THE GOVERNMENT'S BILLS DON'T SQUARE THEY ARE A POLITICAL PROPAGANDA

It is evident that the vicinity of the convocation of elections in Catalonia with the one look in the possibility that they can mark the road toward the full sovereignty of Catalonia, more the own Spanish general elections that don't paint too well for the Spanish current government, supported by the PP, he makes the executive to apply all the weapons that I eat state it prepares, one of them is the disinformation or the tendentious information. 

To use the catastrophism threats in Catalonia is no longer enough, the career toward the independence doesn't stop for it, so without ending up disassembling the theory of the one without me the hole, he incorporates the idea that with I crumb to the sky, that is to say there is reactivation, there is increment of GDP, there is employment increment, in few words Spain goes well. This stratagem besides trying to be effective against the Catalan independentism, because it can influence in those undecided ones or not very dice to run risks, think that if they go getting ready the things in Spain so that to be left and on the other hand, to the Spaniards he is telling them you continue voting the PP that the other ones will sink you in the misery another time.  

The bad thing is that the alone reactivation is in the press articles and in the declarations of the minister and political of the PP, because in the street nobody sees them, they follow the contracts per hours or per days counting you as employments, follows the city councils having to facilitate dining rooms for the childhood because there are families that can give them I feed enough and they follow the companies and banks, saying goodbye to workers to thousands, not some few non thousands, hundreds, of families follow slopes of ouster executions, and if you go to the commercial centers they will see that they continue reducing the discounts to be able to sell something. 

From a more technical point of view we can see as the IBEX this a step it stops ahead and the same step stops behind, that is to say the expert investors continue without investing, but not alone that denotes the real stagnation of the Spanish economy but rather there are data that you/they leave it in evidence and they transform it into a lie concocted by the government with political ends. The Social security entered 49.983 million Eurus for the social rates of the Spanish workers in the first six months of the year, what supposes an increment of 0,77% regarding the same period of the previous year. Although it is not a wrong fact, this growth of 0,77% he stays very far from the improvement of 6,8% that the Government expected in the General Budgets of the State of 2015. 

That is to say, in spite of the cackled improvement of the labor market, the social rates grow nine times less than that foreseen in the bills of 2015. Does this leave the government's happiness very undoubtedly it is false that uses it like in the data of the GDP like political weapon that lie is what "Spain goes well". does Spain continue going bad and won't the PP be certainly the one that fixes it because apparently the most intelligent politicians in this party, have they been devoted to despoil it instead of reactivating it and do I qualify them as the most intelligent, because it is evident that the responsible ones were silly and had not they realized anything (?). 

The good behavior of the labor market, in which the occupation has grown more four times in this 2015. And that the own Ministry of Employment calculates in 3,21% the increment of the affiliation in the first half of the year they don't agree with the real data that it facilitates the own Social security. These data show how the new employment (that is not such, but simply temporary occupation) created, it contributes less to the Social security of the positions that they already existed previously. What tells us in the reality that there is less employment than before? 

Behind this smaller contribution it can have several reasons: In the first place, the growth of the employment on time partial that ascends to a rhythm of 13,38% yearly. When working less hours, these employees also quote for less time, what is noticed in the bills of the Social security. In second place, the lowest wages in the new employments would also be affecting to the revenues of the system since the social rates are proportional to the salary. They suppose 28% of the wage of a worker approximately. In summary there are less work and less GDP. 

The Social security has this way to break its forecast of revenues. When it has lapsed half of the year, the system has obtained 45,51% of what waited for the whole exercise, that he makes think that, except for a miracle, it will default the objective that Montoro had marked. Also, in the side of the expenses, the figures yes they are adjusting more to the budget. The expense in pensions registered a growth until July of 3,2% year, very near the increase of 2,9% foreseen in the General Budgets of the State. With these figures, it is difficult to trust in that the Social security will fulfill its part of the objective of deficit of this year and if this is this way, he tells us that the other macroeconomic data are equally false…