The Spanish politics’
ability in giving to the world an unreal image is an astonishing reality, it is
as if Spain really has a magic layer that hides or it changes the reality the
country to the eyes of the other countries, institutions, and organizations internationals…
this commentary it is not the first time that I aim it because it is not
neither the first time that I read studies or comments or both things, carried
out by noted entities that they say on Spain realities that they don't exist,
it is a question that I am not able to clarify because it happens.
I believe that
this happens because the Spanish politics’ ability, is guided to present to
Spain in a reduced form, as if was in a commercial catalog on offer where they
figure the best articles for sale, this catalog is the capital, that is to say
Madrid, this is not of now, the Spanish centralism is the history of this
country and this stays of generation in political generation, this way one is
surprised when reading that in a year of elections, the IMF for example, ascend
month to month the forecast of growth of Spain (today we are to 3.3%) when in
Spain and I don't speak of Madrid, it doesn't grow neither the grass and the
little one that it grows burn for the sun.
Where the Spanish
growth is, I tell it to him it is in the debt of Spain that this if it grows
more than 3,3%. But there is not 3,3% less than unemployed that the last year
and that that has fallen the Spanish demography in almost a million
inhabitants. Today surprisingly I have visited a commercial center of these
that they are not in Madrid or in Barcelona and I have counted more than six
closed commercial spaces, 6% more or less, while waiting for new recruiting, I
assure them that some weeks ago before finishing June (time of finalization of
rent contracts) there were not more than two closed, then this is a sample more
than the consumption doesn't advance.
The level of
creation of companies has lowered in so far in year near 14,000 with regard to
the year 2014, and for further example, the government of the PP has had to
announce the advance of six months (that is to say his immediate entrance) of a
discount of the Tax on the Rents of well-known Physical People as (IRPF), fact
that means two things: one that it is necessary to make electoral campaign and
another that it is necessary to encourage the consumer, although this second I
don't know if it will get it because the discount is almost invaluable, but it
is also evident that if he was lowered the collection of the state.
Andalusia
continues with indexes of unemployment superiors to 45% in some of its regions
and The Organization for the Cooperation and the Economic Development (OECD) it
considers that the politicians of labor activation in Spain have an
insufficient budgetary endowment, keeping in mind that it is the second country
member with the highest unemployment rate, below Greece, and that you grieve it
will get off 20% at the end of next year. Sew that I already tell now them that
he won't make it.
In their report of
Perspectives of the Employment published today, the institution points out that
the proportion of the expense in those politicians in Spain although it is
"significant (...) it continues being low due to the high
unemployment" level. In short, according to the last harmonized figures of
2013 was equal to 0,61% of the Gross Interior Product (GDP), 22% less than in
2007, before the crisis exploded. Spain
is located lightly above the stocking of the OECD (something superior to 0,5%
of the GDP) but its unemployment rate at the end of 2014, of 23,7%, triplicated
that of the group of the 34 members of the organization amply, of 7,1%.
Eleven of those
countries dedicate a proportion of their bigger GDP that the one of Spain to
those devices, beginning with Denmark, Sweden and Finland that consecrate more
than 1%. The authors of the study threw some advice of reformation of the state
services of employment, among them that the controls to the stopped ones that
have under their supervision are not very frequent. In short, while in most of
the countries of the organization monthly or even biweekly reports are demanded
to their beneficiaries, at least a fifth part of the employment plaintiffs
registered in Spain doesn't fulfill the obligation of informing
established."
They also
indicated that, although "the insurance of Spanish unemployment is of the
most generous in the OECD", the decentralized offices of the employment
services don't have the capacity to implement political of activation in an
enough scale to offer an effective support to the employment" applicants.
But here I want to break a lance for the officials of the state offices of
employment and it is that in Spain there are not more companies, neither
industrial, nor commercial structure, to be able to place more hard-working. I
have commented it other times the government it falsifies the data and bill the
contracts like work positions, this way a work position, completed by two
people in reduced days, counts as two employees, when in fact it should be one,
because its taxes and production is the equivalent one to a single work
position.
And already as if
was a joke in poor taste the OECD with everything, does it estimate that the
unemployment rate in Spain will close this exercise 2015 in the active
population's 21,5%, to control then until 19,7% next year or don't I know how
to count or is he telling me the OECD that in Spain next year, will it ascend
less the GDP and however it did lower the unemployment (?) doesn't this
coincide in summary with the forecast of a galloping growth that predicts the
IMF, don't I know how we make it but the international organizations, those
that are be and do treat what they either treat economy, labor aspects,
political transparency, is etc. that they don't find out anything. What the
government told them extends the magic layer and Spain changes completely.
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