DEAD COW: WHAT SMELLS WRONG IS BECAUSE THIS ROTTEN ONE

Past the first moments of stupor and bewilderment for the news of the seizure already almost announced of YPF on the part of the government Argentinean intent, to see beyond the real fact and I sum up and I believe that there are many more things and consequence after this unfortunate fact propitiated with all the impunity that the false democracy of a country grants to its government. 

The excuses economists are not believable, the fact that to YPF or rather Repsol you the acknowledgement of exercising a low exploitation of the petroleum in extraction, is outside of all sense when you check convincingly that this fact was not such but rather the wells and locations in exploitation, are already in their moments of low production for its expiration, the real problem is deeper than this wells, in this matter they mix the national politics and another very important one the Geopolitics of the American South continent, regarding the first one this the necessity to cover mouths in a country that incredibly great part of the total GDP, is in hands of not more than six families or influence plots. Regarding the South American geopolitics we should deepen a lot but since there is much more complexity. 

Argentina is For its extension, 2 780 400 km², it is the second more extensive state of Latin America, room in the American continent and eighth in the world, considering only the continental surface subject to its effective sovereignty. However alone he has 40 million inhabitants, something less than Spain and their GDP is 710,000 million Dollars, that is to say the almost exact half of the GDP of Spain, its urban social composition and politics is a chaos, its counties are states spread by the enormity of a vast territory almost in virgin state for savage not to say.  

The Argentinean although they sometimes deny it for shame, he is a made feel inferior being and I wander for imposition, because he doesn't have exit to their initiative, this as enslaved by the autocracy of some few ones that they exploit the misery of the country surprisingly, because the wealth is in foreign hands, in being able to of multinationals that are limited to benefit the “Argentinean aristocrats” making them partners of cardboard stone in its operating companies, and whose only paper is that they spend them the coupon of benefits every year or each when it is, the town the normal citizenship hardly bill for anything and he/she survives for its genius and its assimilated sense of the normalized injustice. 

Argentina has seen as Brazil he has been escaped at least 50 years, when these 50 years ago it was on the contrary the situation, in fact the whole American South continent is in full relocation in the world context.  Argentina in a way or another should take a road and to leave their voluntary and comfortable ostracism.  

The problem is that he/she makes a mistake another time, the exit shot they are the oil locations of Dead Cow. there it is the capital to finance the change, and the first error is the hurry, now knowing that it has a bottom of immense capital he wants to run, but clearing to exploit this immense bottom is necessary very much economic potential which they demanded that puts it Repsol, and I would dare to say that the whole Spanish economy, that is to say the BBVA the Santander and all those that there they are, and that surprisingly they are those that give of eating the Argentineans because I repeat the Argentinean "aristocracy” he doesn't wear out a single weight in its own country. 

They already come that the thing has crumb on one hand jealousies and he envies Brazil and Chile that it also overcomes them, and hurries many hurries because the petroleum in exploitation goes ending, and if he closes the faucet like they will give of " to eat" a its society with the exploitation and agrarian export of the country is not enough, the since urgency has made to calculate and to choose bad to the Argentinean politicians, they have not wanted to wait to the planning that was making Repsol to find the necessary reinforcement to be able to face the enormous investment and the exploitation of Dead Cow, but if they knew its steps. 

I believe that when they have had clear who the white horse was that Repsol had interested in the topic, the government has seen the to make a bridge occasion and to be believed more clever than nobody, also sew very typical of the Argentinean character able to pass of the but submissive friend, to the vilest enemy according to it interests him. Once resolved the necessity to make a radical change to the exploitation of the national petroleum, the thing was in deciding with what type of political administration it was made and here the Argentinean politics’ second forced error arises again, they see that for the democratic beds it is not sufficiently quick, neither possible, to do without of some commitments aided for the international right, and without being thought it a lot they take the one on the way to the politics of the Venezuelan populism that so many addicts already have created in the continent. 

And we already have the complete square the new white horse the Chinese giant Synopec it occupied position of Repsol, the popular politics he will make it possible, the arks of the state will be able to continue deceiving the Argentineans of on foot and of course the "aristocracy" will be able to continue wasting dollars for the world and storing what they have more than enough in Switzerland or the Cayman and also in London, and there is not problem if this new hard situation some decades, because that that they were taken when the cow ends another thing it will already have left because in Argentinean what is safe is that there is of all the worse one it is that it is also full with Argentinean.  

As final point I want to notice to the rest of the Spanish companies that you/they are acting in Argentinean the situation that I have created the government right he/she goes to the nationalization of all they are it services and exploitation of long duration in the country because there would not be possible justification if you acts in a populist way for some and democratic for other, so well they would make the Spanish managers in going picking up what you/they can before they take off everything.