaluation
of the euro will have reactivated the production maybe it will have gone up the
inflation, if it is this way to go increasing the cost of the money between
annual point up to the 2020 (final of the damned decade) to the one that we
would arrive with a money with a cost of 2% as maximum.
3º.
- to let that the inflation ascends until 3.5% like end maximum arrival to this
figure, if it is that it arrives, it was stabilized and it began to lower for
the pressure of the increase of the interests and for the stabilization of the reactivation
of the economy that will have taken place in theory.
With these
economic measures the exports and the internal production were reactivated, the
internal consumption will accelerate, as well as the credit flow to the
companies and matters, with these measures you should reactivate the labor
market, the imports will be retained when going up its price, this balanced the
scale of payments and it avoided the possibility of an excessive
inflation.
The knowledge
of the interests of the money and their preset future evolution, it will allow
the concession of credits to the investment and the consumption and their
calculation in what concerns to their costs of paying-offs, objective fact and
that it is very necessary for the taking of investment decisions in companies
and of the expense for the matters. Of course it will be necessary the control
of the evolution of the established plans, of there the importance of the
points related with the political governability of the union, because if
something doesn't work like it would be of waiting, you cannot be one year to
rectify in a sense or another.
The European Union
should understand that in these moments it is not any economic colossus, rather
on the contrary, and it cannot be allowed to sustain a foreign currency that is
very above its real value, this should stop it immediately because it is the
logical thing, all the parameters that give value to a foreign currency are for
the floors, there is not productivity, there is galloping debt, an unemployment
average to 12%, we don't have own resources, my question is clear as my followers
they already know that he gives value to the euro so that 37% is quoted above
the Dollar, alone there is an explanation the international speculation, all
this is hard, very hard, but it is question of saying course, we are here, and
from here we will go back to truly be the European giant that we want to
be.
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