PRESENT AND FUTURE DE SPAIN AND THEIR INFERNAL ONE CIRCULATE ECONOMIC - SOCIAL

The institute “Flores de Lemus” expects a loss of 365.000 employments this year, 19.000 more than the dear ones previously for the institute, with a half contraction of 3,32%. The number of stopped, on the other hand, this year it will be increased in some 250.000 people, with a half unemployment rate of 26,5%. The number of stopped will increase in some 95.000 people in the last trimester of this year, what will locate the total of unemployed on the edge of the six millions and the unemployment rate in 26,56%, tenth six above the registered one in the third trimester, according to the new forecasts. 

In accordance with their estimates, they will be destroyed near 230.000 work positions between October and December of this year, 1,4% regarding the previous trimester, what will take the total of busy up to the 16.593.000. All the big activity branches will continue losing employment in terms inter years, with the construction and the industry to the head. This panorama is the one that should not see the government when he tells us that we are already at the end of the tunnel, frankly it is of chill. 

The situation far from improving is very possible that worsens independently that you can foresee an improvement in the GDP For 2014, the study still predicts employment destruction (-0,22%) because the "weak" growth of the GDP won't still be able to generate net employment in the year. Nevertheless, from the third trimester of next year, “Flores de Lemus” omens positive annual rates of occupation, finishing the exercise with a rate inter year of 0,6%, what would bear the creation of about 100.000 net employments in the group of the year, 20.000 less than those foreseen previously. 

The sustained growth of the GDP in Spain one won't be able to consider sure up to the 2015 in that he will settle down concretely above 1% el1,35% according to estimates of the IMF it is it stops then when you preview a half growth of the employment of 1%, this is, about 170.000 work positions more than in 2014. 

As for the unemployment, the half rate will decrease half point in 2014, until 26%, what would suppose an unemployment level yearly of six million unemployed. In the first trimester of 2014, the unemployment surpasses the barrier of the six millions again (6,12 millions, concretely), with what the unemployment rate will climb until 27,1%, without you ends up overcoming the maximum reached in the first trimester of 2013 (27,2%), according to the forecasts of the institute. 

These data are devastating all the Spaniards should be conscious that these numbers are untenable they represent a new life of penuries practically it is as returning to an economy of "post war" without having passed the war, the data carried out by these institutions of world prestige are telling us that the Spanish society will be in this penury situation but of 10años unless we reduce the Spanish demography in about 10 million inhabitants. 

Notice you the IMF tells us that in the period 2014 / 2018 with the growth of the GDP seated in an average of 1,47% annual will obtain with luck a reduction of the unemployment of 1,32% what means an annual average of 0,9% we round the series and let us say that with a growth of the GDP of +1,5% we reduce the unemployment -1% extrapolating these factors we see this way that so that Spain arrives we have left to sustain this situation without setback some about 11years. 

I make stress in the unemployment because it is in fact the factor that unbalances the whole Spanish economy because if they pay attention to the enclosed graphics they will see that at the same time that it goes up the GDP and it lowers the unemployment, it goes up the doubt, and this it ascends because the costs social Spaniards won't lower but just the opposite the grants of social character have already settled perpetually in this country because the relationship has been unbalanced <productivity population> and if this is not corrected it is the systemic future in way of life of the Spanish society. 

And this is not solved no matter how much the productivity increases, but rather it passed the opposite the more productive we are, less unemployment will absorb it is but due to the unbalanced demography we could even continue creating it, this situation would be explained because the new company to create should be very technological and this company type is very productive from the point of view economic but little manpower absorbent, the truth is that I don't know how the future governments got ready them to square this gibberish, let us say socioeconomic. 

Arrived to this point I am not able to for less than to insist in my theory that it is necessary to outline an emptied effect of our current demography that I eat I have already said countless times, it is product of a decade of national real estate madness, caused by the government of the PP of Aznar, maintained and increased by Zapatero’s socialists, and denied their evidence for the current government of the PP of Rajoy, like they come we complete the I circulate damned of the history of the democracy Spanish cycle in that are contained all and that many of you will never see never the exit.