NOBODY ALREADY TRUSTS A “EUROPEAN UNION” NEITHER IN A DEFINITIVE EURO
First it was
Germany, then Holland, Belgium and France, and now Austria also. Countries of
all Europe demanded the last year that their reservations of gold, often stored
abroad, return home. At first sight it is strange. After all, the gold has
stopped to have an important paper in the financial system and after two years
of bear market, not even voucher that that before. It costs to justify the
logistical difficulty or diplomat of bringing it to house.
Then that it
happens why the gold is repatriating? Is it clear, is a reflection of the
growing uneasiness regarding the Euro. The crisis of the euro has left
repairing during these last two years but the austerity and the recession they
are passing invoice. To have the gold inside the frontiers is a policy of sure
against a chaotic return to the national foreign currencies. The fact that so
many countries want that guarantee he tells us something important of the
euro... and not precisely soothing. In spite of all the guarantees of the BCE
and of Germany it is thought that their sinking is possible.
Austria has been
the last country in speaking of recovering its gold. He has 280 tons of the
valuable metal, 80% in London and other 3% in Switzerland. One week ago it was
known that the Austrian Tribunal of Bills requested a revision of the
possibility of transferring an important part to Vienna, where supposedly the
central bank will be able to watch over him closely.
It is a growing
tendency. In Germany, an important public campaign and of press it takes years
demanding that the gold is returned from the country to German floor. Of their
enormous stock of 3.400 tons, great part is in United States, London and Paris,
although now he/she has remembered that most will be returned to the control of
the Bundesbank.
In Holland, the
pressure is similar. One month ago the central bank (Of Nederlandsche Bank) he
had begun to bring part silently from their 600 tons of turn reservations to
Amsterdam. 51% is at the moment in the Federal Reservation of New York but he
will decrease to 31% and it leaves it will continue in Canada and the United
Kingdom. Soon after, the governor of the Belgian central bank, Luc Coene, said
in an interview in television that the repatriation of its reservations of gold
(in its majority in London, Canada and Switzerland) he was studying.
Other bigger
countries could be added to the tendency. The reservations of France are among
those bigger than the world, with 2.435 tons. Last month, the leader of the
populist National Front, Pen Marinate Him, he requested in a letter open to the
Bank of France that all the French gold returns to Paris. Also, it urged to the
bank to take advantage of the fall of the price and to buy more metal.
Italy has not still united but with 2.451
tons, its reservations are the fourth of the world and a report of week
principles suggested that the half could be in New York. Although none of the
Italian politics’ agitators has still demanded their transfer to Rome, it is
single question of time that this happens. By the way Spain occupies the
twentieth world position with 281,6 tons
The reservations
of gold of Germany and Austria have been abroad almost all for their position
in first line in the Cool War. If the tanks of the red army had advanced toward
occident, he made sense that the gold was very far from the front.
Apart from that,
there is something very curious. It cannot be coincidence that so many
countries of the euro area suddenly worry so much by where their gold is stored
while in Great Britain, USA or Japan anybody cares it. The reason doesn't cost
to discover it. People are more and more nervous for her money and in those
circumstances she is renewed the interest for the beautiful metals.
There are not
many circumstances in those that to maintain a great load of gold in own
territory is important, but one of them is a sudden and chaotic reorganization
of the currency. If a country introduces a new currency suddenly and it can
support it from the beginning with gold, he would have instantaneous
credibility in the markets. To repatriate the gold only makes sense so that
that happens.
Of course, it is
a lot for that. No central bank is scheming a secret plan of abandoning the
unique but the more prepared currency you is, more probable it is that it
happens. The main threat to half term for the euro is not economic but
politics. If nobody trusts him, he/she won't survive and the repatriation of
the gold is an indicator more than that the distrust is growing.
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