miércoles, 23 de noviembre de 2011

WHILE WE FALL WE WILL GO THINKING TO GET UP




It cannot leave against current, for what seems you can already give ideas, you can already protest, you can already become lunatic thinking because you sew as simple as to recognize that the economic problem, is not alone a bad political planning taken place for you give it government of the seventeen countries of the euro, now he plays to get ready for some deep changes of the society, changes that I don't still see them in its entirety, if I guess some, the hardest is that the world globalization, takes us toward the comparison of the civil societies, but based on the economic capacity of the low part, possibly because it would be impossible for the planet earth, to sustain the society with the consumption rhythm and well to be gotten by the western society. Let us think that we are speaking of a society like much of 1000 million against another of 6000 million is easier to go down to 1000 that to ascend at 6000 and less expensive. 

If I give this as the concept it bases, to explain the tremendous economic and social devaluation that we are happening, we will find explanations to many things and actions that don't have them, this theory he explains because the government authorities of the western, alone world fight to reduce and not to reactivate, it is clear that for the reasons of world justness, he has decided that it is necessary to lower the level if we want that the society survives many more centuries, if we understand this alone it is necessary to make two decisions: One to accept it and to make comfortable, it cost us a lot, but to the following civilizations not because it is what they will live. Or two to rebel and to begin a confrontation of civilizations, and when I say confrontation I say a war to life or death, take it like want in a symbolic way if we stick to the simple market economy and their you give total globalization, or to the annihilation of people and goods by means of an universal warlike confrontation. 

Among so much we decide it, in Spain we have a sharp problem that to solve without that which we won't come out to it floats no matter how much we sacrifice ourselves. The unemployment of more than 20% that has already gotten complicated when become of a long duration, (more than one year looking for employment). it has arrived in the third trimester from 2011 to 49,3% of the total 4,97 million unemployed, increasing a 1,9 million people from the beginning of the crisis in 2007, as the professor has explained to Josep Oliver in the presentation of the 39ª edition of the Labor Index ManpowerGroup. The professor has estimated that it will be at the end of this decade when it can recover the percentage of unemployment of long duration previous to the crisis because "only to recover the work positions destroyed seven years" they will be invested already.  

I insist in that is not this way, nobody pays me attention, maybe I am me the mistaken one but I believe that not, I return with their permission to explain to it. Spain has an increment of non natural unemployment, motivated by the alone excessive admitted immigration to pay an abnormal situation, like it was the exaggerated increase of the real estate construction, never, very never notice, Spain will be able to reestablish 2.5 million employments that are those that I care and later on I destroy the construction, the other 2.5 millions that come from the industrial and economic crisis, these if they will go making comfortable and they were located that is to say in a percentage between the 6 and 8% in an I number between 1.5 and 2 millions of stopped, these numbers if they are possibilities at the end of this decade but the other 2.5 millions it is impossible, among other things because there is no longer neither I space, neither people, neither economic capacity, so that it returns a real estate bum as the past.  

Another aspect that runs against solving the Spanish unemployment, and that one doesn't keep in mind, it is that all the specialists have a relationship (point PIB employment percentage) this relationship, today in day it is not known because there still are not reliable data in the time, the technological change on one hand, and the alteration of industrial processes that now are developed in the western world, in front of the historical parameters, it is not still known their effect, that that yes it can make sure it is that the increase of the index PIB, he can even go accompanied by a negative grown of manpower necessity. A clear example has it in the modern companies, where every day we can see that they increase its billing and its employees diminish.  

For that reason he said in the heading of this I articulate that while we go collapsing, we must go working in looking for how to leave the well, because in our country the debt is not the bottom problem, here the problem is the cost of maintaining the active population's 20% without working and the social insecurity that this to the long one bore hopelessly. Think that 5 million unemployed are 10% of the population's total taken a census of in Spain, but if we think that behind each unemployed there is an average of three affected inhabitants, we are before the harrowing figure of 15 million affected human beings of extreme poverty in many cases, and this represents the population's third that inhabits Spain, look at it like want but it is untenable. 


The case is that I am for sure with the politics of cuttings and with the stabilization of the work market that I calculate it will happen in the course of the 2012, if the economic problem of the area euro is solved. Spain won't have problems since with its debt our PIB it will maintain the relationship 60% debt it has more than enough PIB and this doesn't put in our danger economy, that that if it puts it in danger, it is that he will settle down as chronic an irreparable social conflict where 1 of each three people won't have social neither basic covering, because the new economic situation won't give to finance it. 

Europe bill has already been given, and very clever they will put sanctions to the countries that have an unemployment without control, the same as they will make with those that present a deficit without control, very skilled those of the UE, the only country that will be sanctioned year after year will be Spain, and I don't know it but it is clear that although he has Spain the blame of the demographic-labor without control of last decade, it is also certain that he doesn't have any possibility to fix it in a global europa. 

Because we see, the Germans or the French will bring us but you manufacture of automobiles workers from Spain they were taken, or even economically would be accepted in Europe that Spain makes proselytism in east offering fiscal advantages or of another type so that you implants for example in Spain, navy, you manufacture of automobiles, high ovens, companies of making textile, big agrarian exploitations of vegetables and fresh greenness, because it is this type of companies and industrial processes or of agrarian exploitation that they specify of a lot of manpower the only ones that can solve our problem. 

I would like to know what the French farmers would say the unions of the metal German etc. in this respect, forget it would not be possible and we for our alone bill can think for the future of high technology, in almost personal companies in that to be able to place two or three employees as a lot, toss numbers and they will see that what I say is the sad reality alone Spain he has a road, to empty, Spain is not country for 47 million inhabitants, as much we should return to the 39/40 and parodying the sentence that is proclaimed in the roulette “doesn't give for more" it is necessary to plan drastic solutions it is not worth that they leave one to one our best brains or young venturesome it is that it is not question from one to one it is he gives millions I explain to myself. 

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