jueves, 14 de noviembre de 2013

WHEN A THING FALLS USUALLY ANOTHER IT ASCENDS


The data of GDP well-known today they have given the alarm sign since the area euro in their group a grouper 0,1% it grew, enough below the growth of 0,3% scored in the previous period. The reason of this deceleration is the bad behavior registered by the two main economies of the area: France and Germany. The first one has registered a negative growth of 0,1% that was not expected, this way the Gallic economy he returns to the negative land, of which had gone out energetically in the second trimester with a growth of 0,5%. The main reason of this relapse has been attributed to the bad behavior of the exports of the country. That they decreased 1,5% in the three following months, according to data of the National Institute of Statistic (INSEE) Gallic. 

The curious of the case is that Germany although it grew the he has made in a ridicule 0,3% that is a reduction of 50% on the figure of previous growth this slope it has also been attributed to a reduction of the exports that was not compensated totally by the increment of the domestic consumption, as he informed the federal office of statistic, Destatis. In fact, the European Commission has reprehended Germany recently for not undertaking actions to reactivate its domestic demand, reducing this way the surplus of the country and contributing to the combined economic recovery of the continent. 

It is clear that the erroneous ones political economic of the CE they are causing des adjusts now without end we see that the two europa locomotives are braked by the same cause the cuttings of wages of one of the countries with more difficulties that is to say Spain, and this had not calculated it but it is very consequent what Spain that every time has less consumption intern happens bases its reaction on the export and to make it should be more competitive than the other ones, without being able to be it for managerial and technological causes, so Spain goes and he makes a devaluation of costs based on the wild cuttings of wages. 

And "voilà" Spain undertakes a minimum reactivation of 0,1% that I don't mention it so that artificial fires are thrown I say it because he gives me the sensation that we are taking off each other the "bread". This you confirms because the third in question, Italy, the third economy of the region that has not varied as much as Spain regarding reducing salary costs continued in recession (-0,1%), according to the first estimate of the fact published by Eurostat. 

Nevertheless, the horizon could clear up in next months, according to the panel of experts of the BCE that today has published its perspectives of growth and unemployment of the euro zone. According to their omens, in the area euro a contraction of the GDP of 0,4% will take place this year, tenth two better than its previous forecast of August, what will allow an evolution something more positive of the unemployment that will close 2013 in 12,1%, in front of 12,3% of the previous presage. 

I don't know if this will be this way if we continue with measures economic des coordinates although it doesn't seem him this is handle the CE it maintains a strict control and some measures for example for Spain but I believe that there is not nobody that studies the effects that these measures can cause especially in the context of the rest of countries of the CE those of the euro area. I understand that it should be almost impossible that a gentleman from Brussels tells to the Germans that should export less and on the contrary to consume more in his own country and things manufactured in the but it is that if the bills are not made thinking of 300 millions of inhabitants of the euro area when they realize the poor they will be removing the work to the richest. Because it is an in appealable law, when a thing falls another ascends. 

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario