If Dimitri Medvedeev left as legacy when abandoning
the Kremlin the last intent of modernizing Russia before being exchanged the
papers with Vladimir Putin, this he is drawing the leaf of route of the foreign
policy for next years. Putin has intended to form a “Euro-Asian" union
with most of the former Soviet republics. Already years ago, it exposed this
idea in an article published in the daily Izvestia. We are speaking of an
enormous clever geopolitical change for next decade that is to say for the
2020. It is not refunded the Soviet Union, Putin clarifies. But if the
organization that would compete in influence with United States, the European
Union and Asia, would be "one of the centers of attraction of the modern
world, and it would serve as connection between Europe and the dynamic region
Asia-Pacific", this declaration for me means that Russia in the bottom has
chosen to be more occident than it guides.
"The Euro-Asian union was a central idea of
Nazarbáyev (president of Kazajistán). When taking it seriously, (the Russian
elite) he takes a step in the good relationships with Nazarbáyev, and in turn
lance a message to Ukraine: be part of our union, then everything will go well
and we will be able to associate with Europe", Bunin explains. The base of
the idea is the Customs Union of Russia, Bielorrusia and Kazajistán. (They
remember the union of the steel and the coal of the central Europa). In summer these
three former Soviet republics lifted their custom’s barriers, and in next
months they will introduce common trade rules.
Behind this already planned embryo, the following ones
added they are clear and easy since the own synergy of the economic dependence,
energetics, and partner politics, practically force to the adhesion of Ukraine
that was reticent to adhere to the Custom Union, if that supposed to break the
bridges toward the UE. But that position has changed lately. October of 2011,
19 Russia, Bielorrusia, the own Ukraine, Moldavia, Armenia, Kazajistán,
Kirguistán and Tayikistán signed an agreement in San Petersburgo to establish
an area of free trade. Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistán, they could also
make it, and Ukraine would possibly decant toward the thesis of Moscow, since
the economic situation and of uncontrolled of the current European Union that
he doesn't offer any guarantee of security neither economic neither of decision
for its amplification to the east.
This incipient but clearly advantageous union for the
development of the European and Asian, but evidently more Russia for the white
or European Russia that is in definitive where the economic and political power
of the new union is, in definitive for the geopolitical lattice of the old
USSR, it is to my way of seeing much easier that our European Union, the
synergies are formed and missing the problem of the tyranny political and
economic communist of the region, this Euro-Asian Union will be a fact in few
years. An idea pointed in several forums by the Russian leaders, is to create
in the future a commercial alliance with the European Union. The Euro-Asian
Union yes it would be then complete: as them they affirm, "Of Lisbon to
Vladivostok."
If the current European Union doesn't know how to take
advantage of this circumstance, it is that we don't deserve neither to exist,
neither I eat countries, neither I eat union, you almost have the most minimum
idea of what represents to start, a new continent, he has the Europe current
idea of what would represent to unite to a Continental Europe it is to create a
new world concept of blocks where the so much use of synergies in the economic
slope, as of productivity, of technology and development, of supply of matters
cousins, it supposes that the whole world social and geopolitical economic
spectrum is readjusted. Spectacular agriculture, manpower to develop, energy
independence, leadership in sciences and technical of future, in short, maybe I
am too liberal and optimistic, but for me it is "the best news and project
that it could arise of the cold", (parodying a novel title and famous
movie). Provided the current European Union, is presented complete and
structured, before the new Euro it seized that it is going toward the future.
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