COMING CLOSER THE DILEMMA OF THE CONSULTATION IN CATALUNYA, GOOD IT WILL BE TO MAKE SOME NUMBERS

The postures between the state and the average Spanish unionists and the Catalan independent are in complete boil the first ones in attack tone and bombing of calamities and the second in a certain edginess because the thing certainly has its importance and its risk. From Madrid the inks are loaded lately in the economic aspects they are already direct or indirect: that if they won't be been able to pay pensions that if the companies left of Catalonia that if Spain hour the boycott to the Catalan products that if Catalonia will be expelled of the UE etc. etc.  

I believe because that it is necessary to already put above the table some numbers that at least they explain like they would be the big economic figures in the supposition of a conventional and negotiated segregation, for I will be single three parameters: Unemployment, Interior Product, sovereign Debt and their percentage has more than enough GDP. With these four parameters we will have a clear idea of the magnitudes resultant later the day it stops each one of the competitors. 

We go there: 

INCIDENCE OF DEBT	MILLONES  €	% ON GDP
Spanish debt	980,000
Spanish GDP	1.050,180	93,32%
Catalonia debt Catalunya GDP	50,489 198,633	25,42%
Debt Spain  less Catalonia	930,000
GDP Spain. less Catalunya	851,547	109,21%

As we can see the fact that Spain loses the contribution of the Catalan GDP and doesn't have to load with the current debt from Catalonia to who favors it is Catalonia since the consequence it will be to pass of an affectation of the almost 100% of the current debt to surpass this factor in 16 basic points. It is evident that this would not be acceptable for Spain and I believe that it would not be exactly for that reason on the part of Catalonia I have allowed myself to correct these figures so before a calm and friendly segregation Catalonia accepts to assume the same percentage of GDP that is taken in Spanish sovereign debt. 

So if the Catalan GDP means 18.91% of the Spanish total, that same debt percentage it could be the one rescued by Catalonia in the hypothetical segregation with this agreement the pertinent corrections they would give us the following figures 

NEW INCIDENCE OF DEBT	MILLONES  €	% ON GDP
Debt corrected Catalán	186,200	93,74%
Debt corrected Spanish	793,800	93,22%

Finally that the topic of the unemployment in this chapter the improvement for Catalonia is clear since the general unemployment of Spain ascends at the moment according to the repeated data to 25,5% and that of Catalonia this in 22,8% so when taking out of the Catalan unemployment the Spanish stocking it would ascend until 27,6% what its influence on the most reduced Spanish population should keep in mind. 

Good with these data they are enough to see that of entrance or rather of exit the conditions macroeconomic Catalan are not disastrous and that practically the possible debt qualification and serious country the one that today has Spain that which leaves us clear that starting from the day later would not get tied up the dogs with sausages but neither he would fall us above the world, so my friends, the question should be without fear some you "Want an independent Catalonia YES or NOT"