domingo, 27 de noviembre de 2011

DO CLIP, RESCUES, FUNDS, DEFICITS, AND THE REACTIVATION FOR WHEN?




We don't advance all the characters and the political europa at all, they are obsessed in the economic and financial theories, they go giving turns to the roulette to have if by chance they guess right then I number, the color, and the couple or odd, too many things to guess right, among so much the economy has entered in recession, although they don't want to admit it and they play with the statistics of comparing 12 months or four trimesters like want, but the reality is that in the last trimester the recession has entered in many of the European economies. The worst thing is not alone that but rather the politicians and the governments are liberated of the blame, accusing to the economic and financial problems to those that in turn try of fixing for already more than one year and every time they go to worse.  

Today I read that somebody of the BCE wonders if it would not be opportune a new slope of interests. More wood is needed so that he doesn't stop the European locomotive. It is the watchword that begins to extend, don't only enter those and financial analysts of the Old Continent, but also among the own members of the European Central Bank (BCE). The last indicators of the area euro show how the area can enter again in recession at the beginning of 2012.  

In fact, the International Institute of Finances that picks up the impressions of the great European banking already gives for fact a setback of 1%. Before this tessitura they are winning force the voices that they advise a discount of types of interest that revives the activity. 1 fall% in the GDP of any nation, it is an increase among other things of the unemployment, and a descent of the collection of taxes, mainly the main one the IVA, with what the budgetary imbalance is revived and the necessity of national financing increases with the help of sovereign debt, that is to say already we start the wheel of the fortune again.   

The desire that a discount of types takes place it is shared by several national Governments, among them Spanish. The necessity to provide liquidity to the financial system and of generating an increment of the activity, it is peremptory, otherwise they don't serve he gives anything the measures forced to apply for the European Union, from the financial economic slope. If there is not productivity there is no way to square the numbers looks at it for where they want. The origin of the crisis economic Westerner is supported in the abandonment of the industrial production in favor of the commercial and financial globalization of the real economy in current world. 

The matter is simple of explaining, I have referred to this fact countless times, when the globalization system extended, the industry and the production of tangible values and materials you externalize from the first world toward the emergent world, looking for the benefit of its double effect. One The economic cheap manpower on one hand, and the intent of breaking the poor population's migratory movements toward the first world.  

But he fell in a serious error, the greed, the world rich Westerner wanted the saving of costs that the cheap manpower caused to take advantage and to transform them into more economic benefits, instead of social, so I don't lower prices if not that it continued marketing at the same level of prices that they took place in occident, but unintentionally to see that to the western consumers, little by little no longer he entered them the same flow of money to acquire them, and the companies producers went closing or give being located one after other, as consequence the fiscal revenues lowered in dive, solution credit and economic bubbles, until he has not been possible to support more. 

If the politics and the European economy doesn't admit this reasoning, and it doesn't change it, he can already give all the norms of cuttings of budgets, of rescue funds, of European funds, or what they want, alone they will be good to finance debts and to impoverish but its economies for anything but, what it is necessary to make is already to finance the productive reactivation of our economies, so that they produce real revenues coming from the commercialization of the factory of consumption goods again, and of course also of services and of technology. It should be the national civil society it starts it the real economy, because with the numeric economy, that is to say based on passing figures from the asset to the passive one he doesn't leave anywhere. 

I repeat my theory, it is necessary to lower the interests of the money, to see of reactivating the credits, and mainly it is necessary to devaluate the euro at least 15% according to the value of closing of Friday, to let that the economy enters in inflation until a maximum of 6% during a period of time, until the turn to the growth of the GDP among a 2 to 3%. in summary production recovery, reserved of imports of basic products to the possible maximum, and you help to the technological development that provides export, the increment of internal consumption he will take place for inertia of the previous effects. It is evident that as soon as our potential production and internal consumption, the economies supplying today they will put us obstacles to the commercial exchange except if our offer, is very above its technological qualities as much in quality as in the utility and the design of our offer. 

In the German central bank he also stays silence. However, the German managers have already shown their interest in reviving the economy of their commercial partners with slopes of types. Pity that at the moment alone they are the managers and not the politicians those that come the things with the eyes of the real world, because it is necessary that this theory extends to the politics, otherwise these they will continue giving turns in the carrousel of economic crisis without finding the exit, because it is not in the address in that they move. 

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