It is curious
as the events they are sometimes chained like links of a chain, and like we are
speaking of banks and finances, never rather that of chain, I have not
commented the sad representation offered yesterday for the representative of
the CUP in the Parlament Catalan, when before the presence of the Mr. Rodrigo
Rato, maximum former responsible for Bankia, showed his shoe and he made him a
panegyric of what wanted to mean this act in the Islamic countries as form of
demonstrating the baseness of which suffers it. With the shoe in the hand did
tell him, you Have fear? What Rodrigo Rato replies - to you? -No - clarify him
- fear to be left without anything as the poor to who you have ruined.
I don't
continue with this episode, I believe that whole Spain has him versioned but it
serves me as introduction because like he said, I take two days writing of
banking, economy, foreign currencies, and of the euro area and there is no way
to leave it. I don't know what it is happening so that the clearest economic
minds in the world are devoted to complicate the things instead of simplifying
them, to fix the economy of the euro area. This way today, the European Central
Bank (BCE) we are surprised with the threat that it doesn't exclude none of the
tools at your disposal, including the possibility to fix a negative rate to the
deposits of the banking in the entity, or even, the purchase of active, as it
has assured in an interview with 'The Wall Street Journal' the economist boss
of the issuing institute, Peter Praet.
"If our
command is in danger we will adopt all the measures that we should to complete
it. That is a very clear" sign, the Belgian banker of German origin points
out in an interview with the newspaper of reference of Wall Street. This way,
the executive of the BCE doesn't discard the controversial possibility that the
institution can go aboard in a purchase program of active of the banking with
the purpose of reducing the costs of financing of the private sector.
Astonishing, the question that quickly assaults me it is of what or of who is
in danger the BCE? I suppose that it will be in danger of losing their wages by
reason of that the euro and the euro area die from "success."
The thing
certainly doesn't go for these courses, the fear is in that the deflation
settles in more than half of the countries partners of the euro area, because
it is evident that the national economies go all back instead of advancing
toward a certain and sure recovery. Peter Praet insists in its threats the
capacity of the balance of the central bank it can "Also be used, this
includes direct purchases of active to banks that any central bank can
make", if it considers necessary to add additional stimuli at this time,
when the risks for the inflation are balanced in the group of the euro zone.
So far, the
BCE has resisted the possibility to throw a purchase program of active similar
to the one approved by the central banks of Japan and USA since faces a strong
opposition in Germany, the command of the BCE prohibit to the entity to finance
the governments, although the economist boss of the bank considers that these
legal limits don't exclude to intervene directly in the markets."
I interpret
that the BCE is concerned because although it goes down the price from the
money to 0.25%, this doesn't arrive at the private market and stay as another
purely financial element, in hands of the banks, the financial markets, and of
debt and don't serve as anything the face measure to the problem of the
economic stagflation and of consumption that is reflected with the drop current
inflation, several of the countries more affected by the crisis they already
register rates of inflation zero or even negative.
It is evident
that the commercial banks for this way to call them, they are afraid they don't
know very well that surprises wait them, because there are not guidelines
neither political, neither economic, neither financial general in the euro
area, so to me to understand the BCE he can already to give them the money that
if they don't know in what and how to spend it, the only thing that they will
make will be to keep it in their boxes of security or in that of the BCE., and
that that at the moment the deposit rate is to zero, what supposes that the
banks don't obtain remuneration for the money kept in the 'Box' of the BCE. For
that reason the threat of imposing a negative type would imply that the BCE
would pass to get paid to the entities that they prefer to preserve its
liquidity in the central bank instead of lending it.
The thing
seems logical but it is not this way under the current bewilderment conditions,
because who it assures to the private banks that tomorrow is not rotated the
head to the BCE and he gives them some temporary measures based on the fear of
new falls of the national economies, or for the elevation of the sovereign
debts, or for the financing of the wild deficits that they are imposing as if
all were Germany, this is it that in fact has captive the credit for companies
and matters, in definitive the credit for the recovery of the economies of the
euro area.
The day that
the BCE, and the European Commission meets in Brussels and define facts as: an
European voucher, an European debt, some processes of adjustment of asymmetric deficits
and with the same terms of time to adjust them that the employees for des adjust,
when all the countries have the same taxes, the same tax loads, apply the same physicality’s,
in definitive when the whole euro area really has the same euro and to the same
cost, it won't be necessary to invent or to threaten actions that alone they
are good to fill the day with articles in the press salmon, or of fond poor as
me that he tries to see that it is happening so that everybody is becoming
crazy of it finishes off.
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