jueves, 29 de octubre de 2015

THE SOLUTION FOR THE EUROPEAN UNION MUST COME FROM THE COLD THERE IS NOT ANOTHER DIRECTION



If Dimitri Medvedeev left as legacy when abandoning the Kremlin the last intent of modernizing Russia before being exchanged the papers with Vladimir Putin, this he is drawing the leaf of route of the foreign policy for next years. Putin has intended to form a “Euro-Asian" union with most of the former Soviet republics. Already years ago, it exposed this idea in an article published in the daily Izvestia. We are speaking of an enormous clever geopolitical change for next decade that is to say for the 2020. It is not refunded the Soviet Union, Putin clarifies. But if the organization that would compete in influence with United States, the European Union and Asia, would be "one of the centers of attraction of the modern world, and it would serve as connection between Europe and the dynamic region Asia-Pacific", this declaration for me means that Russia in the bottom has chosen to be more occident than it guides. 

"The Euro-Asian union was a central idea of Nazarbáyev (president of Kazajistán). When taking it seriously, (the Russian elite) he takes a step in the good relationships with Nazarbáyev, and in turn lance a message to Ukraine: be part of our union, then everything will go well and we will be able to associate with Europe", Bunin explains. The base of the idea is the Customs Union of Russia, Bielorrusia and Kazajistán. (They remember the union of the steel and the coal of the central Europa). In summer these three former Soviet republics lifted their custom’s barriers, and in next months they will introduce common trade rules. 

Behind this already planned embryo, the following ones added they are clear and easy since the own synergy of the economic dependence, energetics, and partner politics, practically force to the adhesion of Ukraine that was reticent to adhere to the Custom Union, if that supposed to break the bridges toward the UE. But that position has changed lately. October of 2011, 19 Russia, Bielorrusia, the own Ukraine, Moldavia, Armenia, Kazajistán, Kirguistán and Tayikistán signed an agreement in San Petersburgo to establish an area of free trade. Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistán, they could also make it, and Ukraine would possibly decant toward the thesis of Moscow, since the economic situation and of uncontrolled of the current European Union that he doesn't offer any guarantee of security neither economic neither of decision for its amplification to the east. 

This incipient but clearly advantageous union for the development of the European and Asian, but evidently more Russia for the white or European Russia that is in definitive where the economic and political power of the new union is, in definitive for the geopolitical lattice of the old USSR, it is to my way of seeing much easier that our European Union, the synergies are formed and missing the problem of the tyranny political and economic communist of the region, this Euro-Asian Union will be a fact in few years. An idea pointed in several forums by the Russian leaders, is to create in the future a commercial alliance with the European Union. The Euro-Asian Union yes it would be then complete: as them they affirm, "Of Lisbon to Vladivostok." 

If the current European Union doesn't know how to take advantage of this circumstance, it is that we don't deserve neither to exist, neither I eat countries, neither I eat union, you almost have the most minimum idea of what represents to start, a new continent, he has the Europe current idea of what would represent to unite to a Continental Europe it is to create a new world concept of blocks where the so much use of synergies in the economic slope, as of productivity, of technology and development, of supply of matters cousins, it supposes that the whole world social and geopolitical economic spectrum is readjusted. Spectacular agriculture, manpower to develop, energy independence, leadership in sciences and technical of future, in short, maybe I am too liberal and optimistic, but for me it is "the best news and project that it could arise of the cold", (parodying a novel title and famous movie). Provided the current European Union, is presented complete and structured, before the new Euro it seized that it is going toward the future. 

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