Incredible but it is this way,
we don't speak of figures but of sensations, or of intuitive feeling you go
that is, it is very exasperating this situation that doesn't end up being
neither news, because naturally we are not speaking of figures or comparative
and concrete data, in fact alone there are gleams of situations that have
changed already in Greece, and that against that waited, they begin to travel
their distressing past I walk here in Spain.
The Greek stock market, this
already much more in positive that the IBEX of Spain which doesn't lift head
and it is in negative, (today in -2% accumulated in so far in year) Fitch
yesterday it went up the credit qualification of Greece in six steps, and
although they continue being considered their funds like garbage, the certain
thing is that he moves to the rise. Greece seems to have finished with the
strikes and the wild, fair manifestations when Spain is in it and preparing the
final strake of a general strike.
These comments are to take
them like a certain base to continue denouncing that Spain doesn't work, and
they are already more than 90 days, we continue without concretion some,
government's measures are not known if they continue in foot or he can already
give them for obsolete, certainly that of first sacred Friday of Rajoy, that of
the announcement of cuttings and ascent of taxes certainly that yes, because it
has already been old and scarce. The labor reformation, all recognize that it
has been made to make a general strike, because under the conditions of the
employment of Spain to apply it is more than two years. The eternal bank
reformation doesn't end neither wanting. Simply the government persists in to
fake and to hide the realities with those that we are.
The scenario bank Spanish has
a cadaver, and a zombie, both very dangerous ones refer to Bankia and the
Santander, the first one is absolutely broken technically, its passive one is
so enormous that is impossible that it can maintain it, Bankia picked up I
suppose that for government ordinance, all the dirt that had accumulated in saving
bank Madrid and the whole string of collateral local saving’s bank, and
following the logic of the Spanish governments, all were centralized in a
central ball that they waited that to be that the banking of the center of
Spain, they would be fixed the problems and they already it.
The Santander has another
serious problem that is its megalomania, rather that of the Mr. Botin, I have
already mentioned it in other articles Spain it cannot sustain so many systemic
banks, (banks that should be protected of crash by the own government of the
nation for its enormity) before the economic disaster, before the current
government, already announce that in that time that the two systemic Spaniards
the BBVA and the Santander were unviable, the reason is very simple its basic
market that is to say Spain, it cannot maintain the capital core of these
enormous beasts, if these banks pass the stress test it is because its business
is already more or less outside of Spain in 70%, but this is a bubble like it
was it the real estate one, if unfortunately one of the countries of so many in
those that are, puts on in the worst thing and it nationalizes the banking for
example, Spain collapses.
They wondered because that he
has to see what passes in a foreign country so that Spain collapses, because
very simple Spain should respond of the viability of the national systemic
banks in front of the international markets, so pray that one day of these they
don't get up in Brazil, and say that they nationalize the bank Santander from
Rio de Janeiro. The BBVA doesn't have so much des located, this dispersed one and in this
aspect it is more than trusting, but think you that today's of its actions
value is almost 6 times below those of the Deutsche Bank for example, because
you will say, because it is German, if something of that is but it is not that,
the Deutsche its capital core it is concentrated in Germany and their external
business, are of intermediation and financial business (except in Spain that if
he/she has local net) for that reason an action of the German bank, is worth
today 38.17 € and that of the Santander 6.20 and already positions to compare
that of Bankia 2.96 € when to the stock market it left to 4 €.
Well with this panorama the
Spanish state doesn't give him the desire of giving its arm to twist, and to be
located at the level of the economic reality that we have, and I don't please
this way with these flagstones that anyone of them can be flattened in any
moment, it persists in creating more flagstones. He/she determines to maintain
Bankia and it is more, it seeks him to be reunified with other or other
entities, for to inject more public funds so that at the end Bankia breaks and
behind the Spanish economy.
To hide but the pest to
cadaver that removes the Spanish banking already on the whole, continues
working obstinately so that they are carried out allotments of passive among
the few societies at the moment viable that converts them in unviable with
these measures, with its pretenses of bank reunification what reunifies is
debts and the only thing that it gets it is a bigger debt, and not that the
debts disappear, because although the debt this unified, the assets continue
being the same or less, because the competitions become ferocious to such an
extent that is impossible to sustain the famous war of the asset that the banks
are come in the obligation from making, offering profit abilities from the 4.5
to 5.5% in deposits unproductive values that the Spanish market cannot
support.
It doesn't propose that of the
two big banks one conforms to alone, gathering BBVA and Santander, with that
which the spectrum bank Spanish would be in agreement with the natural market
since the union of these two, if they would dominate a base of good and
accustomed to national capital, it would be an according to monster under
conditions that it would be Caixa Bank, and Spain doesn't need bigger banks,
with these two and the we call them medium that are well cleaned up the
resolved financial topic, and the passive ones would be toxic alone the passive
ones, maybe then if they can be distributed among all, but what one cannot make
is to distribute passive, war of assets to capture market that is to say clients
of one to other, personal, agencies, and general expenses a lot.
In short today I have wanted
to meditate on the conduction and taken bank reconversion that you this
announcing day in and day also for months, and as the whole plans of the magic
government of the PP none works, all are expectations but any reality,
meanwhile Greece goes catching run and soon it advanced us.
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