The European Commission, the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and the European Central Bank (BCE) they will revise to the drop
sensibly their adjustment demands to Greece for the collapse of their economy,
according to 'Der Spiegel', sources without identifying of the institutions
that represent the creditors, the budgetary objectives to those that agreement
Athens should aspire with the memorandum of the second rescue are at the moment
"illusory", because the economy is contracting in a remarkable
way.
It cannot continue being deceived itself, like he
seems to want to make the economy of the Euro group counting with which Greece
obtains a primary surplus (without counting the payment of the interests) of 1%
this year, like it was foreseen, they notice these sources according to the
magazine. The surpluses estimated by the institutions for the next exercises
will also have to be revised to contemplate as the negative evolution of the
Hellenic economy in the last months he has stopped to the country in the path
to continue falling more deeply.
It is impossible that an economy that should be
rescued by third time can be profitable in economic terms the interests
accumulate in such a way that they impede any payment plan of the due main
capital and they impede it for two reasons the main one because the country and
its economy doesn't take place enough today in day and him second is that if it
is demanded bigger cuttings and more restructurings that will spread to that he
wears out less but also to that is collected less by the logical action and
reaction of the own demanded measures.
It is absurd to continue with this economic soap opera
the institutions they consider now that Greece could obtain next year a primary
surplus of 1%, in front of 2% foreseen. Also, prevent that in 2017 and 2018 the
preset goals of the 3 and 3,5% are neither reached, respectively. This affects
directly to the group of the adjustment measures that the creditors want that
Athens implements, as well as to its setting rhythm in March said clearly
returns them ineffective for the impossibility of its application.
This revision puts also in question the financial
capacity of Athens to return all the money that the creditors have lent him, it
alerts that you could also reopen the debate about the necessity of one it
removes for Greece. The refund capacity is especially outstanding because the
IMF keeps this approach in mind when carrying out new loans and the European
Union wants that this multilateral institution participates in the third rescue
to Greece.
By the middle of this month Greece agreed with the Eurozone
a new financial rescue, of up to 86.000 million Eurus, in exchange for a hard
package of adjustment measures and structural reformations. The incredibly
insecure Eurozone of itself has consented to study this possibility but it is
not necessary any study, Greece cannot pay the two rescues that he crawls, the
question is, like it will return a third. I cannot understand that fear has the
Eurozone its attitude it is suicidal because if what seeks is to give an image
of security and strength of the euro in my opinion he is making the strength of
the euro just the opposite it is gotten teaching to the world that the
economies that compose it are reliable and sure and this doesn't converge in
the Greek economy.
But it is that we are not also doing any favor to
Greece because at the end this cannot end up otherwise that being expelled of
the euro, with that that besides the damage that will have been caused to the
Greek society because it will be more sunken of that than today this with what
still cost him more to
restart their road outside of the euro this it was absolutely crazy because it
will have demonstrated to the world that or their strength doesn't exist
because he won't have been able to or lover, to overcome a problem that alone
it affects to 2% of the total of its economy.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario