IT IS NECESSARY TO ADJUST THE UNEMPLOYMENT TO THE REALITY OF THE COUNTRY

Today that the day accompanies, for the difficult thing that this the general situation, with a social morals for the floors, with a without knowing that to make on the part of the government with some thrilling economic premonitions on the part of the IMF has thought that it could put more firewood to the fire and I play a very rough topic again and of difficult position but that they don't have the smallest doubt it is the cancer of Spain the galloping and impossible unemployment of reducing with the economic and labor structure of our country.  

They will see I don't see any other solution to refloat Spain that to apply an ERE (File of Regulation of Employment) mandatory. Accompanying to the measures of cutting of expenses, measures of reactivation of the economy, and privatization of the services and public companies, sew of the one that the government neither speech, because the PP is lover of having according to what well centralized activities, be not that he/she is escaped some autonomy. 

The reason of this position will try first to explain to it with an example that many will understand it, because they will even have suffered it in themselves. Imagine a company anyone, given the incidence of the current crisis, their business capacity makes that its revenues decrease visibly, and this company like all have a credit line with the banks that he needs it to adjust the treasury flows and their investments. With the slope of sales and for consequence of revenues you do with alarm that he won't be able to balance the balance of losses and earnings and he begins to study to reduce their expenses and costs so that they are balanced the most possible thing to their revenues. The company took several solutions:  

1º. - To reduce expenses that are not necessary, the most immediate and easy of applying, representation expenses, trips, cleaning, etc. 

2º. - to Reduce costs, here he meets with more difficulties because he has to define that costs suppress or it reduces. And in this point two qualifications variable costs and fixed costs appear. The variables are those that go bound to the production and they vary as he takes place more or less, an example the rot materials that he needs for their production, in this field the administration will consist on looking for of reducing prices with the suppliers, or to substitute them for other more economic ones. And we arrive to the fixed costs they are those that it manufactures more or less they are there and they don't vary: Rents, paying-offs, interests of credits, and the labor personnel's dramatic cost.  

Arrived to this point the company he doesn't have another exit that to reduce the expense in personal, because he doesn't need their production so much since it has shrunk a lot, and for that reason an ERE, the object of the one begins which is to reduce the insole of the company. To part of the discussions and negotiations at the end a figure is gotten and he decreases the insole in an appropriate number. And the surpluses leave and they leave the company free of the part of costs that they supposed. Among the whole company it is balanced and continuous their survival. 

Now imagine you that this company after making the ERE, their surpluses of workers have to stay in a corner of the same company and to continue getting paid, that yes without to work that will make, if there is not neither matters cousins, neither necessity some of their contribution to the production, would be absurd and of course it would put an end to the company in the ruin. 

Very since this it is the situation of Spain, he is asked that it reduces costs, of all type and he attempts it, but the deficit doesn't lower and it didn't lower, because Spain has not made an ERE and this is killing her hopelessly, in our country there is according to the last estimate 5.3 millions of stopped, if we count an average of 800 cost Eurus we are I relent from 4.240 million to month 50.000 million Eurus a year. Moor o lees 5% of our GDP. This without counting, because I doubt that neither the own state knows it, the incidence of other indirect costs that its administration causes, among courses, grants, officials, control, etc.  

Where I want go to stop then very simple, this whole position seeks to demonstrate that the final resolution that I will outline, doesn't have any racist reason neither of extreme right neither nationalism neither anything of that, is pure economy, Spain he should understand that never more it absorbs again more than half of this figure of stopped, because unfortunately they are forever fruit of a false and finite planning of demographic and labor growth.  

Spain should calculate that cost represents him to maintain this situation so much in its pure monetary aspect, as of political incidence and of country solvency, and to make an ERE that means the relocation of at least 2.5 million workers and its direct clerks, that is to say I calculate as a lot about 6 million people, this operation is the only alternative so that Spain you re equilibrium, because what doesn't seem probable is that Europe and the western economy changes, neither that the German industry displeases factories to Spain so that to place the surpluses of unemployed think that when I calculate the figure of 2.5 million workers I am speaking of half of the current employees that is to say would be us still more or less an alive unemployment of 12%. 

If I am right, and we give for good what says the IMF that during next 5 years the unemployment won't change, the non absorbable unemployment that is to say the 2.5 millions of more than they are those that produce the difference among an unemployment from 12% to the current of 23% we are playing ourselves 120.000 million Eurus in next 5 years, supposing that among half we are not armed a social revolution, and that they don't increase us the costs thing that I doubt.  

This to gross way would mean that the state could invest about 15,000 Eurus for person (unemployed and family), to finance the relocation of people affected by the change of productive situation of our country, that yes he understands each other that outside of Spain, like in its day they had to leave its work, and before its origin country in many cases, I believe that for many immigrant and families, to redo its life in its origin place with 30 thousand Eurus in the hand would not be by no means a foolishness neither a social failure.