It is not
significant the one that Germany and unite two or three more nations, be with
the barely positive GDP, in front of this, 8 countries of the euro are in
recession and the second country the second European economy it is in an
unstable balance. The end of this situation doesn't seem another that the II
great world depression, the first one began or you uncover in the USA, this he
has gotten ready and it will explode here in Europa this is already a
reality.
The question
now is to begin to think how you will leave this reality, because to avoid it
is no longer possible. The first thing that it would be necessary to avoid, is
that the situation concludes as the first one, in a world conflagration,
although I should say that in these moments I see it difficult to avoid, the
great depression of the 29 causes a brutal economic setback I ruin to the
society and whole nations, surprisingly in that occasion the most affected one
was Germany, so much was so alone Hitler's Social Nationalism, achievement to
take from of the misery to the country and its society.
Toward 1933,
the German economy had not still overcome the economic politics’ negative
impact implemented by a government that bet for the deflation to leave the
crisis. The government's decision of staying in the economic orthodoxy of
contention generated more unemployment, the fall of the gross internal product,
and the collapse of the bank system, the bad social situation, and more the
fear of the advance of the communism is the key to understand Hitler's arrival
and the party National Socialist to the power. Today there is not feared to the
communists they no longer exist, but Germany is in the same tessitura in what
concerns to the rest of its environment. Today their fear is not another that
being threatened by the social lust of its neighbors and partners of the
south.
The question
it is that Germany this become obstinate again and before the same situation,
in maintaining their economic orthodoxy for the simple, but important fact,
that he has gone him very up to now, but this orthodoxy cannot maintain it
because being a more global economy, like it is that of the euro, it impedes
that the realities of the other economies, evolutions toward the exit of the
recession, it is incredible that Germany doesn't see that its strength is not
enough to maintain the CE, and it is not this the problem, but rather he also
offers an image to its partners like that he will be able to stay as an oasis
of rich country, amid an enormous desert populated by poor countries, this is
so absurd that I reach the conclusion that Germany had already thrown the towel
and he doesn't want to fix the CE but just the opposite that he dies.
The other
European countries, they should react and to go against the German politicians
should understand that to follow this game takes them without remission to the
economic depression and a social setback of more than 50 years. Germany has a market and an unbalanced industrial
potentiality, that is to say its internal market cannot sustain its industry,
this it depends on the world and of course of the europa rest, this that they
saw the initiators of the idea of the common market clearly, and that in the
spring of 1951 Konrad Adenauer rushes with the signature of the treaty of the
coal and of the steel, it seems that the current politicians don't come it, it
is this the problem of the europa of the euro, sincerely I believe that
yes.
It is
evident also that the imbalance that Germany has been imposed between its
industrial and productive potentiality and its internal economy, it has
unbalanced the economies of the CE indirectly, it is evident that now no
European country can be redoes without the help, or redistribution of the money
or of the industry that Germany stores, it is astonishing to see that besides
the whole industry they are also added the whole economic resources, that is to
say all the money that has generated the poor europa that is to say the rest is
invested in German funds or in deposits in its banks because if not the euro
could maintain on evaluation of 26% on the dollar.
The reality
today is clear, there is not any country of the euro area able to be left
outside of the depression in that we have entered already, it is rather on the
contrary they will go falling in her one after other, those that resist trying
to put personalized economic measures, will see that they didn't work, because
the economic market had bet alone for the security of the German euro and
Germany knows it and he believes that of it depends it its economy and here it
is where he makes a mistake.
To know if
this situation has been planned by the own Germany, or on the contrary it has
been happened by the unit lack and vision of the national politicians developed
by the nations that we conform the euro area, I consider it is a matter of
vital importance, since as it is the result of the analysis of this situation,
the measures to take can be some or others.
Anyway the
surest thing, is that it is for a German imperialistic planning or for a
negligence of the other ones, the reality is that the solutions are not others
that to the balance of the euro area, and for there is it to unify debts and
economies, and to devaluate the euro at least 20%. This or the breakup of the
euro area and to return to the old economies of competitiveness among nations,
thing that I fear myself is the more ones for sure it happens, because I doubt
that Germany wants to lose its supremacy in favor of their neighbors.
If this is
this way such and as I see it, this depression won't have more remedy than to
finish again with the one conflagration at European level that returns the
balance with the help of the own destruction of the economies, to redo them
again in a more balanced mark, if this destruction is made I eat up to now for
bureaucratic means we will be able to us to give for satisfied, the bad thing
is that there are many numbers so that this destruction is physical and with
the help of a new world conflagration.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario