sábado, 28 de abril de 2012

SPAIN: A PIECE OF THE VERY DANGEROUS EUROPEAN DOMINO


The week that today finishes has been especially adverse for Spain and especially for Mariano Rajoy Government. In full financial decomposition, they have begun to appear tensions with other European countries (Italy and France, mainly) and of other parts of the world, the name of Spain has been pronounced in an unfavorable way in France, in the Duma of Moscow, in the FED and, like finish off, in the IMF, the conflict with Argentina concerning the nationalization of the oil company YPF, controlled by Repsol maintains to the white well the government's international political weakness and of the country. 

It is an evidence more than the certainty of the Spanish popular knowledge, where we find the exact definition of what is happening us "TO thin dog everything they are fleas" Spain he is this way in these moments, it is incredible the moral degradation and material so much national as international that the PP with their maximum leader to the front the Mr. Mariano Rajoy, it has taken to the political and economic scene, to our Spanish nation. 

There is a very disturbing difference among the position of Spain under the direction of the PSOE that the one that today offers under the direction of the Popular Party. With the PSOE Spain was a great country that had a fatal political and economic administration that should recompose, and that it was given for sure one could make, today with Spain under the direction of the PP, Spain is a lying nation, of little trust that doesn't open up to its neighbors that interiorize its defects that it doesn't accept of good grade the guidelines that are requested, and that it also presents a tremendous social fissure in its society, everything has created it many more tensions about the European economy and of course in the Spaniard and all that alone in four months of government. 

They are tensions of different sign. The Government from Italy is nervous for the Spanish cousin's of risk ascent, circumstance that also pushes to the rise his. The Government of Monti is buried in these moments a delicate negotiation with the unions on the labor reformation, and a bigger pressure of the markets can complicate that negotiation. A fact that to keep in mind: the Italian unions are more potent than the Spaniards. 

In France, the hard electoral conflict among Nicolas Sarkozy and the socialist François Hollande has pushed the French president to use Spain like electoral mirror, of what should not be, forgetting its good friendship with José Luis Rodriguez Zapatero and substituting it for the little empathy that is able to emanate Mariano Rajoy, its ideological complicity with Mariano Rajoy in the European centroderecha, it is not enough to avoid the bad reputation with which Sarkozy gives us. In electoral time sometimes voucher everything, especially when the surveys don't give a clear winner. The image of Spain in the world has suffered a sensitive deterioration in the last months. 

The intention of the Italian technical Government when mentioning to Spain like cause of the last financial turbulences in Europe, it has not been so much polemical with Madrid on what country it is more fragile, if I don't eat auto affirmers like Executive anti crisis, in the internal environment and toward the exterior. The conservative politics’ failure and of cuttings that the PP has implanted and that it has been demonstrated unable to have any success in Spain, it hinders the popular credibility of the same medicine vastly or similar that is trying of imposing in Italy Mario Monti. 

Also Rajoy and their government of rights has untied a leftist current in europa that is making stagger the whole administration that the UE comes for a couple of years, in Holland the government resigns, in Rumania France is also, about to give the overturn to the left and the own Merkel has already noticed that there is not it goes behind in the concepts and fiscal agreements of the Euro Group, the bad administration and the little presence and empathy of Rajoy and its economic team, they put in alert to all europa that without knowing very well because they come that the things don't go like they should go in Spain and just in case and before the doubt of the because it passes this they are rotated turned the approved politicians he not makes more than six months, the curious of the case is that Spain that doesn't count for anybody is able to change the europa direction by chance. 

The biggest merit in Monti has been to calm the spirits, just the opposite that he has made Rajoy in Spain. That lowers the cousin of risk on the debt that the democratic Parliament and unaware to Monti it accepted a plan of budgetary adjustment and the beginning of structural reformations, he helped face to the foreigner, their aureole of rigorous and austere, skilled technocrat and respected in the offices of Brussels and in the living rooms of New York, with an impeccable English, able to respond in direct, accurately, to the questions of the CNN or the BBC. They wrapped it in the aureole of a savior for Italy and even of Europe. 

It is completely opposed the consequence of the ascent to the power in Spain of Rajoy and the government of the PP. Who has gotten just the opposite, they have unbalanced the Spanish parliament, their own people have created the alarm scream on the state of the autonomies, the Spanish banking goes of bad in worse in spite of being day yes and day also assuring that the financial system is reforming, already nobody believes it to him, it has suffered a general strike that the same one can say that he requested loudly, it’s in popular in Spain has fallen incomprehensibly, until in its own people, and the worst thing, the private national capital that is always of right, has given him the back. 

It cannot interest in Italy neither in France neither in Portugal neither in the whole Europe of the Euro that the fears reborn about the solvency of Spain, because it is proven that the infection of perceptions in the markets is quick. Enough restlessness is already in the organizations of the CE with the result of the elections in France like so that the only and last government democratically elect in the community, that of Spain, this failing so flatly to such an extent that it puts in danger the whole politics of Europe, because not you if they have been given bill that in these moments it is of right. 

But independently of the reflection more or less international, the Spanish politics’ problem can mean the being or not to be from Spain in Europe, and even the own European Union, if the disaster of the guidelines emanated by the government Rajoy continues collapsing more and more to Spain, it won't be the properly this Spanish economy the one that the Europe of the Euro will collapse, but the Spanish politics that will make distrust to French and Italian, and that in view of your neighbor's beards to shave, they won't want to put his to soak and to be exposed to a similar situation. This is the situation that could imagine that a Spain that will be the marvel of the effectiveness thanks to the push of the politics of the PP can put an end to the Spanish economy and that of the European Union at the same time like they are misled. 

Berlin at the moment makes as that it ignores the deep interrelation of the euro crisis that Spain is creating, since it affects it besides politically, to its financial interests, those of the German banking for the total participation in the Spanish real estate fantasy. The internal European imbalances that were deepened with the euro, the division between an industrial North and a South of services and tourism, was largely financed with the resulting capitals of the surplus exporter of the North, to palliate its responsibility it invented the dangerous populist legend of a virtuous center and a wasteful periphery that he/she threatens the European cohesion directly. 

Now all this Spain, Italy, Portugal, France, Germany, Holland, Europe in general, it can jump for the airs thanks to the blunder and the bad example that the politicians of the PP applied in Spain. It is like a snake of domino records if Spain pushed by a completely ineffective government and without resolutely ideas he makes it fall, he crawled to all the other ones and the end can be epic 

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