domingo, 27 de noviembre de 2011

PUTIN AND EUROASIA WILL THEY BE THE EXIT OF THE STAGNATED EUROPEAN UNION?



MOSCOW (Reuters) - Vladimir Putin accepted on Sunday the candidacy of its party to return to the presidency of Russia, at the time that accused to forces foreigners of financing its political opponents, in a reminder of the rhetorical anti west that characterized its years in the power. Putin, president of 2000 at 2008 and at the moment first minister, would win with easiness the presidency in the elections of March. Don't pay attention to the declarations of anti Occidentalism they are already properly electorates,  

If Dimitri Medvedeev leaves as legacy when abandoning the Kremlin the last intent of modernizing Russia, the next Russian president Vladimir Putin has also left black engraving on white the leaf of route of the foreign policy for next six years. Putin will surely be chosen in March of the 2012, he has intended to form an Euro-Asian" "union with most of the former Soviet republics. This month of October, it has exposed this idea in an article published in the daily Izvestia. We are speaking of an enormous clever geopolitical change for next decade, which is to say for the 2020. It is not refunded the Soviet Union, Putin clarifies. But if the organization that would compete in influence with United States, the European Union and Asia, would be "one of the centers of attraction of the modern world, and it would serve as connection between Europe and the dynamic region Asia-Pacific", this declaration for me means that Russia to chosen to be but occident that guides.  

"The Euro-Asian union was a central idea of Nazarbáyev (president of Kazajistán). When taking it seriously, (the Russian elite) he/she takes a step in the good relationships with Nazarbáyev, and in turn lance a message to Ukraine: be part of our union, then everything will go well and we will be able to associate with Europe", Bunin explains. The base of the idea is the Union of free trade of Russia, Bielorrusia and Kazajistán. (They remember the union of the steel and the coal of the central Europa). In summer these three former Soviet republics lifted their barriers, and in next month’s they will introduce common trade rules. 

Behind this already planned embryo, the following ones added they are clear and easy since the own synergy of the economic dependence, energetic, and partner politics, practically force to the adhesion of Ukraine that was reticent to adhere to the Union of free trade, if that supposed to break the bridges toward the UE. But that position has changed in the last month. October 19 Russia, Bielorrusia, the own Ukraine, Moldavia, Armenia, Kazajistán, Kirguistán and Tayikistán signed an agreement in San Petersburgo to establish an area of free trade. Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistán could make it in next months, and Ukraine would possibly also decant toward the thesis of Moscow, since the economic situation and of decontrol of the current European Union, he doesn't offer any guarantee of security neither economic neither of decision for its amplification to the east. 

This incipient but clearly advantageous union for the development of the European and Asian Russia, but evidently but for the white or European Russia that is in definitive where the economic and political power of the new union is, in definitive for the geopolitical lattice of the old USSR, it is to my way of seeing much easier that our European Union, the synergies are formed and missing the problem of the tyranny political and economic communist of the region, this Euro-Asian Union is a fact in few years. An idea pointed in several forums by the Russian leaders, is to create in the future a commercial alliance with the European Union. The Euro-Asian Union yes it would be then complete: as them they affirm, "Of Lisbon to Vladivostok." 

If the current European Union doesn't know how to take advantage of this circumstance, it is that we don't deserve neither to exist, neither I eat countries, neither I eat union, you have the but minimum idea of what represents to start, almost a new continent, has the Europe current idea of what would represent to unite to a Continental Europe it is to create a new world concept of blocks where the so much use of synergies in the economic slope, as of productivity, of technology and development, of supply of matters cousins, it supposes that the whole world social and geopolitical economic spectrum is readjusted. Spectacular agriculture, manpower to develop, energy independence, leadership in sciences and technical of future, in short, maybe I am too liberal and optimistic, but for me it is "the best news and project that it could arise of the cold", (parodying an I title of novel and famous movie). Provided the current European Union, you a once and for all for all, and it is presented complete and structured, before the new Euroasía that is about to be born.  

PUTIN y EUROASIA. ¿SERAN LA SALIDA DE LA ESTANCADA UNION EUROPEA?



MOSCÚ (Reuters) - Vladimir Putin aceptó el domingo la candidatura de su partido para volver a la presidencia de Rusia, al tiempo que acusó a fuerzas extranjeras de financiar a sus opositores políticos, en un recordatorio de la retórica anti Occidente que caracterizó sus años en el poder. Putin, presidente de 2000 a 2008 y actualmente primer ministro, ganaría con facilidad la presidencia en las elecciones de marzo. No hagan caso de las declaraciones de anti occidentalismo son ya propiamente preelectorales,

Si Dimitri Medvedeev deja como legado al abandonar el Kremlin el último intento de modernizar Rusia, el próximo presidente ruso Vladimir Putin también ha dejado grabado negro sobre blanco la hoja de ruta de la política exterior para los próximos seis años. Putin seguramente será elegido en marzo del 2012, ha propuesto formar una "unión euroasiática" con la mayoría de las ex repúblicas soviéticas. Este mes de octubre, ha expuesto esta idea en un artículo publicado en el diario Izvestia. Estamos hablando de un enorme cambio geopolítico listo para la próxima década, es decir para el 2020. No se trata de refundar la Unión Soviética, aclara Putin. Pero si la organización, que competiría en influencia con Estados Unidos, la Unión Europea y Asia, sería "uno de los centros de atracción del mundo moderno, y serviría de enlace entre Europa y la dinámica región Asia-Pacífico", esta declaración para mí significa que Rusia a escogido ser mas occidente que oriente.

"La unión euroasiática era una idea central de Nazarbáyev (presidente de Kazajistán). Al tomarla en serio, (la élite rusa) da un paso en las buenas relaciones con Nazarbáyev, y a su vez lanza un mensaje a Ucrania: formad parte de nuestra unión, luego todo irá bien y nos podremos asociar con Europa", explica Bunin. La base de la idea es la Unión Aduanera de Rusia, Bielorrusia y Kazajistán. (Se acuerdan de la unión del acero y el carbón de la europa central). En verano estas tres ex repúblicas soviéticas levantaron sus barreras aduaneras, y en los próximos meses introducirán reglas de comercio comunes.

Detrás de este ya planificado embrión, los siguientes añadidos son claros y fáciles ya que la propia sinergia de la dependencia económica, energética, y socio política, prácticamente obliga a la adhesión de Ucrania, que era reticente a adherirse a la Unión Aduanera, si eso suponía romper los puentes hacia la UE. Pero esa posición ha cambiado en el último mes. El 19 de octubre Rusia, Bielorrusia, la propia Ucrania, Moldavia, Armenia, Kazajistán, Kirguistán y Tayikistán firmaron un acuerdo en San Petersburgo para establecer una zona de libre comercio. Uzbekistán, Azerbaiyán y Turkmenistán podrían hacerlo en próximos meses, y posiblemente también Ucrania se decantaría hacia la tesis de Moscú, dado que la situación económica y de descontrol de la Unión Europea actual, no ofrece ninguna garantía de seguridad ni económica ni de decisión para su ampliación al este.

Esta unión incipiente pero claramente ventajosa para el desarrollo de la Rusia europea y asiática, pero evidentemente mas para la Rusia blanca o europea, que es en definitiva donde está el poder económico y político de la nueva unión, en definitiva para el entramado geopolítico de la antigua URSS, es a mi modo de ver mucho más fácil que nuestra Unión Europea, las sinergias están formadas y desaparecido el problema de la tiranía política y económica comunista de la región, esta Unión Euroasiática es un hecho en pocos años. Una idea apuntada en varios foros por los líderes rusos, es crear en el futuro una alianza comercial con la Unión Europea. La Unión Euroasiática sí estaría entonces completa: como afirman ellos, "de Lisboa a Vladivostok".

Si la actual Unión Europea no sabe aprovechar esta circunstancia, es que no nos merecemos ni existir, ni como países, ni como unión, ustedes tienen la mas mínima idea de lo que representa poner en marcha, casi un nuevo continente, tiene la Europa actual idea de lo que representaría unirse a una Europa Continental es crear un nuevo concepto de bloques mundial, en donde el aprovechamiento de sinergias tanto en la vertiente económica, como de productividad, de tecnología y desarrollo, de abastecimiento de materias primas, supone que se reajusta todo el espectro económico social y geopolítico mundial. Agricultura espectacular, mano de obra para desarrollar, independencia energética, liderazgo en ciencias y técnicas de futuro, en fin, quizás soy demasiado liberal y optimista, pero para mí es “la mejor noticia y proyecto que podía surgir del frio”, (parodiando un titulo de novela y película famosa). Siempre y cuando la Unión Europea actual, se una de una vez por todas, y se presente completa y estructurada, ante la nueva Euroasía que está a punto de nacer.

DO CLIP, RESCUES, FUNDS, DEFICITS, AND THE REACTIVATION FOR WHEN?




We don't advance all the characters and the political europa at all, they are obsessed in the economic and financial theories, they go giving turns to the roulette to have if by chance they guess right then I number, the color, and the couple or odd, too many things to guess right, among so much the economy has entered in recession, although they don't want to admit it and they play with the statistics of comparing 12 months or four trimesters like want, but the reality is that in the last trimester the recession has entered in many of the European economies. The worst thing is not alone that but rather the politicians and the governments are liberated of the blame, accusing to the economic and financial problems to those that in turn try of fixing for already more than one year and every time they go to worse.  

Today I read that somebody of the BCE wonders if it would not be opportune a new slope of interests. More wood is needed so that he doesn't stop the European locomotive. It is the watchword that begins to extend, don't only enter those and financial analysts of the Old Continent, but also among the own members of the European Central Bank (BCE). The last indicators of the area euro show how the area can enter again in recession at the beginning of 2012.  

In fact, the International Institute of Finances that picks up the impressions of the great European banking already gives for fact a setback of 1%. Before this tessitura they are winning force the voices that they advise a discount of types of interest that revives the activity. 1 fall% in the GDP of any nation, it is an increase among other things of the unemployment, and a descent of the collection of taxes, mainly the main one the IVA, with what the budgetary imbalance is revived and the necessity of national financing increases with the help of sovereign debt, that is to say already we start the wheel of the fortune again.   

The desire that a discount of types takes place it is shared by several national Governments, among them Spanish. The necessity to provide liquidity to the financial system and of generating an increment of the activity, it is peremptory, otherwise they don't serve he gives anything the measures forced to apply for the European Union, from the financial economic slope. If there is not productivity there is no way to square the numbers looks at it for where they want. The origin of the crisis economic Westerner is supported in the abandonment of the industrial production in favor of the commercial and financial globalization of the real economy in current world. 

The matter is simple of explaining, I have referred to this fact countless times, when the globalization system extended, the industry and the production of tangible values and materials you externalize from the first world toward the emergent world, looking for the benefit of its double effect. One The economic cheap manpower on one hand, and the intent of breaking the poor population's migratory movements toward the first world.  

But he fell in a serious error, the greed, the world rich Westerner wanted the saving of costs that the cheap manpower caused to take advantage and to transform them into more economic benefits, instead of social, so I don't lower prices if not that it continued marketing at the same level of prices that they took place in occident, but unintentionally to see that to the western consumers, little by little no longer he entered them the same flow of money to acquire them, and the companies producers went closing or give being located one after other, as consequence the fiscal revenues lowered in dive, solution credit and economic bubbles, until he has not been possible to support more. 

If the politics and the European economy doesn't admit this reasoning, and it doesn't change it, he can already give all the norms of cuttings of budgets, of rescue funds, of European funds, or what they want, alone they will be good to finance debts and to impoverish but its economies for anything but, what it is necessary to make is already to finance the productive reactivation of our economies, so that they produce real revenues coming from the commercialization of the factory of consumption goods again, and of course also of services and of technology. It should be the national civil society it starts it the real economy, because with the numeric economy, that is to say based on passing figures from the asset to the passive one he doesn't leave anywhere. 

I repeat my theory, it is necessary to lower the interests of the money, to see of reactivating the credits, and mainly it is necessary to devaluate the euro at least 15% according to the value of closing of Friday, to let that the economy enters in inflation until a maximum of 6% during a period of time, until the turn to the growth of the GDP among a 2 to 3%. in summary production recovery, reserved of imports of basic products to the possible maximum, and you help to the technological development that provides export, the increment of internal consumption he will take place for inertia of the previous effects. It is evident that as soon as our potential production and internal consumption, the economies supplying today they will put us obstacles to the commercial exchange except if our offer, is very above its technological qualities as much in quality as in the utility and the design of our offer. 

In the German central bank he also stays silence. However, the German managers have already shown their interest in reviving the economy of their commercial partners with slopes of types. Pity that at the moment alone they are the managers and not the politicians those that come the things with the eyes of the real world, because it is necessary that this theory extends to the politics, otherwise these they will continue giving turns in the carrousel of economic crisis without finding the exit, because it is not in the address in that they move. 

RECORTES, RESCATES, BONOS, DEFICITS, ¿Y LA REACTIVACION PARA CUANDO?



No adelantamos en absoluto todos los personajes y la europa política, están obsesionados en las teorías económicas y financieras, van dándole vueltas a la ruleta haber si por casualidad aciertan el numero, el color, y el par o impar, demasiadas cosas a acertar, entre tanto la economía ha entrado en recesión, aunque no quieran admitirlo y juegan con las estadísticas de comparar 12 meses o cuatro trimestres como quieran, pero la realidad es que en el último trimestre la recesión ha entrado en muchas de las economías europeas. Lo peor no es solo eso sino que los políticos y los gobiernos se liberan de la culpa, acusando a los problemas económicos y financieros a los que a su vez tratan de arreglar desde hace ya más de un año y cada vez van a peor.

Hoy leo que alguien del BCE se pregunta si no sería oportuna una nueva bajada de intereses. Se necesita más madera para que no se pare la locomotora europea. Es la consigna que comienza a extenderse, no sólo entre los y analistas financieros del Viejo Continente, sino también entre los propios miembros del Banco Central Europeo (BCE). Los últimos indicadores de la zona euro, muestran cómo el área puede entrar en recesión de nuevo a comienzos de 2012.



De hecho, el Instituto Internacional de Finanzas, que recoge las impresiones de la gran banca europea, ya da por hecho un retroceso del 1%. Ante esta tesitura están ganando fuerza las voces que aconsejan una rebaja de tipos de interés, que reanime la actividad. Un 1% de caída en los PIB de cualquier nación, es un aumento entre otras cosas del desempleo, y un descenso de la recaudación de impuestos, sobre todo el principal el IVA, con lo que se reaviva el desequilibrio presupuestario y aumenta la necesidad de financiación nacional a base de deuda soberana, es decir ya volvemos a poner en marcha la rueda de la fortuna.



El deseo de que se produzca una rebaja de tipos es compartido por varios Gobiernos nacionales, entre ellos el español. La necesidad de proporcionar liquidez al sistema financiero y de generar un incremento de la actividad, es perentoria, de lo contrario no sirven da nada las medidas obligadas a aplicar por la Unión Europea, desde la vertiente económico financiera. Si no hay productividad no hay manera de cuadrar los números mírenlo por donde quieran. El origen de la crisis económica occidental está apoyado en el abandono de la producción industrial en favor de la globalización comercial y financiera de la economía real en mundo actual.

El asunto es sencillo de explicar, me he referido a este hecho innumerables veces, cuando el sistema de globalización se extendió, la industria y la producción de valores tangibles y materiales se externalizo desde el primer mundo hacia el mundo emergente, buscando el beneficio de su doble efecto. El económico, mano de obra barata por un lado, y el intento de frenar los movimientos migratorios de la población pobre hacia el primer mundo.

Pero se cayó en un grave error, la codicia, el mundo rico occidental quiso aprovechar el ahorro de costes que la mano de obra barata provocaba y convertirlos en más beneficios económicos, en lugar de sociales, así que no bajo precios si no que siguió comercializando al mismo nivel de precios que se producían en occidente, pero sin querer ver, que a los consumidores occidentales, poco a poco ya no les entraba el mismo flujo de dinero para adquirirlos, y las empresas productoras iban cerrando o des localizándose una tras otra, como consecuencia los ingresos fiscales bajaron en picado, solución crédito y burbujas económicas, hasta que no se ha podido soportar más.

Si la política y la economía europea no admite este razonamiento, y no lo cambia, ya puede dar todas las normas de recortes de presupuestos, de fondos de rescate, de bonos europeos, o lo que quieran, solo servirán para financiar deudas y para empobrecer mas sus economías para nada mas, lo que hay que hacer ya es financiar la reactivación productiva de nuestras economías, para que produzcan de nuevo ingresos reales procedentes de la comercialización de la manufactura de bienes de consumo, y por supuesto también de servicios y de tecnología. Debe ser la sociedad civil nacional la ponga en marcha la economía real, porque con la economía numérica, es decir basada en pasar cifras del activo al pasivo no se va a ninguna parte.

Repito mi teoría, hay que bajar los intereses del dinero, para ver de reactivar los créditos, y sobre todo hay que devaluar el euro por lo menos un 15% según el valor de cierre del viernes, dejar que la economía entre en  inflación hasta un máximo del 6% durante un periodo de tiempo, hasta la vuelta al crecimiento del PIB entre un 2 a 3 %. En resumen recuperación de producción, retraída de importaciones de productos básicos al máximo posible, y ayudas al desarrollo tecnológico que proporcione exportación, el incremento de consumo interno se producirá por inercia de los efectos anteriores. Es evidente que en cuanto potenciemos nuestra producción y consumo interno, las economías hoy abastecedoras nos pondrán trabas al intercambio comercial excepto si nuestra oferta, está muy por encima de sus cualidades tecnológicas tanto en calidad como en la utilidad y el diseño de nuestra oferta.

En el banco central alemán se guarda silencio también. Sin embargo, los empresarios germanos ya han mostrado su interés en reanimar la economía de sus socios comerciales con bajadas de tipos. Lástima que de momento solo sean los empresarios y no los políticos los que ven las cosas con los ojos del mundo real, porque es necesario que esta teoría se extienda a la política, de lo contrario estos seguirán dando vueltas en el carrusel de crisis económica sin encontrar la salida, porque no está en la dirección en que se mueven.

sábado, 26 de noviembre de 2011

THE DEMOCRACY NOT IS IN THE FOUNDATION OF THE UE. THIS IT IS THE PROBLEM.

 

The attitudes that are reflected in the current moments of extreme difficulty in the government of the European Union, get me the attention, it seems that there is not spirit of union for any side but well the opposite, everything is meetings to two bands, at three, one says a thing, another says other, others disappear of the political scenario, in few and clear words there is not European Union, so I have stopped to check the principles of the statutes of foundation of the Union, and I have found the answer to the because we don't work, neither I believe me that we will work, if we don't alter the philosophy foundational manifested in the diverse treaties of the Union. 

In any moment, in any writing, in any treaty, it figures the word Democracy single figure the word agreement and neither figure the word Law or laws if not alone the I finish Treaty or agreement, it is this way clear that the Union is not governed by laws emanated democratically in any aspect, for that reason they don't doubt it, the disaster that we are living is happening amazed and afraid the Europeans, the truth the sad reality is that there are not Laws in Europe, there is not possible government in Europe, because it is not governed by any uniform and less even democratic political system, but rather he goes (it is not Governed) by means of agreements more or less accepted by some and always while it interests them to follow them. 

It is this way like one can understand that Germany directs the Union now, without nobody has given him the authority to make it, you the taking and point, also understand each other that the one that needs the umbrella of Germany follows it and it tolerates it, he understands each other without doubting it that the one that doesn't obey the guidelines of the at this time stronger, he is forced until ending up overthrowing a government antidemocratically and nobody says anything in this respect, he understands each other that there is not replica possibility neither of changing a drift that drives us hopelessly to the failure, because Germany is mistaken completely, its government system and of economy single voucher for them, it is unviable to impose it in the rest of Europe including the selfsame France. 

The case is that to insist in this is lost task because I repeat the European Union he doesn't have Laws of Government single treaties of convenience and the convenience at this time Germany imposes it. Today I pick up news that puts me the tip hair another time and he makes me to meditate and to write this article. BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The States member of the area euro, aware of the depressed trust of the market in the debt of the area euro, they are studying to eliminate the implication of the private sector in the permanent bottom of rescue that he will go into effect in 2013. The conversations have place like part of some negotiations wider envelope the change of the Treaty of the UE (he continues without appearing the  finish Law) to introduce stricter fiscal norms, in what Germany insists as previous condition for a bigger integration among the nations of the area euro.  

The concern is that to force to the private sector to assume losses, if a country needs to restructure its debt, it is mining the trust of the market in the sovereign funds of the area euro. If the clauses on the implication of the private sector are eliminated, according to many countries, the feeling of the market can improve. But the clauses related with the implication of the private sector inside the statutes of the European Mechanism of Stability - the bottom of permanent rescue whose operation will begin for half-filled of 2013 - they could be omitted, for the opposition of some of countries. 

"France, Italy, Spain and all (the economies) outlying" they are in favor of eliminating the clauses; he said a responsible for the UE to Reuters. "Against they are it Germany, Finland and Holland", he added. Another responsible one said that although the German insistence was decaying of maintaining the implication deprived in the bottom, the denominated clauses of collective action, they would only be eliminated like part of some negotiations wider envelope the Treaty of the UE. Berlin wants that the 27 countries of the UE, or at least the 17 of the area euro, support the changes to the Treaty before considering other matters in those that the States member wants him to change its posture. 

Germany is also pressed to soften its opposition to that the European Central Bank (BCE) it plays a more direct paper in the fight against the debt crisis, and to give its support to the idea of the combined emission of funds of the area euro. The minister of Finances of the area euro will speak of the permanent bottom in a meeting in Brussels the 29 and 30 of November, included the implication of the abandonment of those clauses in their statutes.  

And I say, it would not be more effective than the European Union constitutes a true parliament with their corresponding ministries or like want to call them where were represented all the countries that compose the Union, equally by means of their respective first minister or presidents, and this way to debate and to approve laws (and non treaties) of having forced execution on the part of all, once discussed and approved democratically in parliamentary session, instead of to negotiate and to arrive to Treaties of convenience that leaving the meeting is left parked if to you he is not interested or you don't like them. 

It is for this cause and not other that the resolutions don't leave well, none gives result unless it favors the speculators, they know that what decides the European Union doesn't have validity, because it stops well or for bad, the own countries took charge of not completing them so alone they have left to wait and to continue attacking, they are not in a hurry, they always won, another thing would be if knows that an European law is of having forced execution, although notices well, is mistaken, they would also have to adapt and her, and I don't tell them when the normal thing is that was laws and perfectly reasoned actions and developed among all, to apply in a democratic way the battle he would finish once and for all for all. 

LA DEMOCRACIA NO ESTA EN LAS REGLAS FUNDACIONALES DE LA UE. ESTE ES EL PROBLEMA.




Las actitudes que se reflejan en los momentos actuales de extrema dificultad en la gobernabilidad de la Unión Europea, me llaman la atención sobremanera, parece que no haya espíritu de unión por ningún lado sino mas bien lo contrario , todo son reuniones a dos bandas, a tres, uno dice una cosa, otro dice otra, otros desaparecen del escenario político, en pocas y claras palabras no hay Unión Europea, así que me he parado a comprobar los principios de los estatutos de fundación de la Unión, y he encontrado la respuesta al porque no funcionamos, ni creo yo que funcionaremos, si no alteramos la filosofía fundacional  manifestada en los diversos tratados de la Unión.

En ningún momento, en ningún escrito, en ningún tratado, figura la palabra Democracia solo figura la palabra acuerdo  y tampoco figura la palabra  Ley o leyes si no solo el termino Tratado o acuerdo, así queda claro que la Unión no se rige por leyes emanadas democráticamente en ningún aspecto, por eso no lo duden, está pasando el desastre que estamos viviendo atónitos y asustados los europeos, la verdad la triste realidad es que no hay Leyes en Europa, no hay gobernabilidad posible en Europa, porque no se rige por ningún sistema político uniforme y menos aun democrático, sino que se dirige (no se Gobierna) por medio de acuerdos más o menos aceptados por unos cuantos y siempre mientras les interese seguirlos.

Así es como se puede comprender que Alemania dirija ahora la Unión, sin que nadie le haya dado la autoridad para hacerlo, se la toma y punto, se entiende también que el que necesite el paraguas de Alemania la siga y lo tolere, se entiende sin dudarlo que el que no obedezca las directrices del en este momento más fuerte, se le obligue hasta llegar a derrocar un gobierno antidemocráticamente y nadie diga nada al respecto, se entiende que no hay posibilidad de réplica ni de cambiar una deriva que nos conduce al fracaso irremediablemente,  porque Alemania está equivocada completamente, su sistema de gobierno y de economía solo vale para ellos, es inviable imponerlo en el resto de Europa incluyendo a la mismísima Francia.

El caso es que insistir en esto es tarea perdida porque repito la Unión Europea no tiene Leyes de Gobierno solo tratados de conveniencia  y la conveniencia en este momento la impone Alemania. Hoy recojo una noticia que me pone los pelos de punta otra vez y me hace reflexionar y escribir este artículo. BRUSELAS (Reuters) - Los Estados miembro de la zona euro, conscientes de la alicaída confianza del mercado en la deuda de la zona euro, están estudiando eliminar la implicación del sector privado en el fondo permanente de rescate que entrará en vigor en 2013. Las conversaciones tienen lugar como parte de unas negociaciones más amplias sobre el cambio del Tratado de la UE (sigue sin aparecer el termino Ley) para introducir normas fiscales más estrictas, en lo que Alemania insiste como condición previa para una mayor integración entre las naciones de la zona euro.

La preocupación es que forzar al sector privado a asumir pérdidas, si un país necesita reestructurar su deuda, está minando la confianza del mercado en los bonos soberanos de la zona euro. Si las cláusulas sobre la implicación del sector privado se eliminan, según muchos países, el sentimiento del mercado puede mejorar. Pero las cláusulas relacionadas con la implicación del sector privado dentro de los estatutos del Mecanismo de Estabilidad Europeo - el fondo de rescate permanente cuyo funcionamiento comenzará para mediados de 2013 - podrían quedar omitidas, por la oposición de algunos de países.

"Francia, Italia, España y todas (las economías) periféricas" están a favor de eliminar las cláusulas, dijo un responsable de la UE a Reuters. "Contra ello están Alemania, Finlandia y Holanda", añadió. Otro responsable dijo que aunque estaba decayendo la insistencia alemana de mantener la implicación privada en el fondo, las denominadas cláusulas de acción colectiva, sólo se eliminarían como parte de unas negociaciones más amplias sobre el Tratado de la UE. Berlín quiere que los 27 países de la UE, o al menos los 17 de la zona euro, apoyen los cambios al Tratado antes de considerar otros asuntos en los que los Estados miembro quieren que cambie su postura.

Alemania también se ve presionada para suavizar su oposición a que el Banco Central Europeo (BCE) juegue un papel más directo en la lucha contra la crisis de deuda, y para dar su apoyo a la idea de la emisión conjunta de bonos de la zona euro. Los ministros de Finanzas de la zona euro hablarán del fondo permanente en una reunión en Bruselas el 29 y 30 de noviembre, incluida la implicación del abandono de esas cláusulas en sus estatutos.

Y digo yo, no sería más eficaz que la Unión Europea constituyese un verdadero parlamento con sus correspondientes ministerios o como quieran llamarlos, en donde estuvieran representados equitativamente todos los países que compongan la Unión, por medio de sus respectivos primeros ministros o presidentes, y así debatir y aprobar leyes (y no tratados) de obligado cumplimiento  por parte de todos, una vez discutidas y aprobadas democráticamente en sesión parlamentaria, en lugar de negociar y llegar a Tratados de conveniencia, que la salir de la reunión se dejan aparcados si a ti no te interesa o no te gustan.

Es por esta causa y no otra, que las resoluciones no salen bien, ninguna da resultado a no ser que favorezca a los especuladores, ellos saben que lo que decida la Unión Europea no tiene validez, porque para bien o para mal, los propios países se encargaran de no cumplirlas así que solo les queda esperar y seguir atacando, no tienen prisa, siempre ganaran, otra cosa sería si supiesen que una ley europea es de obligado cumplimiento, aunque fíjense bien, estuviese equivocada, ellos tendrían también que adaptarse e ella, y no les digo cuando lo normal es que fuesen leyes y acciones perfectamente razonadas y desarrolladas entre todos, para aplicar de  forma democrática se acabaría la batalla de una vez por todas.

EUROPE IS NOT GERMANY ALTHOUGH GERMANY IF IT IS EUROPE



It seems already hopeless, it is necessary to take a solution to solve the problem of Europe, they are Only two options: to go forward toward a more narrow union or back to as not well smaller a partial breakup. This is what is in game and this said it me in an article June 1 happened already come it six months they have happened and the things have not varied an apex for that reason I reissue it because it demonstrates well to the white that we don't work neither forward neither back.     

The area euro, just as this it has failed. It was based on a group of principles that you/they have demonstrated to be unviable to the first collision with a financial and fiscal crisis. The reason of this is very simple, the European union derives of the incipient unions of markets and trade, later to the second world war, these unions were made by the interest on the part of Germany that like a locomotive, dragged the economy post warlike with great force, and he needed coal, steel, and manpower, got it, the German miracle arose strongly, I crawl to the rest of their neighbors and with it I form a rich Europe and it prospers.   

Germany not believed without with reason that Europe was them, and he began to work so that the European nations felt it same and it got it, the first founders of the euro zone (France, Luxemburg, Italy, Belgium, Low Countries and the own Germany) they belonged to oneself derived culture of the second world war that although one lived in these countries in an unequal way, all were in some moment it leaves of the Germany Nazi, it stops later on to become winners from the own Germany.   

The biggest impulse arrives in 1957 with the signature of the Treaties of Rome. The six decide to advance in the cooperation in the economic, political and social domains. The outlined goal was to achieve a common market that allows the free circulation of people, goods, and of capitals. The European Community was in progress. But this union had forged it Germany without place to doubts. Without their own economic interests, and the necessity of leaving the defeat, stronger of that than it was when the circumstances imposed by the rest of European countries led her to enter in war with the rest of Europe. Nobody any other country European he had the enough reasons to propose the European Union. 

 I also believe that this incipient European union, also took place to be able to come off of the apparent dependence of the USA and of its "European" all the Great Britain, and of the fear to the expansion of the then USSR, so I have the first idea of the UE very undoubtedly, neither it was altruistic, neither it was shared, it was a so much imposed by Germany that needed it urgently, and that if accepted by its allies for that these they saw that for separate, they didn't count for anything in the world concert, as such an Europe it was in hands of the USA and the USSR.    

In 1965 a treaty is signed that gives step to the creation of the European Commission (CE) and the Council of the European Commission, organ that should not made a mistake with the European Council that is the institutionalization of the summits of Bosses of State and of Government of countries members that began to be developed at the end of the decade of the 60. I don't want to continue with a supplementary, alone history lesson he/she wanted to make stress in the sense of the creation of the current UNITED STATES.   

The later events, amplifications, new treaties, etc. has given the creation of an unique currency as a result, but don't unite unique and balanced economy and this has not been this way, because from the beginning this, Germany was not looked for he simply wanted to grow and to become independent of the oppression of the winners, and fundamentally of the USSR. He was so afraid to a communist reprisal that was even about to bleed economically, when I annex their Democratic Germany, 1989, and in that moment the effective thing was seen that it was again for their reconstruction, the European Union. 

But Germany has not assumed never this, Germany it continues thinking that Europe is his and he doesn't give its arm to twist, the bad thing or the good thing you not to define it, it is that or lively or pushed by the successes of the first union, or for pressures of the other partners to those that it is necessary also to allow them to decide something, has left enlarging the union, and at the same time he has left dividing, curious paradox, but this it is the reality, a reality that Germany doesn't want to assume, and he doesn't realize that it leaves of the blame of what happens now in Europe, it is for its blame, because it was her the one that form this way it, and when it was him well he/she applauded it, you pleasure to itself, and he/she expanded it selfishly and without control, and this it is the current situation.   

Now it is necessary to take conscience of it and to decide openly that it is Europe, and if the answer is "AN ASSOCIATION OF COMMERCIAL INTERESTS” it is necessary to disassemble it and go to look for more small, homogeneous and balanced unions. And if the answer is then "AN UNION OF EUROPEAN NATIONS” it is necessary to reinforce it with an only constitution, and at the same time, the renouncement of all, to our identity national singular, to become EUROPEAN, that hard, and the one that doesn't want to lose its identity, has to stay it was, and if they are many those that think this way, because good-bye to the European Union.    

Let us don't cover but the truth is not the debt of the PIGS or the pressure of the markets on the Euro, we are us because we don't behave evenly as they make it the USA, China, Brazil etc.… for that reason they attack us the markets, and not because some should more than other, the markets are not silly and I make you this What a question it wins the market if the European debt collapses, it doesn't win he/she swims on the contrary it loses the debt, because nobody won't return it.