The Spanish Government, confronts
a crisis of trust among the nervous investors and the European governments
included the own European commission of course, after admitting on Friday for
the night that the public deficit of 2011, was bigger than it that previously
had been said by the adjustment of the bills in three autonomies, all them for
but gibe governed by the government's party. Spain revised the public deficit
from 2011 to 8,9 percent of the GDP, from a previous figure of 8,5 percent of
the GDP, a quite superior figure to the original objective of 6 percent, what
supposes a setback for the Government's president that there is had accused in
good part to the socialists of the inability to control the bills.
That is an uppercase disaster
and he will give a very serious blow to the credibility of Spain. It would not
surprise me if we see a new qualitative jump in the cousin of risk on Monday.
It is the worst thing that could spend at this time, the yield that Spain pays
for the funds to ten years it has not grown until levels seen in the last week
this in untenable considered figures, amid the concerns about the bank sector,
and the possibility that Greece can it turns forced to leave the area euro,
Spain can still receive a bigger punishment on the part of the international
markets, maxi me if these they understand that they have wanted to be
deceived.
The Government assured on
Friday, after presenting the revised data that the country will fulfill its
objectives, but this will be impossible without condemning to the economy to a
deeper recession. The Spanish economy has been in recession, or stagnated,
since the real estate bubble exploded four years ago and in spite of the
forecasts that the GDP will contract 2 percent this year, the Government has
applied deep cuttings to fulfill the fiscal objectives fixed by Europe,
objectives that are not completing but rather it is enlarged more and more the
structural deficit of the state.
The fiscal politics’
credibility has been made bits, not because the Government is avoiding his
responsibilities, but because it is not feasible the fiscal adjustment that is
demanding when the economy is in recession, and the government is like a fair
shotgun that branding the shot every time that shoots a proposal or an economic
measure, Rajoy it has approved measures of austerity for around 45.000 million
Eurus to reduce the deficit to 5,3 percent of the GDP this year, and it will be
forced to make more cuttings next year to reach an objective of 3 percent of
the GDP, figures both that are impossible to get with a GDP in recession, with
an unemployment that has an annual cost of 50.000 million Eurus, and with a
debt cost to 6% that will surely ascend.
The deviation of the deficit,
inherited of the previous socialist Government that lost in the urns in passed
November, the PP insists that it owed himself partly to the expense of the 17
communities that they represent around half of the total of expenses, but this
is maybe lie it strains in Europe because they don't understand that it means
that of autonomous community, but somebody someday he explained to them that
the communities autonomous today, alone they are the government's delegations
disguised of governments semi federal i, but that they don't arrive neither to
that. What the autonomous communities spend is what the central government
gives them, to administer the services that lend to the society, since exception
the Basque country and Navarre any but he has own country property.
The only saving that would
mean their suppression, serious in costs of character of personal and some of
the madness of their leaders of high political positions and of some thousands
of officials, but the first ones should pass to augment the you nominate of the
state or of the political parties, and the seconds to the unemployment, with
what the expense would continue in the country, from here there are now many
opinion currents that adduce the kindness to reconsider the autonomous state, I
agree but not so much for what means in saving of costs, like in the biggest
administration easiness and control, it is a madness to have a community like
Álava with 200 inhabitants with the same complex treatment that Catalonia for
example with 7,7 million inhabitants.
Spain is not well very bad and
the government of Rajoy and its party don't know for where to leave, this it is
the reality, and they toss the blame to the banks, to the autonomous
communities, to the PSOE, to the UE and the BCE, already alone he lacks how
he/she made in its day Felipe II to give the blame to the elements.
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