With some
luck and desires will be able to say that the European economic crisis will
have stopped in this 2013, but not overcome that is otherwise what he will be
necessary to make as quickly as possible, the deflation or the estanflación of
the economy we will install at least in Spain during about 15 years I
calculate.
My plan so
that this doesn't happen he has two slopes the politics and the economic one,
it is clear that one without the other one doesn't work well, the problem is in
how to conjugate them because the politics is "democracy" and it is
in the governments' hands, the politicians, and a numberless of legal organs,
such as congresses or senates or both in many cases, this makes it slow in its
reactions and maxi me, when this problem that of the legal bureaucracy
multiplies it for twenty-seven.
However, the
economy doesn't have anything of democratic, it is quick in reactions, he is
not due to anybody it is absolutely free, too much would say me, and in many
cases it skirts the illegality, that is to say politics and economy are totally
antagonistic, and however there is not more remedy than to make them cohabit
more or less in harmony.
It is
necessary to endow to the politics of much more dynamism and of hardness in
their taking and application of decisions. For there is it to really insist in
the European unit, it is necessary to give from the nations that compose it all
better more national sovereignty, it is necessary to order the laws and the
European constitution, so that it is from superior range to the laws and
constitutions of the nations that form the Union.
For example
a law or community norm either of political or economic range, he will be reflected
obligatorily if he doesn't have space in those, national constitutions changing
these, without delay neither discussion some, they won't be able to this way
the nations to retain or to lengthen in their benefit and to form of political
blackmail sometimes, approvals and previously approved applications and
validated by the European advice in which they are represented legally.
The European
Union should be aware that that entire Country or Nation that he doesn't agree
on undergoing this rigidity, will abandon its status of permanent member of the
European Union, it is not necessary to think of the total expulsion he will be
able to continue being part of the same UE but in associate's quality or
attaché, but he/she won't have neither voice neither I vote neither it will
perceive any type of grant of the European bottom.
He will have
the advantages of free trade with the union and he will be able to in the
moment that he/she requests it and complete the requirements and appropriate
parameters, to request the total reincorporation of full right to the European
Union, accepting the laws of government of the Union unconditionally. The
European Union should understand that he is better being few and all united
ones that many and without union some. This first and great step would take us
without a doubt after some years to the total European unification.
Once taken
this very hard political, hard decision, measured for reactivation of the
European economy should be applied, we leave of the base that the fall has
already been sustained, what it is necessary to make is to look for reactivation
measures, both first they have monetary character:
1º. - to
Increase the circulating monetary mass of Eurus 20% and at the same time to
devaluate the euro in also 20%, that is to say to put the euro more or less to
a change of 110 dollars.
2º. - to Go
down the interest from the money to 0,25% up to 2014, starting from this year
in that this slope and the devaluation will have reactivated the production and
maybe fact to go up the inflation, to go increasing the cost of the money
between annual point up to the 2020 (final of the damned decade) with the money
to 3,25%,
3º. - to let
that the inflation ascends until 4% like end maximum arrival to this figure, if
it is that it arrives, it was stabilized and it began to lower for the pressure
of the increase of the interests and for the stabilization of the reactivation
of the economy that will have taken place in theory.
With these
economic measures the exports and the internal production were reactivated, the
internal consumption accelerated, as well as the credit flow to the companies
and matters, with these measures you should reactivate the labor market, the
imports will be retained when going up its price, this balanced the scale of
payments and it avoided the possibility of an excessive inflation. The
knowledge of the interests of the money and their preset evolution, it will
allow the concession of mortgages and credits, calculated in what concerns to
their costs of paying-offs, objective fact and that it is very necessary for
the taking of investment decisions in companies and of the expense for the
matters. Of course it will be necessary the control of the evolution of the
established plans, of there the importance of the points related with the
political governability of the union, because if something doesn't work like it
would be of waiting, you cannot be one year to rectify in a sense or
another.
The European
Union should understand that in these moments it is not any economic colossus,
rather on the contrary, and it cannot be allowed to sustain a foreign currency
that is very above its real value, this should stop it immediately because it
is the logical thing, all the parameters that give value to a foreign currency
are for the floors, there is not productivity, there is galloping debt,
unemployment almost to 11%, we don't have own resources, my question is clear
that he gives value to the euro so that 30% is quoted above the Dollar, alone
there is an explanation the international speculation, all this is hard very
hard but it is question of saying course, we are here, and from here we will go
back to truly be the European giant that we want to be.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario