lunes, 9 de julio de 2012

EUROPE: THEY ARE NOT THE DEBT AND THE DEFICITS THE PROBLEM, THEY ARE THE CONSEQUENCES


I want insist today on the geopolitical situation of Europe again and of the economy and western culture, because I continue seeing to our very pending world and confused by the imbalances economic financiers of the UE we continue forgetting that we are amid a changing world and convulse that I don't know very well because it seems that he has taken it with us and vice versa. 

The whole blame of the bad situation of the economy of the euro is guiding to the excessive expense on the part of the states and besides to the society, that is to say to all us my dear readers, but I think that this interpretation is very comfortable and simple, the fall of the economy is not exclusive to attribute it to the waste this is an incongruity, because we think, in the partner's economy classic norms if the consumption is exaggerated what is increased it is the inflation, because a bolted consumption has for general rule the excess of liquidity in hands of the society, but what is not logical is that he stops the economy that the companies are left without work and that the demand falls brutally in all the environments.  

Flatly I don't accept like main cause of the economic imbalance of Europe that is the expense the causing one. The reality that they don't want to see, or rather to teach the politicians and European governments, it is that the crisis is due to the geopolitical circumstances that are convulsing the world, these they are the true causes of the imbalance in the bills of the European countries, and I eat consequence of the euro area and not alone it affects to the continental europa, but rather it has affected to the USA, I eat I have already expressed in fact in other articles they affect to the whole western society. 

The one that the sovereign debts, and the budgetary deficits of some countries has been shot, is consequence that to the strong consumption rhythm (public and private) maintained by the European and western economy in their different nations, he united the cutting of the flow of economic revenues for the road of the commercialization of manufactured goods, being unbalanced by it the commercial scales of the countries today more affected by the so much problems of debt like of deficit because this imbalance effect between costs and revenues produces the fiscal deficit which should cover you with sovereign debt.  

To this it is necessary to add that they are carried out less strategic and speculative investments on the part of investors and external capitals, because other opportunities have been born in other geographical destinations where to invest with but profitability and without competition, less contracts and industrial orders also take place for the same reason, also add increment in Europe of the demography for the immigration des controlled here, but perfectly planned by the societies interested in obtaining two objectives, one to maintain their problems of labor and social integration the far away possible and in some cases also, to establish movements against the coexistence and western culture. 

The things a considerable contraction of the capacity of revenues and an amplification of the necessity of the expense that it has also been superimposed to the normal one that was already established in the life of the European society have taken place this way. 

All the governments have had to increase their social expenses, at the same time that they tried to maintain the expenses of the public and private consumption characteristic of the economic level of their societies. The bill evidently soon has given negative results, and the state deficits they have been shot, consequently it was appealed to the debt emission to maintain this situation and you arrives this way to the catastrophic current reality. 

Now Europe seeks to rectify the situation, attacking what is not the main cause of the damage but the consequence, that is to say clipping the deficit with the help of clipping the expenses, but this not alone he results in the discount and the deterioration of the level of stability of the society, if not that it is not good to put the things in its place. Alone acting on the cause that causes this deterioration, the capacity of generating resources, will be gotten that the level of economic stability is balanced again that allows to maintain the social status that the European society has perfectly livestock to pulse, for history, for sufferings, and for firmness. 

Our politicians and ruling, they cannot be so blind or to be so comfortable in their idyllic world, and to let that the society loses conditions of life that escape toward other addresses and latitudes, day by day without they put on the means and the appropriate solutions so that the ascent of other societies, don't represent the recession inevitably of ours. I insist in the necessity of the reactivation of the production in Europe, if it is necessary to blow of treaties and laws anti delocalization and benefits to the repatriation of companies and productions that they have gotten lost for some years to this part. 

And it is that the question that I outline has not finished neither it finished for the fact that europa reduces its sovereign debts and deficits and elevate the conditions of security before the financial markets, we should understand that the non alone "competition" insured is already but rather other problems are presented in the world geopolitical horizon, to those that I would claim to proceed to a strategic and preventive pursuit from already. I want to expose the following theory: I consider secured but still in growth the market and the economy of the end guides standing out above them to China, Japan, and the India.  In the face of this reality that is the one that has caused the readjust of the European and western economy, it is necessary to find the economic balance between both blocks if we want that it returns the social normality and in way of western life at the reached levels the XX century. 

But it is already necessary to go further on, because or a lot I make a mistake or the first half of the XXI century will be the one that to see the change of the Islamic world, this great world portion that he hugs a philosophy of life based on a religion very ferries and aggressive in front of other monotheistic religions mainly, it has remained enslaved somehow totally by its own social and religious structures both absolutists today the whole Islamism it is revolutionizing for the east a rich Islamism he is born for the petroleum that seems to want to stay calm in front of its client buyer of its wealth but the more dangerous element that is Iran which already mixes its oil wealth with its imperial ambition has already been born we remember that we are I relent of Persia that was one of the humanity's first empires. 

And more near our europa almost integrated physically among us this Turkey another empire to horse of the Islam and the western but lay culture but that now this doubting among what road to take because he knows that it will be the very difficult to be European and if he falls asleep it finished being "Persian" and this drawing conditions the whole rest of the Arab or Islamic world as they want and that he should worry and a lot because great part of him has it to very few kilometers of distance so few that in some point that can leave swimming, I refer to the Maghreb and its call erroneously democratic spring, neither it is spring neither it is democratic it is simply the change to prepare the expansion of we will already see who or the Turks or the ayatollahs, but this is simply question of time and some that another war waits that among them. 

What I mean with all this is that while we are wearing away among how to fix the debts and the deficits between declarations like that of the chancellor Merkel in the sense that no country should assume the debt of another country, other countries, they are preparing the road to form another front that I want to believe alone economic in front of our poor economy and europa if we continue this way discussing if they are greyhounds or they are hound when we realize we will be among its fauceses, and there will no longer be neither debts neither deficits cannot guess neither I will see it what will have happened. 

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario