viernes, 4 de abril de 2014

THE CEOE CONFIRMS ITS FEAR TO STAY INS CATALUNYA THREATENING UNTIL WITH THE USE OF THE ARMY



A study of the Institute of Economic Studies, think tank of the CEOE, elaborated by the professor of economic analysis of the UAB, Clemente Pole, legitimates the resource to the Army in the event of an unilateral secession of Catalonia and it risks that you unlawfully to the parties that supported her, would be imprisoned its leaders and the Parlament would close, something similar to what has made Russia with Crimea but the other way around. The document concludes that the aspirations of independence of Catalonia arrive late 350 years to be recognized by the international opinion. 

The author concludes that it is more probable" than the Govern and the Parlament they end up declaring the independence unilaterally that to sustain that the Spanish Government would accept the secession. He adds that, "miscarried the secession, imprisoned their leaders and unlawfully the political parties that supported her, would open up a transitory period during which the Statute would be in flunk and the transferred competitions would return at the hands of the Government". Why it considers that it is this last one the most probable scenario. Not alone because Rajoy, as Lincoln in 1861, swore solemnly to keep and to make keep the Constitution and it has reiterated that commitment in multitude of occasions, but because "powerful economic" reasons exist so that the State adopts the necessary measures to impede the secession of Catalonia", it aims Pole. 

In this line, it defends that the Spanish Constitution, the same as that of USA, expected the intervention of the Armed forces to guarantee the territorial integrity, and he adds: "in the event of armed insurrection, the Spanish Government would have to adopt the necessary measures to suppress the rising, I eat it already happened in the “Second Republic". Also, he underlines that "the international legality endorses therefore to the Spanish State to adopt the necessary measures that guarantee its territorial" integrity. God of the sky in that century the Spanish oligarchy lives this gentleman at least in the XIX century. This is so truth that is reflected in the economic structure - managerial Spanish that doesn't work they don't make companies they don't foment work they are some USELESS to the workers' coast and the society. 

The president of the CEOE, Juan Rosell, comes out today to moderate its partners in an interview in (TV 3) but he is not able to it is stronger the fear that the shame maintains this way that there are many incognito still for awake, and he has noticed of some of the economic risks that it would bear the secession, which were denounced in its 'think tank', for the Institute of Economic Studies (IEE). These risks would already derive of some of the consequences noticed by the own Spanish Government and for the UE, as the exit of the euro or of the European institutions, and they would be translated, in the financial sector, in the closing of the faucet on the part of the BCE of the necessary liquidity that now enjoy the Catalan banks as CaixaBank or the Sabadell. 

This is not this way and they know it today the Caixa and the Sabadell they are installed in numerous national and international squares and their active deposits and credits are so many that their possible one bankrupt economic one would cause it authenticates debacle to European companies and Spaniards it would sink the economy of people's thousands so in Spain leaves you of foolishness the BCE would give credo and Eurus in the face of the possibility of a disaster of such a span another thing it is that doesn't form Catalonia it leaves during a time of the group of countries of the euro but he would not stop to operate with the BCE neither with the euro, they would be as the Andorran banks to give a near example.  

In this interview, Rosell has wanted to disassociate of the political debate on the consultation or envelope the eventual independence of Catalonia and it has been limited to point out that the companies are not to make political and therefore the managers are not nobody" to say "what it is necessary to make from the political" point of view. But the responsible for the employer one has wanted to differentiate the political debate of the technical debate, of the economic and managerial implications of the secession. Rosell has discarded to harden the speech against the process sovereignty of Catalonia "a thing it is political and another is economic" things. 

In this sense, Rosell has defended the presented report of its employer one this Thursday in the Equestrian Circle of Barcelona in which ventures that, in the event of independence, the exports to the rest of the State would fall near 50%, the financial entities with headquarters in Barcelona would change headquarters, the cousin of risk would ascend, the cost of financing of the companies also, financial assets would leave and one gives they would locate companies.  

My mother where Mr. Rosell that punishes with the good thing is that it seemed to be when it was in Barcelona, Mr. Rosell in the current situation is Catalonia the one that is creating but more employment of Spain, it is exporting more than all Spain joins, he receives 16.2% of the international investments that arrive in Spain, although it is less 4 times in global quantity that Madrid, doesn't reflect the reality because in this comparative percentage the financial investments are included and clearing is, in Spain the financial structure is centered in Madrid, but when we look at the investment in having immobilized material and employment, it is that Madrid and Catalonia are equaled practically 

Anyway, the president of the Institute of Economic Studies and president of the commission of economy of the employer CEOE, José Luis Feito, omened that it would be given a "hyperinflation" and a massive flight of capitals the same day in that Catalonia announced its independence, absurd theory if this has to happen it would not be at the 24 hours it would already be happening now, just in case, and however the foreign investments increase, the only thing certain it is that you Sr Feito has admitted that the costs for the rest of Spain would be "enormous" and I tell him that so enormous that Spain would run the risk of it turns forced to leave the euro or being rescued by the UE.  

A retired manager of the auxiliary sector of the auto motion has questioned the vision of Feito and it has concluded that the interests in game are too important so that there are not movements of last hour that impede the rupture between Spain and Catalonia, and this it has concluded that the own UE would also make the impossible thing to avoid the independence uncontrolled of Catalonia, among other aspects, because the Germans maybe fear not to be able to charge their debts". He doesn't miss reason the manager Sirs they don't worry. of the CEOE when it arrives the moment that Spain doesn't want to go to negotiate with Catalonia on an exit wiz out consensus to this situation it will be the UE and not the Spanish army the one that will intervene. 

LA CEOE CONFIRMA SU MIEDO A QUEDARSE SIN CATALUNYA AMENAZANDO HASTA CON EL USO DEL EJERCITO


Un estudio del Instituto de Estudios Económicos, think tank de la CEOE, elaborado por el catedrático de análisis económico de la UAB, Clemente Polo, legitima el recurso al Ejército en caso de una secesión unilateral de Catalunya y aventura que se ilegalizaría a los partidos que la apoyaran, se encarcelaría a sus líderes y se cerraría el Parlament. Algo parecido a lo que ha hecho Rusia con Crimea pero al revés. El documento concluye que las aspiraciones de independencia de Catalunya llegan 350 años tarde para ser reconocidas por la opinión internacional.

El autor concluye que es "más probable" que el Govern y el Parlament acaben por declarar la independencia unilateralmente que sostener que el Gobierno español aceptaría la secesión. Añade que, "abortada la secesión, encarcelados sus líderes e ilegalizados los partidos políticos que la apoyaron, se abriría un período transitorio durante el cual el Estatut quedaría en suspenso y las competencias transferidas volverían a manos del Gobierno". Por qué considera que es este último el escenario más probable. No solo porque Rajoy, como Lincoln en 1861, juró solemnemente guardar y hacer guardar la Constitución y ha reiterado ese compromiso en multitud de ocasiones, sino porque existen “poderosas razones económicas” para que el Estado adopte las medidas necesarias para impedir la secesión de Catalunya", apunta Polo.

En esta línea, defiende que la Constitución española, al igual que la de EE.UU., prevé la intervención de las Fuerzas Armadas para garantizar la integridad territorial, y añade: "en caso de insurrección armada, el Gobierno español tendría que adoptar las medidas necesarias para suprimir el levantamiento, como ya ocurrió en la Segunda República". Asimismo, subraya que "la legalidad internacional avala por tanto al Estado español para adoptar las medidas necesarias que garanticen su integridad territorial". Dios del cielo en que siglo vive la oligarquía española este señor cuando menos en el siglo XIX. Esto es tan verdad que se refleja en la estructura económico- empresarial española, que no funciona no hacen empresas no fomentan trabajo son unos INUTILES  VIVIDORES a costa de los trabajadores y la sociedad.

El presidente de la CEOE, Juan Rosell, sale hoy a moderar a sus socios en una entrevista en (TV 3) pero no puede es más fuerte el miedo que la vergüenza así mantiene de que hay muchas incógnitas todavía por desvelar, y ha advertido de algunos de los riesgos económicos que conllevaría la secesión, los cuales fueron denunciados en su 'think tank', por el Instituto de Estudios Económicos (IEE). Estos riesgos derivarían de algunas de las consecuencias ya advertidas por el propio Gobierno español y por la UE, como la salida del euro o de las instituciones europeas, y se traducirían, en el sector financiero, en el cierre del grifo por parte del BCE de la liquidez necesaria que ahora disfrutan los bancos catalanes como CaixaBank o el Sabadell.

Esto no es así y lo saben hoy la Caixa y el Sabadell están instalados en numerosas plazas nacionales e internacionales y sus activos depósitos y créditos son tantos que su posible fallida económica ocasionaría una autentica debacle a empresas europeas y españolas hundiría la economía de miles de personas en España así que déjense de tonterías el BCE daría credito y euros ante la posibilidad de un desastre de tal envergadura otra cosa es que no formase parte Catalunya durante un tiempo del grupo de países del euro pero no dejaría de operar con el BCE ni con el euro, serían como los bancos andorranos por dar un ejemplo cercano.

En esta entrevista, Rosell ha querido desmarcarse del debate político sobre la consulta o sobre la eventual independencia de Catalunya y se ha limitado a señalar que las empresas no están para hacer política y por tanto los empresarios "no son nadie" para decir "qué hay que hacer desde el punto de vista político". Pero el responsable de la patronal ha querido diferenciar el debate político del debate técnico, de las implicaciones económicas y empresariales de la secesión. Rosell ha descartado endurecer el discurso contra el proceso soberanista de Catalunya "una cosa es política y otra son cosas económicas".

En este sentido, Rosell ha defendido el informe de su patronal presentado este jueves en el Círculo Ecuestre de Barcelona en el que se aventura que, en caso de independencia, las exportaciones al resto del Estado caerían cerca de un 50%, las entidades financieras con sede en Barcelona cambiarían de sede, la prima de riesgo subiría, el coste de financiación de las empresas también, se irían activos financieros y se des localizarían empresas.

Madre mía donde está el Sr. Rosell que pena con lo bueno que parecía ser cuando estaba en Barcelona, Sr. Rosell en la situación actual es Catalunya la que está creando mas más empleo de España, está exportando más que toda España junta, recibe un 16.2% de las inversiones internacionales que llegan a España, si bien es 4 veces menos en cantidad global que Madrid, no refleja la realidad porque en este porcentaje comparativo están incluidas las inversiones financieras y claro está, en España la estructura financiera está centrada en Madrid, pero cuando miramos la inversión en inmovilizado material y empleo, resulta que Madrid y Catalunya se igualan prácticamente

En cualquier caso, el presidente del Instituto de Estudios Económicos y presidente de la comisión de economía de la patronal CEOE, José Luis Feito, auguró que se daría una "hiperinflación" y una fuga masiva de capitales el mismo día en que Catalunya anunciara su independencia, absurda teoría si esto tuviese que ocurrir no sería a las 24 horas ya estaría sucediendo ahora, por si acaso, y sin embargo las inversiones extranjeras aumentan, lo único cierto es que usted Sr Feito  ha admitido que los costes para el resto de España serían "descomunales" y yo le digo que tan descomunales que España correría el riesgo de verse obligada a salir del euro o ser rescatada por la UE.

Un empresario jubilado del sector auxiliar de la automoción ha cuestionado la visión de Feito y ha concluido que los intereses en juego son demasiado importantes para que no haya movimientos de última hora que impidan la ruptura entre España y Catalunya, y este ha concluido que la propia UE también haría lo imposible para evitar la independencia incontrolada de Catalunya, entre otros aspectos, porque quizá los alemanes teman "no poder cobrar sus deudas". No le falta razón al empresario no se preocupen Srs. de la CEOE cuando llegue el momento de que España no quiera pasar por negociar con Catalunya sobre una salida consensuada a esta situación será la UE y no el ejército español el que intervendrá.

jueves, 3 de abril de 2014

IT IS NOT SINGLE DRAGHI AND THE BCE THE ONE THAT SHOULD ALSO BE IN CONSENT THE EURO GROUP


The most important thing is that there is consent" in the breast of the monetary institution. Draghi that also admits that the fact of the IPC of March was "an authentic surprise" the decision of maintaining the types of interest in 0,25% has admitted it has been on-line with that waited by the consent of the market and he has taken for "unanimity", 0,25% is the lowest level in the history of the euro and in the one that the types take anchored from November of 2013.   

Neither there has been surprise with the easiness of deposits that is the interest with the one that the BCE 'he pays' to the entities 0% to deposit their surplus, in spite of the already long debate of transforming it into negative to try to motivate to the banks to that they lend that money so that it arrives to the real economy. In the later press wheel, Draghi the president of the BCE, he has manifested that they have decided to maintain the types because the inflation expectations will continue on-line with that waited and that the inflation forecasts continue "firmly anchored", the volatility of the prices and the proximity of “Holy Week” that this year he falls in a later period, it produces much slower inflation data in March and he can that next month, be corrected to the rise". During next year it is also expected that the inflation continues being low, to arrive close at 2016, but below 2%.  

Draghi has repeated that the types will continue in the current or even lower level during a lingering period of time again. And he has said that "in summary: we need a commitment for the stability of the prices", we have discussed all the possible instruments and he has wanted to leave clear that all the measures have not been drained in monetary" politics to make in front of a lingering period of low inflation.    

On the other hand, Draghi has alerted of the geopolitical risks and he has noticed of an application of insufficient fiscal politicians on the part of the Governments. This is to my view the question like he said in the one titled it is not enough the consent of the BCE if there are not political consents they are already or not fiscal, the euro group should have very undoubtedly it should be balanced that cannot be that the energy have a price for each partner that the credits flow in some and not in other that the wages are more than twice as much among some and others that some partners have the one more than double unemployed that other, and this you cannot consent because all should pay their costs and to sell its productivity that is to say with the same currency "the euro." 

But they already come it you the euro group now is in elections and everything is stopped until after May so don't deceive ourselves if the BCE leaves the things like they are and already this has been for months this way, it is because the euro area is also waiting like they will be the things after the elections of May, it is of innocent to think that a central bank can make political economic, fiscal, or monetary if its clients each one wants a different and suitable solution to its particular interests without keeping in mind the economic state of its other clients. 

This problem is the same one that makes that the UE doesn't work that he enters in recession no matter how much Draghi tries to deny it you look the more strong it is the German economy and that of its satellites, but depression will have in Spain and its equals, and this cannot be this way if one wants a monetary, economic and fiscal stability, for all now at the moment to the euro area and later to the whole UE. I sincerely don't see it clear or they change the things or we are heading to the Europa of the two speeds like for some time Germany wants. 

NO ES SOLO DRAGHI Y EL BCE ELQUE DEBE ESTAR EN CONSENSO TAMBIEN EL EURO GRUPO


Lo más importante es que "hay consenso" en el seno de la institución monetaria. Ha admitido Draghi que además admite que el dato del IPC de marzo fue "una auténtica sorpresa” la decisión de mantener los tipos de interés en el 0,25% ha estado en línea con lo esperado por el consenso del mercado y se ha tomado por "unanimidad", el 0,25% es el nivel más bajo de la historia del euro y en el que los tipos llevan anclados desde noviembre de 2013.

Tampoco ha habido sorpresa con la facilidad de depósitos, que es el interés con el que el BCE 'paga' a las entidades un 0% por depositar su excedente, pese al ya largo debate de convertirla en negativa para intentar incentivar a los bancos a que presten ese dinero para que llegue a la economía real. En la posterior rueda de prensa, Draghi el presidente del BCE, ha manifestado que han decidido mantener los tipos debido a que las expectativas de inflación continuarán en línea con lo esperado y que las previsiones de inflación siguen "firmemente ancladas", la volatilidad de los precios y la cercanía de Semana Santa, que este año cae en un periodo posterior, produce datos de inflación mucho más lentos en marzo y puede que el próximo mes, se corrija al alza". Durante el próximo año también se espera que la inflación siga siendo baja, para llegar a 2016 cerca, pero por debajo del 2%.

Draghi ha vuelto a repetir que los tipos continuarán en el nivel actual o incluso más bajo durante un periodo prolongado de tiempo. Y ha dicho, que "en resumen: necesitamos un compromiso para la estabilidad de los precios". Hemos discutido todos los instrumentos posibles y ha querido dejar claro que "no se han agotado todas las medidas en política monetaria" para hacer frente a un periodo prolongado de inflación baja.

Por otro lado, Draghi ha alertado de los riesgos geopolíticos y ha advertido de una aplicación de políticas fiscales insuficientes por parte de los Gobiernos. Esta es a mi parecer la cuestión como decía en el titulado no es suficiente el consenso del BCE si no hay consensos políticos ya sean o no fiscales, el euro grupo debe tener muy claro que debe equilibrarse que no puede ser que las energías tengan un precio para cada socio, que los créditos fluyan en unos y no en otros, que los salarios sean más del doble entre unos y otros que unos socios tengan el más del doble de desempleados que otros, y esto no se puede consentir porque todos deben pagar sus costes y vender su productividad con la misma moneda es decir “el euro”.

Pero ya lo ven ustedes el euro grupo ahora está en elecciones y todo está parado hasta después de mayo así que no nos engañemos si el BCE deja las cosas como están y ya hace meses que esto es así, es porque también la euro zona está esperando como quedarán las cosas tras las elecciones de mayo, es de inocentes pensar que un banco central puede hacer política económica, fiscal, o monetaria si sus clientes cada uno quiere una solución distinta y acomodada a sus intereses particulares sin tener en cuenta el estado económico de sus otros clientes.

Este problema es el mismo que hace que la UE no funcione que entre en recesión por mucho que Draghi lo intente negar miren ustedes cuanto más fuerte sea la economía alemana y la de sus satélites, mas depresión habrá en España y sus iguales, y esto no puede ser así si se quiere una estabilidad monetaria, económica y fiscal, para todos ahora de momento a la euro zona y más tarde a toda la UE. Yo sinceramente no lo veo claro o cambian las cosas o estamos abocados a la europa de las dos velocidades como desde hace tiempo quiere Alemania.

THE EUROPEAN SOCIETY HAS TO THINK VERY WELL THAT HE VOTES IN THE NEXT ELECTIONS


The objectivity of the politicians in Europe is completely outside of the logic, the matter is very serious because one doesn't react, they don't know how to make it or they cannot make it, this it is the question when they are not worried by its own interests, they are braked by those of other, in fact this it is one of the problems, too many and varied interests. But the history that has changed the whole western political and economic system travel a little 

September 11 2001 the western society collapses at the same time that the twin towers of New York, in that day get lost the security, the trust in a system that so far it seemed outside of all doubt, and it is battered for the action of "some terrorists" that they take advantage of the own arrogance and intolerance of the security state official of the USA. There is no doubt that it was and it is the capital of the Western civilization. 

In the 2008, September 15, the same society and this time also the occident rest, attended amazed to the biggest economic swindle never perpetrated in occident. You go with panic like the economy of the USA also collapses, victim of a carried out attack this time from inside of, without external terrorists, but of a swindle orchestrated by its own financial organizations.  

The same ones that until then they had been meant to mark the one in route to continuing for the whole economy of the western world, their rating agencies, their big banks of investments, they are depicted as the most terrible economic terrorists in the planet, and to image and the murderers' of the twin towers likeness, they collapse and they destroy the western economy.  

The bad thing was to come, the two actions sink and occident gets jammed totally, he gets lost the objectivity to reason and the calm to act and you uncontrolled in actions and reactions without order neither sense, occident is crazy of death and instead of reacting trying to rush forward, the reaction is just the opposite it is thrown back, and he goes back in all the environments. Among so much and taking advantage of this situation, the other emergent powers of the world, make just the opposite they advance and they go occupying the holes that the economy and the western society occupied until then. 

The effect of the fear caused by the terrorist and economic attack in the same center of the world, brakes the sensation of freedom absolutely and of feeling the strongest and sure in the world, it enters the fear to move freely, the more cautions arise you go on pilgrimage and exaggerated that alone they are happened to an afraid and fearful society, the economy the money the vital force that toward working everything, sensitive as that that more before what you leave it hides, the politicians and the governments are left without reasons and without resources, and they are not happened another exit that to begin one of the feared actions, the recession, and the life of the western economy stops and still more, he gives march behind convinced that a war has exploded impossible to win and that however it cannot get lost. 

These events and their consequences have extended for the whole western society, and the worst in the case is that their effects where they have multiplied in an exponential way it has been in the society and the European nations, the repercussion of the American “financial terrorism” moves to Europe, causing the fall of the economy of Europe quickly, the Europeans have not known how to act independently, not even seeing like we were swindled without scruples, we have seen this way as they were knocked down the financial outlines, like we were degraded our credibility and our solvency, had made of those that we were not guilty direct, we have been unable to react. 

Us that had created a great dream, as the one of creating a great economy and united society, a complete European Union, instead of following our road following our guidelines and our initiative, we also collapse and we begin to create problems where there were not them. This reality, is the one that it is necessary to combat as soon as possible, let us already end up once and for all of reproaches and recriminations and let us put all to not protect our economy the German or the Greek or the Spaniard, the EUROPEAN. 

Agreement let us put once and for all to create a crash plan and of recovery, of refinancing the banks, of protecting us of the devaluations of those that we are victims and worries as of the only thing that he will make that Europe comes out to it floats again, let us return the trust and the work to the European society. It is the only way that will be able to save the European economies, the only one that will be able to increase the European productivity, the only one that will be able to increase the consumption, the only one that will be able to reactivate the trust in the politicians and in the politicians. 

After starting the resources to improve the macroeconomics and refinanced the banks, let us refinance to the society, let us put money in circulation so that the credit lines open up, to the industry and the consumption. And I eat I have already claimed other times if it is necessary to manufacture Eurus we make it, he should not get scared the devaluation of our currency, it is much worse the depression of our real economy and still more that of our society.  

But all this cannot be pending of particular situations that force to brake everything awaiting what will pass in this or another country of the union, it is necessary to separate the European general politicians of the national ones, because if we won't leave the economic mess that we have created, it is necessary to understand that the reality that today sees and it scares us it was already, it has always been, since you make the European Union, France was France, Germany it was Germany, and Greece was Greece, with the financial economic same attributes that today has been accused and they scare us and they drive us to the absurdity of the economic depression.  

The reason that these differences have not been uncovered until it has not been for a couple of years that is not, but rather they didn't care because there was a happy and unworried economy for all, we have not become crazy now, we had become 25 years ago behind lunatics, but it didn't care there were for all, the current problems cannot be tried to fix as if suddenly has chopped us a mosquito and has inoculated us an allergy. 

It is necessary to outline a solution based on the idea and to reconstruct the existent economies basically in the Europa of the euro. Neither can we all be Germany neither Germany can be Spain I put for example, but what cannot be is that for this same reason, Spain collapses and haulage to all the other included Germany    

If this doesn't make it, not alone we won't save the economy of the euro, but rather at the end it buried us to all first floor the most absolute misery, they are conscious our politicians and economists that there are already societies in a point of misery of I don't return, they know what means to end up having millions of having excluded social in all the europa countries, this is the total ruin, leave you of debts and deficits, recapitalized to the banks, and control them, so that with the injected money, to give credit in Europe to invest in the reactivation of the industry and the private consumption. 

This should be made I repeat with new Eurus, because if the banks you recapitalizing with the help of getting in debt with the BCE, with the retired money to the countries and their societies with the help of cuttings and wild reductions, no bank will put it to disposition of some societies and some countries in the most absolute in the miseries. Reason the Chinese economies or Asians will invest, here and to take a risk in some countries whose society doesn't consume and he lives in the misery, of following the logical thing it is this way that once the financial economy this according to you refloated, in view of what they will be in the natural environment, to the own European capital will invest and to take out benefits outside of our frontiers. 

This is the future that the European politicians have been working, next month we should substitute them and to introduce other new let us worried of knowing them of understanding that they want to make that they will think about that europeísmo grade has I on the contrary will be some outstanding agents of the national governments of the European partners we simply need political that they save to the European society of the misery in which is entering her, or they won't have served as anything all the sacrifices and you formulate them of safeguarding a ramshackle economy that is what they are advising from the interests and realities of others.  

LA SOCIEDAD EUROPEA TIENE QUE PENSAR MUY BIEN QUE VOTA EN LAS PROXIMAS ELECCIONES


La objetividad de los políticos en Europa está completamente fuera de la lógica, el asunto es muy grave porque no se reacciona, no saben hacerlo o no pueden hacerlo, esta es la cuestión cuando no están preocupados por sus propios intereses, están frenados por los de otros, de hecho este es uno de los problemas, demasiados y variados intereses. Pero recorramos un poco la historia que ha cambiado todo el sistema político y económico occidental

El 11 de septiembre de 2001 la sociedad occidental se derrumba a la vez que las torres gemelas de Nueva York, en ese día se pierde la seguridad, la confianza en un sistema que hasta la fecha parecía fuera de toda duda, y queda maltrecho por la acción de “unos terroristas” que se aprovechan de la propia soberbia e inoperancia de la seguridad estatal oficial de los EEUU. Qué duda cabe que era y es la capital de la civilización Occidental.

En el 2008, el 15 de septiembre, la misma sociedad y esta vez también el resto de occidente, asiste atónita a la estafa económica más grande jamás perpetrada en occidente. Ve con pavor como la economía de los EEUU también se derrumba, víctima de un atentado realizado esta vez desde dentro, sin terroristas externos, sino de una estafa orquestada por sus propias organizaciones financieras.

Las mismas que hasta entonces se habían significado por marcar el camino a seguir por toda la economía del mundo occidental, sus agencias de rating, sus grandes bancos de inversiones, quedan retratados como los más terribles terroristas económicos del planeta, y a imagen y semejanza de los asesinos de las torres gemelas, hunden y destruyen la economía occidental.

Lo malo estaba por venir, las dos acciones se suman y occidente se atasca totalmente, se pierde la objetividad para razonar y la calma para actuar y se desmadran en acciones y reacciones sin orden ni sentido, occidente está tocado de muerte y en lugar de reaccionar intentando lanzarse hacia adelante, la reacción es todo lo contrario se tira hacia atrás, y retrocede en todos los ámbitos. Entre tanto y aprovechando esta situación, las otras potencias emergentes del mundo, hacen todo lo contrario avanzan y van ocupando los huecos que la economía y la sociedad occidental ocupaba hasta entonces.

El efecto del miedo ocasionado por el ataque terrorista y económico en el mismo centro del mundo, frena absolutamente la sensación de libertad y de sentirse los más fuertes y seguros del mundo, irrumpe el miedo a moverse libremente, surgen las precauciones más peregrinas y exageradas que solo se les ocurren a una sociedad asustada y temerosa, la economía el dinero la fuerza vital que hacia funcionar todo, sensible como lo que más ante lo que ve se esconde,  los políticos y los gobiernos se quedan sin razones y sin recursos, y no se les ocurre otra salida que iniciar una de las acciones más temidas, la recesión, y la vida de la economía occidental se detiene y todavía más, da marcha atrás convencida de que ha estallado una guerra imposible de ganar y que sin embargo no se puede perder.

Estos acontecimientos y sus consecuencias se han extendido por toda la sociedad occidental, y lo peor del caso es que sus efectos donde se han multiplicado de forma exponencial ha sido en la sociedad y las naciones europeas, la repercusión del “terrorismo financiero”  americano se traslada a Europa, ocasionando rápidamente  la caída de la economía de Europa, los europeos no hemos sabido actuar independientemente, ni siquiera viendo como se nos estafaba sin escrúpulos, así hemos visto como se nos derrumbaban los esquemas financieros, como se nos degradaba nuestra credibilidad y nuestra solvencia, por hechos de los que no éramos culpables directos, hemos sido incapaces de reaccionar.

Nosotros que habíamos creado un gran sueño, como el de crear una gran economía y sociedad unida, una Unión Europea completa, en vez de seguir nuestro camino siguiendo nuestras directrices y nuestra iniciativa, nos hundimos también y empezamos a crear problemas donde no los había. Esta realidad, es la que hay que combatir lo antes posible, acabemos ya de una vez de reproches y recriminaciones y pongámonos todos a proteger nuestra economía no la alemana o la griega o la española, la EUROPEA.

Pongámonos de acuerdo de una vez para crear un plan de choque y de recuperación, de refinanciar los bancos, de protegernos de las devaluaciones de las que somos víctimas y preocupémonos de lo único que hará que Europa salga a flote de nuevo, devolvamos la confianza y el trabajo a la sociedad europea. Es la única manera que podrá salvar las economías europeas, la única que podrá aumentar la productividad europea, la única que podrá aumentar el consumo, la única que podrá reactivar la confianza en las políticas y en los políticos.

Tras poner en marcha los recursos para mejorar la macroeconomía y refinanciados los bancos, refinanciemos a la sociedad, pongamos dinero en circulación para que se abran las líneas de crédito, a la industria y al consumo. Y como ya he reclamado otras veces si hay que fabricar euros hagámoslo, no debe asustarnos la devaluación de nuestra moneda, es mucho peor la depresión de nuestra economía real y todavía más la de nuestra sociedad.

Pero todo esto no puede estar pendiente de situaciones particulares que obligan a frenarlo todo a la espera de lo que va a pasar en este u otro país de la unión,  hay que separar las políticas generales europeas de las nacionales, porque si no saldremos del desbarajuste económico que hemos creado, hay que entender que la realidad que hoy vemos y nos asusta ya estaba, ha estado desde siempre, desde que se creó la Unión Europea, Francia era Francia, Alemania era Alemania, y Grecia era Grecia, con los mismos atributos económico financieros que hoy se han delatado y nos asustan y nos conducen al despropósito de la depresión económica.

La razón de que no se hayan destapado estas diferencias  hasta hace un par de años no es que no estuviesen, sino que no importaban porque había una economía feliz y despreocupada para todos, no nos hemos vuelto locos ahora, nos habíamos vuelto locos hace 25 años atrás, pero no importaba había para todos, los problemas actuales no se pueden intentar arreglar como si de golpe nos hubiese picado un mosquito y nos hubiese inoculado una alergia.

Hay que plantear una solución en base a la idea de relativizar y reconstruir  las economías existentes en la europa del euro básicamente. Ni todos podemos ser Alemania ni Alemania puede ser España pongo por ejemplo, pero lo que no puede ser es que por esta misma razón, España se derrumbe y arrastre a todos los demás incluida Alemania  

Si esto no lo hacemos, no solo no salvaremos la economía del euro, sino que al final nos enterrara a todos bajo la miseria más absoluta, son conscientes nuestros políticos y economistas que ya hay sociedades en un punto de miseria de no retorno, saben lo que significa llegar a tener millones de excluidos sociales en todos los países de europa, esto es la ruina total, déjense de deudas y déficits, recapitalicen a los bancos, y contrólenlos, para que con el dinero inyectado, dar crédito en Europa para invertir en la reactivación de la industria y el consumo privado.

Esto debe hacerse repito con euros nuevos, porque si los bancos se recapitalizan a base de endeudarse con el BCE, con el dinero retirado a los países y sus sociedades a base de recortes y reducciones salvajes, ningún banco lo pondrá a disposición de   unas sociedades y a unos países en la más absoluta de las miserias. Porqué las economías chinas o asiáticas van a invertir, aquí y arriesgar en unos países cuya sociedad no consume y vive en la miseria, de seguir así lo lógico es que una vez la economía financiera este según ustedes reflotada, a la vista de lo que se van a encontrar en el entorno natural, hasta el propio capital europeo se vaya a invertir y sacar beneficios fuera de nuestras fronteras.

Este es el futuro que han estado labrando los políticos europeos, el próximo mes debemos sustituirlos e introducir otros nuevos preocupémonos de conocerlos de entender que quieren hacer que nos van a plantear que grado de europeísmo tienen yo por el contrario serán simplemente unos destacados agentes de los gobiernos nacionales de los socios europeos necesitamos políticos que salven a la sociedad europea de la miseria en la que la está entrando, o no habrán servido de nada todos los sacrificios  y las formulas de salvaguardar una economía ruinosa que es lo que están aconsejando desde los intereses y realidades de otros.

miércoles, 2 de abril de 2014

BURIED THE INITIATOR OF THE SPANISH TRANSITION IS CHORE A NEW ONE THAT WE UNDERSTAND ALL


We have buried and I believe that honest to the figure of a man Adolfo Suarez that knew how to drive the ship to a direction change in a crucial moment of the history of Spain without that ship keeled it is certain that for the forces of the waves of the stormy sea for the one that Spain has always navigated the turn could not be from 180 grades to port and you is a so much encored toward starboard, this should not miss us because the ship leave with a drift of more than 30 years always navigating to starboard is as what this man made was it deserves all and each one of the honors received to his death, because the truth is that in life he received but blows that honors. 

Made this introduction, step to the comment of this article: Every day comments are written of political in functions and in the rearguard (for this way to say it), journalists and political, economic specialists, and mainly those of people of the town that illustrate like I say, day by day, the social nets, when reading them and to try to interpret them, I have given myself bill that a quite extended confusion exists on what national type it is the one that we live and he would say more, in the each one would want to live, it is important this shade because the comments of all reflect that the society believes that he lives completely in two parallel but separate realities, and have just complicated now lately it a "third it is presented via" possible, the federal one, this is terrible this unhinges to the town, to the institutions, and the worst thing to the selfsame Government that wants that there is alone a nation that is Spain, that of "A Big and free." 

But it is not there are this way in fact other 17 tiny, independent and bad Spain that are the autonomous communities of Spain. Situation very preoccupant because it accuses that the Spaniards, the society basically, you doesn't inform or they didn't explain to him it well that from 1978 Spain it is an autonomous" "state, formed by autonomous 17 entities with governments and independent own attributions and at the same time clerks of the a central government, is an I authenticate mess if gentlemen, but there is not another Spain that is clear, very since this has not been assimilated and I believe that evidently it is because in his moment the politicians that made the transition, neither themselves understood it, for that that logically cannot very in fact work for unit lack and of political and social approach. 

Now it is clear that most of Spaniards didn't have the devises of what, I vote and it seems also in view of the current reality that if has known it has not voted him. Now a mess is made and some request to Spain that punishes to part or parts from the other Spain to which accuses of wasteful of thieves' cave and political embezzlers and independent. and for the other side there is another Spain that is deceived and manipulated mainly by reasons of administration independence and for their economy, that is to say, Spain is today a conglomerate of 17 autonomous communities, and inside the same ones there are groups of different tendencies opinions necessities and political different, the Spain A Big and Free you finishes with the constitution of 1978 

If now they don't like the Spaniards in their majority these realities and they adduce that they didn't explain to him it well that they don't feel happy with this new Spain, it doesn't pass anything it is simply necessary to request the central government that promotes a change in the constitution of the state, a constitution that has numerous lagoons that should correct besides this confusion.  

That it happens us to the Spaniards that he scares us to change something, we don't realize that the situation in that we are is largely for this cause, Spanish is questioned few things, anything would say me, this makes him selfish, fearful, accommodating, and not very incisive before the important topics and mainly, unworried and banal. Don't recriminate me my words I am also Spanish, at the moment, but this doesn't deprive me of judging us before the situation in which we are heading. 

Spanish takes it in its genes, we are the gentlemen of the "no" These attitude have brought us until here through the centuries, until a new social and economic moment in that, if you don't lean on and if you don't work in group, in narrow association of forces, when it arrives the hour of the truth you don't leave yourself the hole in that you are such and I eat it is happening us now. 

We need to change to everything to run, so much at individual level as social, no longer voucher that some send and direct like want the country and we say "this he doesn't go with I crumb", "while he can make what gives me the desire that they make what they want", more or less it is no longer possible to live this way, if the one that sends flaw, or he deceives you, or he hides the reality, or it is wasted your flows, when he is discovered, the crisis arrives and you die without remission some, so it will be necessary to consider worrying more about all the concerning one to the flows, to the freedoms, to the rights in short to that they don't steal you your well-being neither the one of yours. 

And arrived to this point it is when I outline the necessity to change our law of laws, that is to say the Spanish constitution, because this constitution has not been worth us, no matter how much the Spanish politicians, say that if, alone it has been worth them that it has elevated them to unreachable and distant privileged positions to not being able to more than the social reality of the country, but the society is totally defenseless, he cannot make anything before the abuse and the inefficiencies proven as the one that we come suffering for some years. 

I believe that our constitution has too many shortcomings, almost all created by the inexperience and the fear to that a new dictator that gives to the fret with everything, doesn't return and this is noticed, too much bureaucracy, too many officials, too many entities, too many tribunals, too many politicians, and so that it has served all this, to ruin to the country, and the worst thing from everything to the society and the more preoccupant and that our politicians don't understand it is that the society wants to change the things but more deeply, it doesn't serve him with the possibility as simply changing political party in the power because we have already had them at both and which the result has been therefore that we should make organize a revolution, it is clear that here it fails something. 

I don't understand I repeat because it doesn't seem possible to change the constitution, it is clear that the one that today governs us has not worked completely, he has not known how to brake the mess of the politicians, of the banks, of the judges, of the autonomies, of the King, in definitive it has not controlled the situation, or said from another optics, it has been allowed to manipulate very easily for the politicians interested in that is not open to the society, if not that almost acts like shield that the isolates them from this society to which they should serve in right.