DEFINITIVELY THE DOORS OF THE UE HAS BEEN OPEN

To "laugh and to cry everything is to begin", this statement is applicable in almost all the cases that break the established norms without they love each other to recognize that it is this what is making camouflaging it between other events or events. I have been referring to the changes that the UE is suffering unintentionally to recognize them for days. This way of behaving takes I get that doors are left opened up for where they escaped normative rigidities and obligations more or less imperative without the CE can make anything to brake it because once rattan the inviolability of the norms of the UE these they will be revision object how many times they are questioned or it evidences. 

We have begun with trying to please Great Britain accepting the break of the social equality of the native Europeans or not starting from here the second question that will escape for the door that has opened up is the whole Greek question, thing that said it is in passing I agree completely because Greece is not viable with the economic norms that the UE demands. The European moneylenders from Greece have been working in a plan to offer to the country a gradual relief of the Greek debt on condition that it adopts additional reformations for the 2022, he informed on Saturday the weekly publication "Agora." 

To the view the plan consists in that will allow low types of interest and more lingering expirations of the debt of Greece of 316.000 million Eurus initially (it continues being a ridicule compared with the GDP of the UE), according to the weekly publication. In a later stage, it will be negotiated to link the debt payments with the economic growth if Athens implements measures that should be agreed with the creditors for the 2022. The plan has been discussed among authorities of the European Commission, the bottom of rescue of the area euro, the European Central Bank and the biggest countries in the area euro, he said the weekly publication. 

The moneylenders have spoken openly of granting a debt relief if the reformations are completed. But on Thursday, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, president of the group of minister of finances of the area euro, said that they were concerned with the quality of the reformations that Greece promised in exchange for its rescue, and that the Government needed to implement a reformation of pensions and other agreed fiscal changes. We are an and another time distributing the same thing and it will continue this way, if definitively the UE is not taken charge of the Greek debt or at least of 60% of her, because he makes that he makes Greece it is impossible for its economy to pay its debt for the centuries of the centuries. 

Let us remember that Greece has a nominal GDP of about 260,000 million Eurus what means that its debt is of 120% of its GDP if to this countable situation the constant deterioration of its economy is added by the distrust of the investors and the restrictions that the entities like the BCE force her the IMF and other, it is more than for sure Greece ends up outlining the same line of blackmail that has made the Great Britain "I leave" and although the difference of used reasons is very different because to a certain extent for the UE that left or Great Britain leave it is as a failure that makes it Greece it should be a relief for both. 

The negotiations among the leaders of the mission of the UE/FMI that revise the progress of the country in a reformation of pensions, fiscal goals, among other conditions, were suspended previously this month. In an interview with a Greek newspaper, the minister of economy George Stathakis said that the revision could end for ends of March. "The goal of the Catholic Easter (March 27) it is absolutely realistic", the minister said as it was mentioned by the weekly publication Ependysi. I "believe that there will be an agreement", he affirmed. 

Evidently that there will be an agreement, but don't unite solution that is of what the UE would be all it fixes it with agreements that always consist on lengthening the problem that is to solve one day all these "agreed" problems they exploded because they will have become to themselves, in the problem of the UE. I no longer know exactly how many years we are discussing and agreeing solutions paw the debt of Greece that is simply a problem of alone 2 percent of the GDP of the Eurozone. 

I believe sincerely that with alone to absorb the Greek debt on the part of the BCE by means of some in agreement financial instrument we would solve two problems one that of the debt and other the one of how to help to that Greece is the arrival platform and the refugees' coming from the wars of Syria distribution and of the north of Africa because this it is the next "agreement" that will have to confront the UE.    

DEFINITIVAMENTE LAS PUERTAS DEL LA UE HAN QUEDADO ABIERTAS

“Reír y llorar todo es comenzar”, esto dicho es aplicable en casi todos los casos que se rompen las normas establecidas sin que se quieran reconocer que es esto lo que se está haciendo camuflándolo entre otros acontecimientos o sucesos. Hace días que me estoy refiriendo a los cambios que está sufriendo la UE sin querer reconocerlos. Este modo de comportarse lleva consigo que se dejen puertas abiertas por donde se escaparan normativas rigideces y obligaciones más o menos imperativas sin que la CE pueda hacer nada para frenarlo porque una vez rota la inviolabilidad de las normas de la UE estas serán objeto de revisión cuantas veces sean puestas en duda o evidencia.

Hemos empezado con intentar agradar a Gran Bretaña aceptando la rotura de la igualdad social de los europeos nativos o no a partir de aquí la segunda cuestión que se va a escapar por la puerta que se ha abierto es toda la cuestión griega, cosa que dicho sea de paso yo estoy completamente de acuerdo porque Grecia no es viable con las normas económicas que exige la UE. Los prestamistas europeos de Grecia han estado trabajando en un plan para ofrecer al país un alivio gradual de la deuda griega a condición de que adopte reformas adicionales para el 2022, informó el sábado el semanario “Ágora”.

Al parecer el plan consiste en que permitirán inicialmente tipos de interés bajos y vencimientos más prolongados de la deuda de Grecia de 316.000 millones de euros (sigue siendo una ridiculez comparada con el PIB de la UE), según el semanario. En una etapa posterior, se negociará vincular los pagos de deuda con el crecimiento económico si Atenas implementa medidas que deben ser acordadas con los acreedores para el 2022. El plan ha sido discutido entre autoridades de la Comisión Europea, el fondo de rescate de la zona euro, el Banco Central Europeo y los países más grandes de la zona euro, dijo el semanario.

Los prestamistas han hablado públicamente de otorgar un alivio de deuda si las reformas se completan. Pero el jueves, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, presidente del grupo de ministros de finanzas de la zona euro, dijo que estaban preocupados con la calidad de las reformas que Grecia prometió a cambio de su rescate, y que el Gobierno necesitaba implementar una reforma de pensiones y otros cambios fiscales acordados. Estamos una y otra vez repartiendo lo mismo y así seguirá, si definitivamente la UE no se hace cargo de la deuda griega o al menos de un 60% de ella, porque haga lo que haga Grecia es imposible para su economía pagar su deuda por los siglos de los siglos.

Recordemos que Grecia tiene un PIB nominal de unos 260,000 millones de euros lo que significa que su deuda es del 120% de su PIB si a esta situación contable se añade el constante deterioro de su economía por la desconfianza de los inversores y las restricciones que la obligan las entidades como el BCE el FMI y demás, es más que seguro que Grecia termine por plantear la misma línea de chantaje que ha hecho la Gran Bretaña “yo me voy” y aunque la diferencia de motivos esgrimidos es muy distinta porque hasta cierto punto para la UE que se fuese o se vaya Gran Bretaña es como un fracaso que lo haga Grecia debería ser un alivio para ambos.

Las negociaciones entre los líderes de la misión de la UE/FMI que revisan el progreso del país en una reforma de pensiones, metas fiscales, entre otras condiciones, se suspendieron anteriormente este mes. En una entrevista con un diario griego, el ministro de economía George Stathakis dijo que la revisión podría terminarse para fines de marzo.

"La meta de la Pascua católica (27 de marzo) es absolutamente realista", dijo el ministro según fue citado por el semanario Ependysi. "Creo que habrá un acuerdo", afirmó.

Evidentemente que habrá un acuerdo, pero no una solución que es de lo que se trataría la UE todo lo arregla con acuerdos que siempre consisten en alargar el problema que se trata de solucionar un día todos estos problemas “acordados” explotaran porque se habrán convertido a sí mismos, en el problema de la UE. Ya no sé exactamente cuántos años estamos discutiendo y acordando soluciones pata la deuda de Grecia que simplemente es un problema de solo el 2 por ciento del PIB de la Eurozona.

Creo sinceramente que con solo absorber la deuda griega por parte del BCE mediante algún instrumento financiero acorde solucionaríamos dos problemas uno el de la deuda y otro el de cómo ayudar a que Grecia sea la plataforma de llegada y distribución de los refugiados procedentes de las guerras de Siria y del norte de África porque este es el próximo “acuerdo” que tendrá que afrontar la UE.  

THE ENEMY OF OUR ENEMY IS OUR FRIEND

  

In the peal of the negotiations, the PSOE and Pedro Sánchez knows that Pablo Iglesias and We Can they are his biggest ally, but also his biggest enemy. The hard demands of the party of Iglesias to the socialists to make a pact have made that from Ferraz they have looked for their weak point: IU and the alliances with the territorial partners of the party. 

For everything it, in this week of meetings and negotiations that it starts up today, the socialists will look for, he informs today the newspaper The Country, to stir up the biggest number of supports around Sánchez looking for kind of a 'I surround' to the 47 pure deputies of We Can, since the formation of Iglesias is being the hardest when dialoguing with Sánchez, ending up even vetoing him that dialogue with Citizens. 

To get this, the socialists want to take advantage of the good disposition from IU to the pact. Those of Alberto Garzón repugnant a Government of change and, wronged erroneously by the attitude of We Can toward them in the electoral campaign, they only request the PSOE a complete social calendar to offer him their support. An attitude that he could leave to We Can very signal if it continues in their closeness. Sew that I don't believe because neither IU neither the satellites of the frank of We Can they are non-socialists but of left and they are anything without We Can.

 

Another point could happen with the territorial partners of We Can. Especially with Compromís, after the 'I divorce' parliamentarian among those of Iglesias and the Valencian party that he preferred to pass to the Mixed Group. The formation of Mònica Oltra and Joan Baldoví would not put significant obstacles a Government of change that evicts the PP of the Moncloa. 

More complicated it seems this strategy of the PSOE with in Comù podem and with Marea, the Catalan and Galician partners of Iglesias that claim the referendum sovereignties. Although up to now these frank have demonstrated unit with the main party, they have not been few the voices inside both that they have proposing an approach and more dialog to the socialists that the one proposed by the address of We Can. But I reaffirm myself that none of these appendixes of We Can it is anything outside of the umbrella of the head. In my opinion they are more the desires of PSOE of making by been worth before its more than sure government partner that doesn't unite real political stratagem. 

The interested press is possibly based on these strategic movements more for illusion than for reality, and maybe in the fact that last week contacts already transcended among the directing Catalan PSC Carme Chacón and Miquel Iceta with Xavier Domènech, 'strong man' of in Comú Podem in Madrid. 

Behind this they say it would be the mayors from Barcelona Ada Colau, authentic reference of the fork in Catalonia and that it has already explored pact options in their City council with the PSC. But these conclusions or strategies fear myself they are made from Madrid and non-headquarters Barcelona where we know that the PSC in a support alternative to Colau in the city council of Barcelona, but in any case it happens of here the collaboration or political fork between both parties .

  

My impression is that at the end the PSOE will consider seriously to be convinced that has to reach an agreement with the party’s Catalan independents so that they support the investiture of the duet PSOE / We Can fact that I am more than convinced that the Catalan independents supports before the alternative of a government with the PP or with the uncertainty of some new elections in Spain. And I eat I already wrote in another article that the PSOE neither for extension We Can they should worry about the Catalan independents, although they request them their support their war it is not our war and in principle the current situation is that that is observed the situation like a fight between Popular Party and Citizens with PSOE in Catalonia and We Can. And like they will understand the favor for our part it will always be to favor, be worth the redundancy, of enemy's our enemy.  

EL ENEMIGO DE NUESTRO ENEMIGO ES NUESTRO AMIGO

En el fragor de las negociaciones, el PSOE y Pedro Sánchez saben que Pablo Iglesias y Podemos son su mayor aliado, pero también su mayor enemigo. Las duras exigencias del partido de Iglesias a los socialistas para pactar han hecho que desde Ferraz hayan buscado su punto débil: IU y las alianzas con los socios territoriales del partido.

Por todo ello, en esta semana de reuniones y negociaciones que arranca hoy, los socialistas buscarán, informa hoy el diario El País, concitar el mayor número de apoyos en torno a Sánchez buscando una especie de 'rodeo' a los 47 diputados puros de Podemos, ya que la formación de Iglesias está siendo la más dura a la hora de dialogar con Sánchez, llegando a vetarle incluso que dialogue con Ciudadanos.

Para conseguir esto, los socialistas quieren aprovechar la buena disposición de IU al pacto. Los de Alberto Garzón propugnan un Gobierno de cambio y, agraviados erróneamente por la actitud de Podemos hacia ellos en la campaña electoral, sólo piden al PSOE una completa agenda social para brindarle su apoyo.

Una actitud que podría dejar a Podemos muy señalado si sigue en su cerrazón.Cosa que yo no creo porque ni IU ni los satélites de la franquicia Podemos son no socialistas sino de izquierdas y son nada sin Podemos otro tanto podría ocurrir con los socios territoriales de Podemos. Especialmente con Compromís, después del 'divorcio' parlamentario entre los de Iglesias y el partido valenciano, que prefirió pasar al Grupo Mixto. La formación de Mònica Oltra y Joan Baldoví no pondrían trabas significativas un Gobierno de cambio que desalojase al PP de la Moncloa.

Más complicada parece esta estrategia del PSOE con En Comù podem y con En Marea, los socios catalanes y gallegos de Iglesias que reclaman el referéndum soberanista. Aunque hasta ahora estas franquicias han demostrado unidad con el partido matriz, no han sido pocas las voces dentro de ambas que han propugnado un acercamiento más dialogante a los socialistas que el propuesto por la dirección de Podemos. Pero me reafirmo que ninguno de estos apéndices de Podemos es nada fuera del paraguas de la cabeza. En mi opinión son más las ganas de PSOE de hacer valerse ante su más que seguro socio de gobierno que no una estratagema política real.

Posiblemente la prensa interesada se basa en estos movimientos estratégicos más por ilusión que por realidad, y quizás en el hecho que la semana pasada ya trascendieron contactos entre los dirigentes PSC catalán Carme Chacón y Miquel Iceta con Xavier Domènech, 'hombre fuerte' de En Comú Podem en Madrid.

Detrás de esto dicen estaría la alcaldesa de Barcelona Ada Colau, auténtica referencia de la confluencia en Cataluña y que ya ha explorado opciones de pacto en su Ayuntamiento con el PSC. Pero estas conclusiones o estrategias me temo están hechas desde Madrid y no sede Barcelona donde conocemos que el PSC en una alternativa de apoyo a Colau en el ayuntamiento de Barcelona, pero en ningún caso pasa de aquí la colaboración o confluencia política entre ambos partidos.

Mi impresión es que al final el PSOE deberá considerar en serio convencerse que tiene que llegar a un acuerdo con los partidos independentistas catalanes para que apoyen la investidura del dúo PSOE / Podemos hecho que estoy más que convencido que los independentistas catalanes apoyamos ante la disyuntiva de un gobierno con el PP o con la incertidumbre de unas nuevas elecciones en España. Y como ya escribí en otro artículo que el PSOE ni por extensión Podemos deben preocuparse por los independentistas catalanes, aunque les pidan su apoyo su guerra no es nuestra guerra y en principio la situación actual es aquella que en Catalunya se observa la situación como una lucha entre Partido Popular y Ciudadanos con PSOE y Podemos. Y como comprenderán el favor por nuestra parte siempre estará a favor, valga la redundancia, del enemigo de nuestro enemigo.

IT IS WORTHWHILE TO WORRY ABOUT AN UE THAT DOESN'T HAVE FUTURE

  

The vice-president of the Govern and “conseller d'Economía”, of Catalonia Oriol Junqueras, it has located the question of the Spanish public debt in the center of the debate independent. "The administration of the load of the debt of Spain that is at the moment of a trillion Eurus, is a challenge and the Spanish economic growth, it continues being financed by the high public deficits ", he explains in an interview with the Financial Times. 

We are convinced that this process is not neither unilateral neither bilateral - Junqueras said - because this is not only between the Catalan Republic and Spain, or among the Catalan Republic, the UE and Spain. There are many elements that have a private" character, it also pointed out. The vice-president of the Generalitat sustains that an agreement to divide the debt between an independent Catalonia and Spain would be better for those worthy of the country that to only leave the debt in the "no reliable" governments from Madrid hands. 

Would the financial markets prefer to have a single speaker that up to now it has demonstrated that it is not very efficient neither worthy of trust, or is it better to have another speaker, with the obvious determination of being at the same time efficient and worthy of trust? 

 

In their interview, Oriol Junqueras transmits the desire of the Catalan Govern to "internationalize" the process. Who can press Madrid they are the institutions supra nationals, the funds that have in their hands the Spanish debt... there are many actors that have an outstanding opinion in this ", it analyzed. 

Junqueras justified that the Govern is working for the creation of an office of taxes and a new public bank that it would act as speaker with the European Central Bank. Our objective is the prepared to be possible, and starting from there we will make use of all the opportunities that are presented. 

I find correct these manifestations, but now I begin me to ask if it will really be worth the effort to maintain the debt that Spain owes the UE when this organization is in frank recession in all its aspects we will begin a two year-old period without Schengen this means that the conditions in passing of capital goods and people it will be the same thing for a country of the UE that stops one that simply this in Europe and if they hurry me he will have many more advantages the one of it was, but look as in Denmark, in England and in Switzerland to give some examples. 

I believe sincerely that it is necessary to reconsider two roads in the independence of such Catalonia and like they are the circumstances in the UE. One the one that were continuing, that is to say to stay in the UE to all coast and assuming part of the Spanish and other debt, to stay as a state more than Europe and to wait and to see.

Today it is known that a country can adopt all the fiscal and legal commercial rules that are of application in its natural contour, without necessity of belonging to a concrete organization, it can even outline to use the foreign currency that he believes more convenient for its commercial relationship with the rest of the world, me the truth today I don't do the UE and the euro with so much security as to fight to leave the blaze of Spain, to enter in the embers of the UE. 

  

That that if it is necessary already once and for all is that an authentic budgetary plan of the new nation is summed up, I refer to Catalonia, it is necessary to present to the financial world as and how many revenues he will have this new nation, how many costs he will have to support and all debt will need for its liquidity and with all this that I liquidate it will present if this becomes well and it can make sure its viability before the world financial institutions, the independence is a fact, if it is not this way, it is not worthwhile to lose neither one minute more.    

MERECE LA PENA PREOCUPARSE POR UNA UE QUE NO TIENE FUTURO

El vicepresidente del Govern y conseller d’Economía, de catalunya Oriol Junqueras, ha situado la cuestión de la deuda pública española en el centro del debate independentista. “La gestión de la carga de la deuda de España, que es actualmente de un billón de euros, es un desafío y el crecimiento económico español, continúa siendo financiada por los altos déficits públicos “, explica en una entrevista con el Financial Times.

Estamos convencidos de que este proceso no es ni unilateral ni bilateral -dijo Junqueras- porque esto no es sólo entre la República Catalana y España, o entre la República Catalana, la UE y España. Hay también muchos elementos que tienen un carácter privado”, señaló. El vicepresidente de la Generalitat sostiene que un acuerdo para dividir la deuda entre una Catalunya independiente y España sería mejor para los acreedores del país que dejar la deuda únicamente en manos del gobierno “no fiable” de Madrid.

¿Los mercados financieros preferirían tener un solo interlocutor, que hasta ahora ha demostrado que no es muy eficiente ni digno de confianza, o es mejor tener otro interlocutor, con la determinación obvia de ser a la vez eficiente y digno de confianza?

En su entrevista, Oriol Junqueras transmite el deseo del Govern catalán de “internacionalizar” el proceso. Quién puede presionar a Madrid son las instituciones supranacionales, los fondos que tienen en sus manos la deuda española... Hay muchos actores que tienen una opinión relevante en esto “, analizó.

Junqueras justificó que el Govern esté trabajando para la creación de una oficina de impuestos y un nuevo “banco público” que actuaría como interlocutor con el Banco Central Europeo. Nuestro objetivo es estar lo más preparados posible, y a partir de ahí vamos a hacer uso de todas las oportunidades que se presenten.

Me parecen correctas estas manifestaciones, pero ahora yo me empiezo a preguntar si realmente va a valer el esfuerzo para mantener la deuda que España debe a la UE cuando esta organización está en franca recesión en todos sus aspectos vamos a empezar un periodo de dos años sin Schengen esto significa que las condiciones de paso de mercancías capitales y personas va a ser lo mismo para un país de la UE que para uno que simplemente este en Europa y si me apuran tendrá muchas más ventajas el de fuera, sino fijémonos en Dinamarca, en Inglaterra y en Suiza por poner unos ejemplos.

Creo sinceramente que hay que replantearse dos caminos en la independencia de Catalunya tal y como están las circunstancias en la UE. Uno el que estábamos siguiendo, es decir mantenernos en la UE a toda costa y asumiendo parte de la deuda española y otro, quedarnos como un estado más de Europa y esperar y ver.

Hoy es sabido que un país puede adoptar todas las reglas comerciales fiscales y legales que sean de aplicación en su contorno natural, sin necesidad de pertenecer a una organización concreta, puede incluso plantear usar la divisa que crea más conveniente para su relación comercial con el resto del mundo, yo la verdad hoy no veo a la UE y al euro con tanta seguridad como para pelearnos para salir de la hoguera de España, para meternos en las brasas de la UE.

Lo que si es necesario ya de una vez es que se concrete un auténtico plan presupuestario de la nueva nación, me refiero a Catalunya, hay que presentar al mundo financiero como y cuantos ingresos va a tener esta nueva nación, cuantos costes va a tener que soportar y cuanta deuda va a necesitar para su liquidez y con todo esto, que saldo va a presentar si esto se hace bien y se puede asegurar su viabilidad ante las instituciones financieras mundiales, la independencia es un hecho, si no es así, no vale la pena perder ni un minuto más.  

RUSSIA AND THE EUROPEAN UNION SHOULD LOOK FOR TO CREATE A COMMON EUROPE

The multimillionaire investor notices that the European Union faces five or six different crisis at the same time and it is "on the edge of the collapse". I agree with him in these moments I see to the UE like a circus hint in that 28 funambulistas that crossing goes a long wire act at the same time and where besides trying to maintain the balance each one of them to they come it they try to see as throwing to the other ones, but at the moment it seems that the not coordinated movements of the 28 make that they leave compensating each other and they are sustained in the high of the wire, but alone that one of the aerialists fails all one will come below. 

And the possibility that this pass is very high. George Soros pessimist has been shown on the future of the European Union and she has noticed of the shakes that ago the UE can fall, Soros he says that a bad administration of the migratory crisis that Europe lives could have dangerous consequences. "The Greek crisis taught to the European authorities the art of leaving to the step of a crisis after other", the famous investor has pointed out in an interview with The New York Review of Books. Soros considers that this alone practice is good to separate temporarily since soon after the problems of the road you meet with them of front again. 

Now the UE doesn't face a problem, but to five or six crisis at the same time: The crisis of Greece, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the possible one 'Brexit', the massive arrival of refugees, and the terrorist attacks. Of all them, the problem of the refugees is the biggest challenge to which faces the Old Continent, among other things because we don't want to take the responsibility of the solution in the origin point, but rather we want to limit it and to fix it inside the UE. In this sense, the German chancellor, Angela Merkel made a forecast guessed right when recognizing that the crisis of refugees has the potential of destroying the European Union.  

The incredible thing is that seeing this possibility the UE. (that my followers know I am defending from the first moment the same as Soros), continue without intervening it doesn't stop to welcome the problem, but to stop it and to help the same refugees in their origin because that it happened after more than a million refugees he requested asylum in Europe the last year, most coming from Sira in three months when they gorge of going up and under this to refuge west in refuge and when they are also no longer a million but two.  

The leadership of Merkel is now under she threatens. The Germans, under the leadership of Merkel, achieved a hegemony position and now it has arrived the moment that they decide if they want to accept the responsibilities that it implies to be the dominant power in Europe, or they get tired of being the sack of the blows of the UE.  

Because the reality is very hard the economy doesn't start up, to "help" to this balance the Great Britain he threatens to leave the UE, (God willing makes it because to take out profit of the finances of the European companies that you/they work from the City better than stays in its origin countries) they won't leave, it is alone a blackmail because the Great Britain outside of the UE is not right of being, today is the bridge among the Asian and Anglo-Saxon financial worlds with the UE if this breaks it inevitably this business crossed to Frankfurt or Paris for example. 

And we have left Russia that pushed by the megalomania of Putin that is putting on in many economic problems and internal politicians for the fall of the price of the raw one that I unbalance him its budgets and that it was enlarged by the western sanctions imposed to its warlike and expansible posture outside of all logic and real possibility of maintaining it. We are creating an economic and financial crisis to Russia that can unbalance their president dangerously, Putin in fact it is deviating the attention of the Russian society, it doesn't fit me any doubt it is always the same history, Russia doesn't want to accept that it is not an isolated continent, but rather it depends on Europe so that its economy is unwrapped. 

The industry the consumption and for ended the Russian market collapses, in the moment that there is not commercial movement and of capitals between Russia and occident, mainly Europe, and this is what is putting nervous to Putin who is to scare Europe making him believe instead of opening negotiations to bring near the Russian economy to the UE what seeks that it can enslave her with a new cold war, but in fact he knows that he cannot make him I damage the UE, but its threats in fact are guided to make believe to the Russian society that as always if he goes bad its economy, is European blame of the evil ones.  

And surprisingly to help to that the things are tranquilized London now it accuses Putin of ordering the murder of Alexander Litvinenko with that that this way "help" to the balance of the UE because this puts very furious to the Russian government and the Russian government is Putin. Hoy the Russian economy it is collapsed, because alone it is based on the commercialization of their energy wealth, in the moment that these they have fallen to Russia he doesn't have left another trade type, he doesn't have industry he doesn't have products we say of consumption, they are limited to the industry of the defense and the war, but this doesn't give money because most of the operations that Russia makes with this industry, they are practically donations to arm rebels of the third world to be able to bother to the first world, its enemy imaginary occident, Russia has allowed to pass the real economy, the one that is built with products and services factorable and creators of wealth, to become a monkey - economy of petroleum and weapons. 

Putin tries to be frightened threatening Ukraine, making ramshackle contracts with Chinese, but the result is the same one that I already pass in 1990 who doesn't leave its stagnation state who is ruined it is Russia, when they will understand its rulers and its society that Russia is Europe and that its logical road is to come closer to Europe and not to try to go away with threats and cold wars that the only thing that they make is to freeze the economy and the Russian society.   

THE FORCES FACTICAS OF SPAIN IS GETTING READY FOR A SOFT DICTATORSHIP

To who I refer when I speak of forces factice’s of Spanish because you look to the whole national press, to the great capital, to the big companies those that it doesn't invest in Spain but outside of the country and he gives them the same as salaries and unemployment of Spaniards one lowers and another ascends, to the IBEX 35, to the Spanish right headed by the Popular Party and seconded by the front of youths of Citizens, and to the King if they are not missed but to that come to publish surveys of new elections that or chance the party that more changes its results in positive is the PP 

If I refer to press news published today like these: It interviews of 'The Country': PP, 29% (+0,3%); we Can, 22,5% (+1,8%), PSOE, 21,1% (-0,9%), C's, 16,6% (+2,7%) and IU, 3,2% (-0,5%). and 'The Reason' it invokes the president of USA and the UE in pro of a pact PP-C's-PSOE and it warns that Felipe VI listened big managers of the Ibex 35. 

They are reached this way conclusions like that most of the Spanish voters oppose you to the celebration of other general elections to solve the political dead point after the unconcluded result of the elections of December and they prefer that the parties make a pact a government, as he/she comes off of the published survey this Sunday. 

The conservative Popular Party (PP) the one that more benches won was, but it was below most parliamentarian in the elections of the past December 20. The socialists of the PSOE were second, losing many votes that they went to stop to the party anti austerity We Can, third. Citizens, another party that like We Can he opened in the Parliament, it was quarter. the results bear that they are necessary at least three parties to form a coalition that a stable government, a situation without precedents allows in Spain where two dominant parties, the PP and the PSOE, they have enjoyed solid majorities in the last forty years. 

According to a survey of Metroscopia published by the newspaper The Country, 33 percent of the voters is only in favor of repeating the elections, while 61 percent prefers that the parties reach government's agreement. Asked on if the absence of an absolute majority was something good or bad, 61 percent answered that it was positive. It seems that Spain will try to copy the steps that happened in Catalonia where you were to a step of having to take place another time election in the face of the impossibility of obtaining the agreement among the winning coalition with 62 benches and the party of the CUP that he had 10 and alone two yes and the rest of the eight were needed they abstained, but to arrive at the end of the agreement two bankrupt investitures they were needed. 

The king Felipe VI will meet this week that begins with the main political leaders with parliamentary representation in an intent of unlocking to break the political impasse. The truth is that I find as very accelerated the feeling of restlessness like to already have prepared surveys and conversations between the King and the IBEX I find that it is too soon because they are giving for fact that won't be possible to form any government except for which you/they want the Spanish institutions that is to say a great coalition PP-PSOE.  

I believe that the restlessness and the steps to continue will be better after carrying out the first investiture because as it is unwrapped it will be seen if it can have possibilities of a coalition in a hypothetical second investiture and in view of how the political formations are expressed in the investiture I believe that one can see clearer what coalition type it is easier of getting if one of right and left together, or alone one of lefts that would be a priori as more uniform in forms and political ideas. 

I understand that the current hurries are not such but a subliminal warning that Spain doesn't want an union of left and if a great coalition of the two parties that they have governed alternatingly during these last forty years, and that given the serious number of obtained deputies the party of right that is to say the PP who would obtain the presidency of the country, this it is the situation they disguise her like want the official Spain he wants him to follow that settled down and he cares what they have voted the Spanish ones and they are already making campaign for it. 

Without he is not a solution and they take place new elections, their result would be lightly different regarding that of December and the dead point would persist, according to the same survey. PP and We Can they would be the main beneficiaries of a repetition of the elections since both they would have more supports. Mariano Rajoy party would get 29 percent of the vote, in front of that of December 28,7, while the one of We Can of Pablo Iglesias he would obtain 22,5 percent of the votes (20,7% in December). The PSOE would be third with 21,1 percent of the vote in front of 22 percent that got last month. Citizens would ascend until 16,6 percent of the vote, from 13,9 percent of December. The survey was carried out with a sample of 1.200 people between the 12 and January 14. 

In short, I don't like this restlessness so early and maxim without listening an authentic debate of the leaders of the elected parties for the Spanish society to see if there is possibility of coalitions and as maximum that or who it would be necessary to change or to grant to achieve it I understand that without this previous and logical step Spain is saying that it won't be left democratically and that one way or another one will make a government for legal imposition, what that which we all know resembles this  

LAS FUERZAS FACTICAS DE ESPAÑA ESTAN PREPARANDOSE PARA UNA DICTADURA BLANDA

A quienes me refiero cuando hablo de fuerzas fácticas españolas pues miren ustedes a toda la prensa nacional, al gran capital, a las grandes empresas esas que no invierte en España sino fuera del país y les da igual que sueldos y paro de españoles uno baje y otro suba, al IBEX 35, a la derecha española encabezada por el Partido Popular y secundada por el frente de juventudes de Ciudadanos, y al Rey si no se extrañen sino a que vienen publicar encuestas de nuevas elecciones que o casualidad el partido que más cambia sus resultados en positivo es el PP

Si me refiero a noticias de prensa publicadas hoy como estas: Encuesta de 'El País': PP, 29% (+0,3%); Podemos, 22,5% (+1,8%), PSOE, 21,1% (-0,9%), C's, 16,6% (+2,7%) e IU, 3,2% (-0,5%). y 'La Razón' invoca al presidente de EEUU y a la UE en pro de un pacto PP-C's-PSOE y desvela que Felipe VI escuchó a grandes empresarios del Ibex 35.

Así se llegan a conclusiones como que la mayoría de los votantes españoles se oponen a la celebración de otras elecciones generales para resolver el punto muerto político tras el resultado inconcluso de los comicios de diciembre y prefieren que los partidos pacten un gobierno, según se desprende de la encuesta publicada este domingo.

El conservador Partido Popular (PP) fue el que más escaños ganó, pero quedó por debajo de la mayoría parlamentaria en las elecciones del pasado 20 de diciembre. Los socialistas del PSOE quedaron segundo, perdiendo muchos votos que fueron a parar al partido anti austeridad Podemos, tercero. Ciudadanos, otro partido que como Podemos se estrenó en el Parlamento, quedó cuarto. los resultados conllevan que son necesarios al menos tres partidos para formar una coalición que permita un gobierno estable, una situación sin precedentes en España donde dos partidos dominantes, el PP y el PSOE, han disfrutado de sólidas mayorías en los últimos cuarenta años.

Según una encuesta de Metroscopia publicada por el diario El País, sólo el 33 por ciento de los votantes son partidarios de repetir las elecciones, mientras que 61 por ciento prefiere que los partidos alcancen un acuerdo de gobierno. Preguntados sobre si la ausencia de una mayoría absoluta era algo bueno o malo, el 61 por ciento contestó que era positivo. Parece que España va a intentar copiar los pasos que acontecieron en Catalunya donde se estuvo a un paso de tener que celebrar otra vez elecciones ante la imposibilidad de obtener el acuerdo entre la coalición ganadora con 62 escaños y el partido de la CUP que tenía 10 y solo se necesitaban dos síes y el resto de los ocho se abstuvieran, pero para llegar al final del acuerdo se necesitaron dos investiduras fallidas.

El rey Felipe VI se reunirá esta semana que comienza con los principales líderes políticos con representación parlamentaria en un intento de destrabar romper el impasse político. La verdad es que me parece como muy apresurado el sentimiento de inquietud como para haber preparado ya encuestas y conversaciones entre el Rey y el IBEX me parece que es demasiado pronto porque están dando por hecho que no va a ser posible formar ningún gobierno salvo el que quieren las instituciones españolas es decir una gran coalición PP-PSOE.

Yo creo que la inquietud y los pasos a seguir se verán mejor tras realizar la primera investidura porque según se desenvuelva se verá si puede haber posibilidades de una coalición en una hipotética segunda investidura y a la vista de cómo se expresen las formaciones políticas en la investidura creo que se puede ver más claro qué tipo de coalición es más fácil de conseguir si una de derechas e izquierdas juntos, o solo una de izquierdas que sería a priori como más uniforme en formas e ideas políticas.

Entiendo que las prisas actuales no son tales sino un subliminal aviso de que España no quiere una unión de izquierdas y si una gran coalición de los dos partidos que han gobernado alternativamente durante estos últimos cuarenta años, y que dado el número de diputados obtenidos seria el partido de derechas es decir el PP quien obtendría la presidencia del país, esta es la situación la disfracen como quieran la España oficial quiere que siga lo establecido y le importa lo que han votado los españoles y ya están haciendo campaña para ello.

Sin no se encuentra una solución y se celebran nuevos comicios, su resultado sería ligeramente diferente respecto al de diciembre y el punto muerto persistiría, según la misma encuesta. PP y Podemos serían los principales beneficiarios de una repetición de las elecciones ya que ambos tendrían más apoyos. El partido de Mariano Rajoy conseguiría el 29 por ciento del voto, frente al del 28,7 de diciembre, mientras que el de Podemos de Pablo Iglesias obtendría el 22,5 por ciento de los sufragios (20,7% en diciembre). El PSOE sería tercero con el 21,1 por ciento del voto frente al 22 por ciento que consiguió el mes pasado. Ciudadanos ascendería hasta el 16,6 por ciento del voto, desde el 13,9 por ciento de diciembre. La encuesta se realizó con una muestra de 1.200 personas entre el 12 y el 14 de enero.

En fin, no me gusta esta inquietud tan temprana y máxime sin escuchar un auténtico debate de los líderes de los partidos elegidos por la sociedad española para ver si hay posibilidad de coaliciones y como máximo que o quien habría que cambiar o conceder para lograrlo yo entiendo que sin este paso previo y lógico España está diciendo que no va a salirse democráticamente y que de una manera u otra se habrá de hacer un gobierno por imposición legal, lo cual todos sabemos a qué se parece esto.

IT SEEMS THAT IN THE SPANISH TERRITORY YOU CAN NO LONGER GOVERN EASILY

It is evident that the political confusion has become evident in Spain first are surprised with the Catalan elections where being most of agreement with the dream of the independence didn't have possibility to close a government later the elections they came for the government from Spain and independently you the results that they have been explained, valued, and criticized for own and strange of each one of the formations that have converged to both elections undoubtedly the only thing it has been taken out of them it is that up to now they are the most amusing in the democratic history.  

I believe that the electoral results in both elections are confused because they are not directly proportional to the social configuration of the town with the political actions of the leaders of the political parties, the results in both elections give in common that they are too many dispersed and neither Spain neither Catalonia are accustomed to this mosaic of alternatives that they don't have another remedy that to make a pact and to group to be able to make government and this doesn't go with the Spanish character neither Catalan. 

I can understand it better if I refer to the problem of Spain in general because I have always said that Spain like such it is not unitary but it is the sum of several nationalities what we could say that in Spain there are several Spain and each one is different according to their voters, and each one has reflected their sense their politician in their votes. This is important because of the results there been in Spain and in Catalonia they are not enough to form a government neither in one neither in another place, the society and the form of life that each one wanted to live for yes it has broken the uniformity that we have been imposed up to now this it seems that now he ended… (at the moment) …   

We have two tendencies that continue always reflecting the Spain and that of course they are the politics of right and traditional and the one of left always and also traditional, these political tendencies in Catalonia the situation is similar but a more complicated point because in Catalonia it is not alone the difference between right and left but rather it is also necessary to add the nationalists that there are also them of right and of left, but the new thing what has unbalanced the governability of Spain and Catalonia has been the appearance of the new political formations that surprisingly in turn are also of right and of left in short that has been organized an authentic political mess in Spain. 

It is evident that one can already say that Spain has stopped to be like it was said A before, I happen to ago to see that they were later DOS starting from the 1978 but 40 years they are already in principle five or six the classic right and the new one, the traditional left and the new more revolutionary left the nationalists of right and those of left that have been presented in Catalonia united and formations cocktail shaker that mix a little of all have also appeared.  

Now this modifies everything because it is necessary to be able to make a government that represents and order Spain and this requires of a parliamentary majority that they don't have it nobody clearing it is neither for the traditional right neither for the classic left neither for the "revolutionaries" young formations and this it is the horizon that we will face next months as much in Spain as in Catalonia until or repeat new elections for the impossibility of containing majorities or the same politicians realize that there are not so many Spain for all. 

Such and as me I see it is very probable that we are forced to have to repeat another time the elections as much in Spain as in Catalonia because, although the politicians dominate the art of lying in an astonishing way I doubt that can maintain the lie of coming to an agreement so that you proclaim a president of a party that would have to govern in real minority, although he has a majority that proclaims it and that this arrangement lasts a lot more than six months. As he said in the one headed it seems that Spain has become suddenly very complicated of governing 

PARECE QUE EN EL TERRITORIO ESPAÑOL YA NO SE PUEDE GOBERNAR FACILMENTE

Es evidente que la confusión política se ha hecho evidente en España primero nos asombramos con las elecciones catalanas en donde estando la mayoría de acuerdo con el sueño de la independencia no hubo posibilidad de cerrar un gobierno después vinieron las elecciones para el gobierno de España  e independientemente se los resultados que han sido explicados, valorados, y criticados por propios y extraños de cada una de las formaciones que han concurrido a ambas elecciones lo único claro que se ha sacado de ellas es que hasta ahora son las más divertidas de la historia democrática.

Yo creo que los resultados electorales en ambas elecciones son confusos porque no son directamente proporcionales a la configuración social del pueblo con las acciones políticas de los líderes de los partidos políticos, los resultados en ambas elecciones dan en común que son demasiados dispersos y ni España ni Catalunya están acostumbradas a este mosaico de alternativas que no tienen otro remedio que pactar y agruparse para poder hacer gobierno y esto no va con el carácter español ni catalán.

Puedo comprenderlo mejor si me refiero a la problemática de España en general porque siempre he dicho que España como tal no es unitaria sino es la suma de varias nacionalidades lo que podríamos decir que en España hay varias Españas y cada una es distinta según sus votantes, y cada una ha reflejado su sentido su político en sus votos. Esto es importante porque de los resultados habidos en España y en Catalunya no son suficientes para formar un gobierno ni en uno ni en otro lugar, la sociedad y la forma de vida que cada una quisiera vivir para sí ha roto la uniformidad que se nos ha impuesto hasta ahora esto parece que ahora se terminó … (de momento) …  

Tenemos dos tendencias que siguen reflejando la España de siempre y que por supuesto son la política de derechas y tradicional y la de izquierdas de siempre y también tradicional, estas tendencias políticas en Catalunya la situación es parecida pero un tanto más complicada porque en Catalunya no es solo la diferencia entre derechas e izquierdas sino que además hay que añadir los nacionalistas que también los hay de derechas y de izquierdas, pero lo nuevo lo que ha desequilibrado la gobernabilidad de España y Catalunya han sido la aparición de las nuevas formaciones políticas que curiosamente a su vez también son de derechas y de izquierdas en fin que en España se ha organizado un auténtico lio político.

Es evidente que ya se puede decir que España ha dejado de ser como se decía antes UNA, paso a hace ver que eran DOS a partir del 1978 pero 40 años después ya son en principio cinco o seis la derecha clásica y la nueva, la izquierda tradicional y la nueva izquierda más revolucionaria los nacionalistas de derechas y los de izquierdas, que en Catalunya se han presentado unidos y también han aparecido formaciones coctelera que mezclan de todo un poco.

Ahora esto lo modifica todo porque hay que conseguir hacer un gobierno que represente y ordene a España y esto requiere de una mayoría parlamentaria que no la tienen nadie claro está ni por la derecha tradicional ni por la izquierda clásica ni por las “revolucionarias” jóvenes formaciones y este es el horizonte a que nos enfrentaremos estos próximos meses tanto en España como en Catalunya hasta que o se repitan nuevas elecciones por la imposibilidad de agrupar mayorías o los mismos políticos se den cuenta que no hay tantas Españas para todos.

Tal y como yo lo veo es muy probable que nos veamos obligados a tener que repetir otra vez las elecciones tanto en España como en Catalunya porque, aunque los políticos dominen el arte de mentir de manera asombrosa dudo que pudiesen mantener la mentira de ponerse de Acuerdo para que se invistiera un presidente de un partido que tendría que gobernar en minoría real, aunque tenga una mayoría que lo proclame y que este arreglo durase mucho más de seis meses. Como decía en el encabezado parece que España se ha vuelto de pronto muy complicada de gobernar

THERE ARE FEW LUNATICS THAT CAN USE THE NUCLEAR WEAPON MR. PUTIN, YOU ARE ONE

The president from Russia, Vladimir Putin, said that Europe doesn't have an own foreign policy, in an interview for the documental world, emitted Order this Sunday for the chain Russian television Rossía-1. "The problem of Europe is that it doesn't develop an autonomous" foreign policy, the boss from the Kremlin said. 

It points out that it is "totally normal" that the members of a political-military block give part from their sovereignty to organs supra nationals, but it highlighted that the European countries have delegated part of their sovereignty not so much in the NATO, but in United States, the leader of the Alliance. 

In example quality, the Russian president mentioned the shipment of troops to Iraq for United States, to what in his moment Germany and France opposed you. It defended the validity of veto right that has the five permanent members of Council of Security of the UN that it guarantees that drastic measures cannot be adopted against any country without there is full consent. "This is a key matter of the whole system of the international" right, Putin emphasized. 

In allusion to Syria, Putin admitted that it is "very easy to declare illegitimate to the government of one or another country", but he wondered: "And which are the approaches of illegitimacy, who the idea, who does decide them? ". "If we will act with similar categories voluntarists’, with a language that is not clear that is not comprehensible neither transparent, there will be chaos", did he notice. 

The Russian president underlined that the institutions of State cannot be destroyed even when they seem imperfect. He Remembered, in this sense, the international military intervention in Libya and his leader's murder, Muamar the Gadafi. "What did it happen then? Did the democracy arrive? What did they achieve? And for what reason did they make it? ", did he ask. Russia, contrary to United States, acts in the international environment with caution. We are not afraid; we always behave with more contention. And if we make something, we try to take the maximum of guarantees before possible negative consequences. 

Asked by the possibility that a global war, the Russian president explodes he responded: I "wait that no. anyway, under the current international conditions it would be a planetary" catastrophe. "And he wanted to believe that in the planet Earth today there is not a lunatic that decides to use the nuclear" weapon. I fear Myself Mr. Putin that this alone it depends that is to say on you of the leaders that are not afraid and they offer that to behave with contention and I refer to you and Obama clearing it is, if you two came to an agreement I am for sure they could finish in a few days with the conflict of half east and north of Africa. 

And if they don't make it is because if they are afraid not of not acting with moderation and contention but that the reasons end that allow you mainly to enjoy their totalitarian government in their country, I have always said it and I maintain it for their absurd mania of impressing to the world making him believe that Russia is what is not, to you it interests him to lengthen the wars and several conflicts that maintain to the world in state of alert and caution against in fact the madness that it can organize you in a moment of maximum depression in the face of the idea that it can lose its image of political omnipotent. 

They are few those that can use a he arms nuclear and among these few ones it is you so following their own warnings then doesn't complain that the other ones don't leave him alone and we maintain him sanctioned and low surveillance is not that it is you the unconscious that is escaped the finger and press the missile that takes the atomic bomb that you don't believe that nobody dares to use. 

HAY POCOS LOCOS QUE PUEDAN EMPLEAR EL ARMA NUCLEAR MR. PUTIN, USTED ES UNO

El presidente de Rusia, Vladímir Putin, dijo que Europa no tiene una política exterior propia, en una entrevista para el documental Orden mundial, emitido este domingo por la cadena televisión rusa Rossía-1. "El problema de Europa es que no desarrolla una política exterior autónoma", dijo el jefe del Kremlin.

Señala que es "completamente normal" que los miembros de un bloque político-militar cedan parte de su soberanía a órganos supranacionales, pero destacó que los países europeos han delegado parte de su soberanía no tanto en la OTAN, sino en Estados Unidos, el líder de la Alianza.

En calidad de ejemplo, el presidente ruso citó el envío de tropas a Iraq por Estados Unidos, a lo que en su momento se opusieron Alemania y Francia. Defendió la vigencia de derecho de veto que tiene los cinco miembros permanentes de Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU, que garantiza que no se puedan adoptar medidas drásticas contra cualquier país sin que haya pleno consenso. "Este es un asunto clave de todo el sistema del derecho internacional", recalcó Putin.

En alusión a Siria, Putin admitió que "es muy fácil declarar ilegítimo al gobierno de uno u otro país", pero se preguntó: "¿Y cuáles son los criterios de ilegitimidad, ¿quién los idea, ¿quién los decide?". "Si vamos a actuar con semejantes categorías voluntaristas, con un lenguaje que no es claro, que no es comprensible ni transparente, habrá caos", advirtió.

El presidente ruso subrayó que "no se pueden destruir las instituciones de Estado aun cuando parezcan imperfecta". Recordó, en este sentido, la intervención militar internacional en Libia y el asesinato de su líder, Muamar el Gadafi. "¿Qué ocurrió luego? ¿Llegó la democracia? ¿Qué lograron? Y ¿para qué lo hicieron?", preguntó. Rusia, a diferencia de Estados Unidos, actúa en el ámbito internacional con precaución. "No tenemos miedo, siempre nos comportamos con mayor contención. Y si hacemos algo, intentamos tomar el máximo de garantías ante posibles consecuencias negativas.

Preguntado por la posibilidad de que estalle una guerra global, el presidente ruso respondió: "Espero que no. En cualquier caso, en las actuales condiciones internacionales sería una catástrofe planetaria". "Y quisiera creer que en el planeta Tierra hoy no hay un loco que se decida a emplear el arma nuclear". Me temo Mr. Putin que esto solo depende de ustedes es decir de los líderes que no tienen miedo y procuran que comportarse con contención y me refiero a usted y Obama claro está, si ustedes dos se pusieran de acuerdo estoy seguro que podrían terminar con el conflicto de oriente medio y norte de África en pocos días.

Y si no lo hacen es porque si tienen miedo no de no actuar con mesura y contención sino de que se terminen las razones que les permiten a usted principalmente disfrutar de su gobierno totalitario en su país, siempre lo he dicho y lo mantengo por su absurda manea de impresionar al mundo haciéndole creer que Rusia es lo que no es, a usted le interesa alargar las guerras y conflictos varios que mantengan al mundo en estado de alerta y precaución contra precisamente las locuras que pueda organizar usted en un momento de máxima depresión ante la idea de que pueda perder su imagen de político omnipotente.

Son pocos los que puedan emplear un arma nuclear y entre estos pocos está usted así que siguiendo sus propias advertencias luego no se queje que los demás no le dejemos solo y le mantengamos sancionado y bajo vigilancia no sea que sea usted el inconsciente que se le escape el dedo y apriete el misil que lleve la bomba atómica que usted no cree que nadie se atreva a usar.

HAPPY NEW DOLLAR AND A PROSPER 2016

In a hand, a sword, and in the other one, a scale. They are the two elements that the well-known goddess sustains as Lady of the Justice. The sword symbolizes the power, the authority to make complete the justice, while the scale represents the objectivity, to consider the tests and allegations of both parts. 

Among the hands of a woman he is now becoming of the economy of the world. Janet Yellen, the president of the Federal Reservation (Fed), it is the visible figure of monetary politics’ change that United States has begun. Fair or not, the certain thing is that the beginning of a stage of ascent of types has begun, if that is completed foreseen, in less than a trimester this fact and the decisions that they take the central institutions of all the states of the world will mark the rhythm of all the big economies, and a lot more than the small ones. 

The first ascent of types in almost one decade in the world globalized will still make it more and more unstable and it doesn't accompany in general the economic stability of the USA The explanations given in the meeting of the Fed of December in that the shot of ascent of the price of the money was given they have given a point of tranquility when announcing that the speed that he takes the central bank to carry out new rises of the price of the money will be adjusted to the economic effects that leave observing in the whole world. 

The emergent countries, already hit by the economic deceleration in China and for the weakness of the price of the first matters, they are those that wait with more fear the change of monetary politics of the first world power. But not all the emergent ones are in the same situation, for what suits to differentiate the impact country for country. Among the big losers, Brazil and Turkey they are two of the signal ones, while the experts locate at Central America, with the clearest example in Mexico, toward the other side of the scale, as possible area benefitted by their correlation with United States. 

There are opposing opinions some to favor and others in against clear this regarding that if there is a region that will take party from of the rise of types to the other side of the Atlantic, that it is the area euro, where, also, the monetary politics of the European Central Bank (BCE) far from hardening it will be lax in next months. This duality of a stronger dollar against a weaker euro should make react the internal economy of the Eurozone to get two objectives one to be more competitive in the international markets based basically on the dollar and another to my more important view to recover companies or products un localized outside of the market euro. 

The new era, where United States will move away from the types zero, it will contaminate mainly to the rest of economies of the world for two roads: for the own ascent of rates that urges the financing, and for the effects of the foreign currency, since technically the dollar will spread to be appreciated, although it has discounted part of the rise in the last months. The ascent of types will have adjournment through the dollar, and it will affect to all those economies that are dollarized. 

The other important point is the debt. On one hand, and bound to the above-mentioned, (to get financing, the emergent ones have to get in debt in dollars and the indebtedness will go up them). This is an immediate effect. With a stronger dollar, the same debt now grows alone for the effect it sights. And, on the other hand, some higher types will press to the rise the financing costs. 

The emergent markets should get ready for the implications of a deterioration of the international financial conditions, he notices the IMF in their last report about the world financial stability, where it sentences that "as the advanced economies normalize the monetary politics, the emergent markets should get ready for an increase of the managerial" crashes and the foreign companies displaced them to the loss of benefits or results. 

Although the debt of emergent economies is comprehensible inside the economic cycle in the one that are, from Goldman Sachs admits mainly in a report that they are worried by the debt in the economies of emergent markets, in China, where the relationship debt / PIB has been increased near 100 percentage points during the world financial crisis. 

The companies of these countries have also gotten in debt in fact for the low types of those that he enjoys part of the planet. The levels of indebtedness of the companies in the emergent markets have increased, particularly in the sectors of the construction and the petroleum and the gas, due to the drops interest rates in the advanced economies, they affirm from the IMF that they calculate that the debt of emergent companies in relation to the GDP has climbed 26 percentage points in ten years 

Although the emergent markets will fight with this bigger debt load, not all the effects of an ascent of types of the Fed are negative. The experts point to emergent regions that can come out airy of the new scenario that approaches. Central America is one of these areas. 

Their economies are usually correlated with the American economy. An ascent of types goes associated to a strong domestic economy, with growth of GDP, market labor solid and increase of wages. For Mexico, this scenario is beneficial because United States cares a great volume of Mexican goods, and an alone economic improvement should improve this circumstance, in Central America the main benefit will come from the remittances that these countries receive from their many civic residents in United States that you/they will be beneficiaries of the positive labor scenario. 

In the area euro the positive implications are clear. In the first place, Europe will be the biggest beneficiary for a weaker euro. Although the change euro/dollar has already discounted great part of the ascent of types, some experts believe that the crossing could come closer to the parity or to be located in levels in the environment of the 1,03 dollars in the next trimester, what leaves journey from the 1,09 current. And, in second place, in front of the turn of the Fed, the BCE seeks to extend its stimulus measures to the economy.  

Also other foreign currencies as the yen - the Bank of Japan an expansible politics also maintains - they could continue its tendency to the drop in front of the dollar. In the search of emergent that don't leave harmed, you point to that the India won't hardly have any collateral effect, because it is not very indebted. From BNP Global Paribas Market qualifies the country like “relative winner” among the emergent ones and they point to another strength: their growth. This he doesn't feel the effect as much as in other emergent ones thanks to the recovery of the agricultural production and the increase of the construction.  

In the other side of the scale, Brazil and Turkey they appear as the countries where the experts come more risks before the ascent of types of the Fed. Brazil will absorb this change in a moment in which accuses its own difficulties, with some expectations that are not positive, at least for the next trimesters. The IMF already foreseen a fall of the GDP of 3% this year and of 1% in 2016, in front of the descent of the 1,5 and of 1,7 dear% to half of the year. The problem is that Brazil to combat its recession was not him a lot of margin to be able to clip types and to devaluate its foreign currency. The depreciation of the foreign currency is already more than notable: the dollar wins 40% in front of the real one in 2015. 

Also, it is not necessary to subtract importance to the political uncertainty in Brazil, neither in other countries. In the case of Turkey, the biggest problems are framed in the geopolitical tensions more than in their level of external debt, the indebtedness of Turkey is of 36,5% the GDP, "according to data of Bloomberg". And lastly it is the great one incognito of Russia that in my opinion on one hand it was beneficiary because the slope of the prices of the petroleum and of the gas they were corrected a point with the revaluation of the dollar however this can be absorbed and overcome because their imports of almost everything will also suffer for the increase of the dollar and of the euro in relation to the ruble. Russia soon will make an economic decision of vital importance and this decision will be or to that sights it ties to the ruble (to the dollar or the Euro) or if he/she decides once and for all to request to adhere to once and for all to the euro.