The competitiveness is one of the
horses of battle of the countries of the south of Europe, included Spain, to
correct its economic imbalances. Up to now, the deflation of the wages, (the
already famous to work more for less) and of the economy in general, it is the
chosen road to try to improve the position exporter of the weakest countries
and this way to try to return to the path of the growth. But this is not well
outlined from the point of view of the weak countries, because this measure is
taken from the strong countries and it is absolutely ineffective and he would
say that counteractive for the weak countries.
The reason is very simple, the
problem common of the weak countries is that they don't possess an important
industrial fabric, and not that its product or manpower is expensive, it is
simply that they don't have anything to export, because its industrial fabric
was in its moment product of the localization of foreign companies that they
used the cheap manpower and that when the things have twisted they have you are
located as it should be on the other hand. Therefore the country weak or poor
today as they want, it doesn't possess conditions of to be reactivated for very
low that is the wage that he tries to impose in their labor legislation.
Spain for example although ends
up paying wages of 600 Eurus, it could not export anything; he understands each
other in enough quantities to consider a reactivation possibility and of
increase of national productivity. And it is not that Spain doesn't export, he
makes it of course but in fields or of very low value, or of very little
manpower use, examples: Products agricultural and nutritious, and high
technology and computer science; the automobiles and the trains for example,
are low marks foreigners all the exports.
In these times the industry
exporter is located in the European north center, its vital center is Germany
and France, Italy continues him in its north area and you finishes, the other
ones have or we have some rarities exporters, but don't unite potent industry
of the export, clear if the country that possesses the "rarity" is
small, perfect that is the cases of IKEA, and NOKIA, for example, but it is
that alone Spain has of world exporter ZARA anything but, everything the rest
is or services or civil work that but that to export is that it is implanted in
the place in that the service, or the civil work takes place, it is not that it
is built or be carried out in Spain and then it is exported, it is clear.
Few alternatives have been given,
once it seems difficult that Germany, paladin of the austerity, try to
stimulate their consumers to reduce the gigantic surplus of the country and to
help this way to the exports of the weakest. However, they say that there is
another alternative: does the fiscal devaluation, devise defended by the
professors Emmanuel Farhi and Gita Gopinah, of Harvard, and Oleg Itskhoki, of
Princeton, And on what does it consist this fiscal devaluation? Very simple: an
increment of the accompanied IVA in turn of a reduction of the social rates.
With this movement a devaluation of the currency would be simulated (something
that is limited by the ownership to the euro), since it would urge the imports
and it would reduce the exports.
The discount of the social rates
says, he would make of counterbalance so that the local companies didn't go up
the prices in turn for the increment from the tax to the consumption. With this
movement a similar result would be obtained to that of an exit of the euro and
a monetary devaluation, but without the risks for the country (and for the rest
of the Euro zone) that would bear a rupture of the euro. According to the
investigations of the authors, this fiscal" "devaluation has some
very similar effects that a traditional devaluation in terms of GDP,
consumption, employment and inflation, are not I say this way that this measure
would contribute depreciation social, consumption slope, and inflation.
As they come they don't
understand it the economic theories all, they are thought from the opulence of
societies with cleaned up deficits and positive commercial scales, if in Spain
you goes up the IVA and he is lowered the rates of the Social security, the
only thing that will happen is that they will lower the social benefits on the
whole for the whole society, but not the consumption prices since with the
ascent of the IVA they stay so in the current situation that he would be
necessary to see it, the result it would be: same low wages, but social insecurity
for the loss of social services, and the same or less export of the same
agricultural and technological nutritious products. That if the foreign makers
would be rubbed the hands because they would win but when paying less for the
same production. Europe please doesn't give us more recommendations and damages
more you solve.
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