miércoles, 9 de diciembre de 2015

SOMETHING MOVES IN SYRIAN, BUT MAYBE THEY ARE TOO MANY



To the view it leaves of the groups rebellious combatants, they began this Wednesday to evacuate the neighborhood of Al Waer, the last one that is in their hands in the Syrian central city of Homs, these movements seem to be been of an agreement with the Syrian authorities it is supposed of the government from Bashar al Assad. The governor of Homs, Talal al Barazi, said to “Efe” for telephone that the first group of armed men abandoned the district more than one hour ago. The responsible politician underlined that the evacuation is lapsing "with normality" and it aimed that he will extend along today's day. The Syrian Observatory of Human rights highlighted that three groups have already come out of Al Waer in address to the north, to the counties of Hama and Idleb. 

Among those evacuated, there are combatants of the one in front of Al Nusra - Syrian branch of To AL Qaeda - and of sympathetic factions of the organization terrorist Islamic State (EI). there are Also about 400 minor and women that were caught in Al Waer, located in the northwest of Homs, according to the ONG. The activist Mohamed Oglu, neighbor of Al Waer, he specified “Efe” for telephone that the evacuation began to the 07.00 local time (05.00 hour GMT) and that up to now they have abandoned the neighborhood 300 combatants prepared with slight weapons. Also, they have left the area 160 families, among those that there are women, minor and old men, it indicated source is. 

Inside the neighborhood, a positive atmosphere, people is breathed it is in the street and it feels happy", Oglu pointed who highlighted that near half of Al Waer it is destroyed by the violence. The activist didn't discard that the evacuation is prolonged several days because inside that area there are between 3.000 and 5.000 combatants. The armed factions and the authorities achieved a pact last week to pacify that district that takes besieged three years. 

The agreement contemplates the liberation of prisoners, the opening of the accesses to the neighborhood, the reactivation of the government institutions in its interior and the entrance of humanitarian help. This pact is similar to the one reached in May of 2014 between the authorities and the rebels, for which the rebels retired of the old helmet of Homs, in exchange for the liberation of 70 prisoners captured by the opponents in the counties of Latakia (west) and Alepo (north). 

Homs that received the nickname of the "capital of the revolution" after the beginning of the protests against the régime from Bashar al Asad in March of 2011, it was in the first three years of the war one of the Syrian populations more punished by the confrontations and the bombings, while this happens in Syria, the opposition Syrian, or at least good part of her, meets in a hotel from Riyadh to expenses paid by the Government from Saudi Arabia to look for a common front. It is a forced step - protocol, almost - after the conference of last month in Vienna where he noticed to negotiate with the régime of Bashar the you Roast to constitute a transition government in Syria and to celebrate elections after 18 months. 

But in Riyadh, although they add more than a hundred delegates, they are not all those that are. The members of the political opposition attend tolerated in Damask and those of the Syrian National Council - that is presented as opposition in the exile, supported by the Saudi -, and they also go responsible for 15 rebellious militias, but the two more important forces have not been invited: the one in front of the Nusra neither, mainly, the Kurdish political-military organization PYD-YPG that occupies an important territory fringe along the Turkish frontier. 

The Islamic State, certainly, is not invited and, unless it seeks to attempt against the hotel, he is not expected. As for the one in front of the Nusra, the fact of being the Syrian branch of to the Qaeda it invalidates him to go to the meeting, although he has benefitted in this war of the supports of the countries of the Gulf and of Turkey, determined to overthrow Bashar al Asat. To Riyadh they also go businessmen and influential characters in the region. 

With these wickers, any decision that takes between today and tomorrow won't be supported by what usually calls you "the reality on the land". The rebellious militias, and Al Nusra also, they are suffering the Russian bombings in the territories that occupy, in the counties of Alepo, Idlib, Hama, Deraa… And that they go decreasing: today, about 2.000 combatants are retiring of the last neighborhood that they controlled in the city of Homs, in application of an agreement negotiated with the régime with mediation of the UN. 

Regarding the Kurd and some few Arab militias with those that have composed the Syrian Democratic Forces - with the patronage of United States -, when not being invited they have decided to meet for their bill in Hasaka (Syria) as if the appointment of Riyadh had "never happened", as they said to the channel Al Yazira. 

What is what uniting to the Arab factions that look for a common front? Only, the idea that Bashar the you Roast it is the great problem. Now, with more urgency, because the intervention of Russia has changed the panorama seriously. Although neither Russia neither Iran love so much to Him Al Asad as to bolster it in the power to all coast, the force of the weapons goes in its favor. It is more, Arab observers believe that Washington has given its approval to the Russian plans because in its hidden calendar it is a division of Syria for the benefit of the Kurd. 

The western powers would also thank a union of the Syrian political-military opposition. At least so that the first British minister, David Cameron, he could be right when he/she said that there were 70.000 "moderate" combatants, a true nonsense… there are not them neither anything points to that will have them. The famous Army Free Syrian is residual, so much that some of its militias are allied with the Kurd and other, on the contrary, they combat them beside radical Islamite’s as Ahrar Al Sham that also collaborates with Al Nusra. 

It is in fact Ahrar Al Sham, reconstituted after the murder of all their bigger page, the organization that now seeks to win more weight and supports. For more than one year he has gone proclaiming that it has been distanced of Al Qaeda and that their calendar is more nationalist than Islamite. Together with the Army of the Islam and other formations, he has subscribed three documents, between September and passed October, claiming the principles of the Syrian revolution of the first days, demanding the overthrow of the régime of The you Roast and their institutions, as well as the expulsion of the country of Russian, Iranian, the Hezbollah and other militias chiíes, and defending the formation of a government of national transition… Everything it, appealing anything less than to the Council of Security of the UN. 

Does it sound well? It is possibly what many want to hear. In eves of the appointment of Riyadh, Ahrar Al Sham has insisted in that it is necessary to overthrow the régime of Damask and to judge its members. But it has also defended the Islamic "identity of Syria", something that will please to the Arab backers of the war, included the Saudi host. To many other, not so much, something like they come he moves, but I find it that they move too many and I doubt that they understand each other 

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