It seems that after the lifting of the European
sovereign debt, all the analysts pass page to the problem giving it for well
guided, and they notice the collateral ones that can end up being certainly
more problematic and to cause second and third crisis in the European economy
now.
They will do at the moment with the solution of
the debt, he/she is clarified the future mainly to the German and French banks
that it is already well, for something you begins, but the undertaken economic
resolutions don't solve that the PIGSI (Portugal, Ireland, Greece, Spain and
Italy.) they can balance their budgets, and recover their GDP, to obtain the
appropriate differential that allows them to sustain and to reduce their
debts.
For that reason now I say that he will be
necessary to think like it is reactivated the production and the revenues of
these battered countries. I have written several times that a serious form
creating a double euro that makes comparable among if the countries in
question, this says it because the problem resides basically that it is sought
to compare the PIGSI with the rest of the rich and potent Europe, and this
doesn't square, no matter how much the differentials of the debts are softened,
the markets didn't reduce the costs of the same ones, because they come that
the capacity to pay them, for themselves, will be more and more difficult.
It cannot stay bad him in spite of the BCE, a
cost rhythm of the money at the same level for a rich one that for a poor
person, unless the rich one runs with the difference that the poor person won't
be able to pay, and I eat this you won't be this way (truth Mrs. Merkel), he is
a constant and endemic crisis the one that we have installed in the European
Union, because this doesn't get ready in another way that with the contribution
of grants to the PIGSI on the part of the union, the same as one has to make
with the new annexed countries (Poland, Rumania, etc.), or restructuring the
industrial, agricultural and economic productive capacity, in the area euro so
that the productivity of the PIGSI is supplemented with the purpose of
increasing her GDP.
Alone it is necessary to see the parameters
macroeconomic Europeans to see what I am denouncing clearly
Conce/pais
|
Portugal
|
Irlanda
|
Grecia
|
España
|
Italia
|
Déficit
|
-9,1
|
-32,4
|
-12,5
|
-9,2
|
-4,6
|
Deuda pub.
|
93,0
|
96,2
|
142,8
|
60,1
|
119,0
|
Crecimiento
|
1,4
|
-1,0
|
-4,5
|
-1,4
|
1,3
|
Paro%
|
13,0
|
13,6
|
21,5
|
25,1
|
11,5
|
Balanza ext.
|
-9,9
|
-0,7
|
-10,4
|
-4,5
|
-3,5
|
The problematic countries are it for reasons
mathematics, independently of their best or worse government administration,
one can see that Italy is the best in the bad because he has two parameters in
positive in front of the other trip partners and on the contrary Greece is the
worst and he has three parameters in which is the worst, it is curious to see
that Portugal this better one on the whole that Spain, and that this he has one
better than the other countries and the worst of all them in the
unemployment.
It is easy in view of this graph, to see for
where it is necessary to attack, at the moment the European union has acted on
one of the parameters the debt, and he has made it clearly where more lack
toward, but it is clear that if not continuous solving the deficits, the GDP,
the unemployment, and the scales of commercial, they will go falling one to one
the other countries, because they already took charge the international markets
of taking advantage of them, loading them of interests its capital demands that
they don't take place internally.
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