The situation of the unemployment of Spain is an
unnatural fact that is becoming a systemic problem, and you cannot continue
hiding the situation, because of maintaining the theory that the politicians
adduce, that it is the economic crisis it is the causing of the same one, he
won't be able to never get ready. The economic crisis if he has their incidence
in the sense that for their cause the economic structure collapsed in that the
growth decontrolled of Spain was based. To demonstrate my theory and that my
readers see it graphically, I have made the graph that is shown next.
In this graph one can observe that our half level of
unemployment is in a fringe of between the 10 and 20 percent according to the
data accumulated from 1980, so the thing that first it jumps visible, it is
that these figures so outside of the European stocking are the normal ones in
our country, this behavior line presents an inferior tip concretely to 10% 8% among
the triennium 2004/2007 that it was really the triennium of gold of the Spanish
economy.
In this point another important variable converges to
understand the current situation, if they look at the superior lines of the
graph they will be reflected the demographic evolution in Spain in the same
periods, in the graph this chapter is presented in two lines a green one that
is the process we could call of natural growth, and another in red that is the
consequence of an increase forced by the limitless growth and desire of wealth
of the Spanish economy. At this time we show off of being 47 million Spaniards,
when the logical thing had been to be 42 million, the jump in demography
happens in the first decade of this century and it is brutal, the two previous
decades that is to say the 80 and the 90 you grew to rhythm of 1,8 million
inhabitants per decade and in the decade 2000/2010 you grew in 5,9 millions,
take out yourselves its conclusions.
They already come it the situation of the Spanish
unemployment, it is not only direct cause of the European economic stop, if it
doesn't cause of the artificial imbalance of two concepts. A. - The terrible
planning of the industrial development of Spain that I base their growth on the
construction decontrolled, and B. - The demographic imbalance that I cause, and
that now no matter how much we want, we won't end up growing enough to absorb
so much manpower as we have. If in these moments in Spain has a logical
population of 42 million inhabitants, the unemployment would possibly be being
about 17% it calculates that it would maintain us inside the Spanish structural"
"normality.
I say that of the normality, because the curve of the
reflective Spanish unemployment with accuracy the historical moments, it
ascends in the periods of the crisis of the 80, it lowers in the moment of the
entrance in the European community 1986 and until the celebration of the Olympiads
in Barcelona, passing the euphoria ascends another time until almost 19% in
1994 for the stop that suffered the Spanish economy after the games, and the
projects of infrastructures carried out by Felipe González socialists, it
begins again to get off the hand of the political change carried out by the PP
of Aznar, although surprisingly the lowest tip happens to Shoemaker's socialist
government that coincides with the Bum of the construction, and from this
moment until today the total debacle, like they come almost everything he has
explanation.
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