martes, 6 de marzo de 2012

THE GREEK SITUATION IS A SHIT BUT THE EURO AREA IS THE ASS


The edginess grows as he comes closer the date limit so that the swap of Greek funds that will reduce in 53,5% the Hellenic debt takes place. A Greek default would not be beneficial both Spain and Italy neither for the group of the area euro. The International Institute of Finances has assured in a note to which has had access Reuters that if Greece enters in default he would make necessary external help so that Spain and Italy also avoid the crash and it would cause damages in the euro zone of more than a billion Eurus.    

Yesterday, a dozen of banks that they are part of the International Institute of Finances that represents to the private sector in the negotiations with Athens on it removes it of the sovereign debt, he announced today their participation in that operation. Among the entities that have consented to participate in the program that one will suppose it removes of until 70% in the value of the funds of the Greek debt, the French BNP figures Paribas, the German bank Deutsche Bank and the Dutch ING Bank, among others 

This operation supposes the condonation of some 107.000 millions of Eurus of the 360.000 millions of the Greek debt, and it was a condition so that the second international financial plan of 130.000 million Eurus is approved to save Athens of the crash. Nevertheless, the IIF specified in an official statement disclosed in Washington that "each bank should take its own decision in this respect". This situation repeats immovable day after day, he already gives truly disgust the figures they are constant but varied yesterday he read of it removes it to 53% today to 70% however the total amount is the same one. 

Greek removes it is "a fraud". In fact, when the plan - well-known as Participation of the Private sector (PSI) - he was voted in the Parliament, he was only supported by two of the five present parties and still among these there was a scattering of several dozens of deputies. The PSI will mean the retreat of 107.000 million Eurus, had in its majority by private investors through an exchange for holding of depreciated value, something that should benefit to Greece in principle. 

To give clarity to the alone theory it is necessary to put as example a simple bill mathematics: the new loan of the European Union (UE) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) it will suppose 130.000 million Eurus, that that in spite of it removes it of 107.000 millions a balance of 23.000 million additional Eurus that will be added to the current one hurtles I mount of the Greek debt, about 360.000 million Eurus. So the Greek debt you increased to 383.000 million Eurus according to the following position (Debt current +360.000 mill. - 107.000 mill. it removes + 130.000 mill. IMF = 383.000 million Eurus.) 

One wonders why point to remove the shit, and not to put an end to this matter, at the end has reached the conclusion that the Greek shit is removed, because the area euro is the ass of the situation, and the ass is already known alone it produces shit, that clear and concise so that everybody understands it. The (GDP) of the area euro it experienced in the fourth trimester of 2011 a contraction of tenth three regarding the three previous months, when you grieve 0,1% it grew, while in terms inter annuals the economy of the euro zone expanded tenth seven. This way, the GDP of the area euro in 2011 1,4% grew in the group of 2011, half point less than in 2010 like leave we go back as the crabs. 

The group of the UE, the economy suffered a setback of (-0.3) in the fourth trimester regarding the three previous months, when 0,3% had grown, Among the countries members of the euro zone, Italy, Low Countries, and Belgium entered in technical recession in the fourth trimester when already chaining two serial trimesters with setbacks of the economic activity, real problem that seems not to want to see the euro area and concretely Germany, and that certainly he doesn't have the blame Greece.  

In the case of Italy, the GDP went back (-0,7) in the fourth trimester, after falling a (-0,2%) in the third trimester, while in the case of Belgium the economy lowered a (-0,2%) in the last trimester after falling a (-0,1%) in the third. In turn, the GDP of Low Countries went back (-0,7) in the fourth trimester, after being had contracted a (-0,4%) in the third. On the other hand, Germany (-0,2%), Spain (-0,3%), Estonia (-0,8%) and Austria (-0,1%) they lean out to the recession after registering a first negative trimester awaiting the evolution of their respective economies in the first three months of 2012. 

As Europe it is appreciated he collapses and it is not rather on the contrary Greece who pushes it, it is in short the European union and the euro area, the one that pushes Greece to the unavoidable outcome of the crash and the abandonment of the euro. But it is that like he said in another article, Greece will open the door to other exits this is also unavoidable, the reason is very simple, the rescues of Greece should provide them some partners that cannot pay in many cases neither to the suppliers of their citizens' services, as for example Spain, which won't be able to complete neither with the 4.3 neither with the 5.8 of budgetary deficit this 2012, because the loss of revenues is superior to the one foreseen to every day that passes. 

But it seems that the ass likes shit and he goes her increasing day by day, without wanting to realize that its depositions are countries and societies that they should already say it is already enough, the area euro is unable to be reactivated while this action represents of entrance, the obligatory reformation of the German economic feeling, since in these moments France is missing of the economic scene, because he doesn't know where it will be next month of May, we are then before an inefficiencies trimester and total decontrol, this is without a doubt the control to the possible one taking of any intelligent measure that Europe requires, and that they are not others that to dry all the deficits and debts, by means of the creation of an unique economy, an unique debt, and an unique, alone deficit one will be able to this way to value the true necessities and situation of the euro-economy and to act in consequence for its restructuring or liquidation, you go that is… 

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