miércoles, 22 de febrero de 2012

THE CURSE OF THE SPANISH ECONOMIC EXUBERANCE


I fear myself us to be entering in a situation of poverty third world galloping and irreversible, tremendous beginning like to encourage them to that continue reading, but I advise them that they make it they will see the sad reality and maybe he helps them to get ready. For what has to arrive. Let us begin with the principle. 

My assiduous readers already know that by reason of the real estate exuberance that we enjoy in the decade the 2000 at the 2010, Spain you unbalances completely, you change the industrial and productive economy for the construction, millionaires of the armed cement grew that didn't make more than to waste their small fortunes in very big houses, very expensive cars, and exorbitant luxuries, but none believes anything, single houses and floors of those that many are today in the passive of the banks, and of our particular economies, because after all we are those that we will finance them. 

But this with being one of our wrongs is not the worst, the worst I have also repeated it countless occasions, it is that you unbalance the demography of Spain. We will analyze the event 

Year        Inhabitants          increment 

1940       26.014.278 - 

1950       28.117.873          2.103.595 

1960       30.582.936          2.465.063 

1970       34.008.759          3.425.823 

1981       37.742.561          3.733.802 

1991       39.433.942          1.691.381 

2001       41.116.842          1.682.900 

2011       47.190.493          6.073.651 

The chart made part of after concluding the Spanish civil war, one can observe that the nasality or population's increment, grow during the first four decades to a lightly superior rhythm to two millions, both first, and of three millions, both following. Past this period, the Spanish society is repressed, the difficulties, the modern life, the general and economic balance is regulated and a growth of 1.6 millions settles down practically per decade, and there it arrives the explosion of the economic irrational exuberance of the construction and the euro, and Spain becomes madwoman and in a single decade it grows 6.000.000 inhabitants. 

The problem becomes worse because evidently they are not for births, "too many powders for so much mud" are a cared demography, the rational thing it is that Spain has grown as a lot two millions, that is to say has located us in the 43 million inhabitants, but not alone it is the quantity, the main problem but the imbalance of the pyramid of ages, because the surplus of had inhabitants, all have been people in age of working and most without qualifying, at the beginning this was exceptional because the increase of the rate to the box of the National Social security, was disproportionately good there was more cotenants than percipient of pensions, it happened this way what happened, the PSOE he didn't know what to make with so much peacefulness and I waste it. 

Now this situation has been rotated to the contrary side, now all these added workers, they are those that augment the lists of subsidies of the unemployment that next to the natural pensioners, and those coming from you are they employer and other closings we are in some untenable ratios, fact that the new government remains silent, because he doesn't know how to explain to it neither how to solve it. This also explains because the youths don't find work, the Spanish youth that arrives to the age of working, meets with a work market unbalanced by two factors, one for the little work offer and the other one for the tremendous quantity of workers that they are corking the incorporation possibility of those that arrive. 

Spain won't be able to for if same to solve this situation of none in the ways; Spain will never be able to give occupation to 3.5 million workers, to stay in unemployment of 2 million workers that would locate a ratio of the order of 10/12% unemployment. This situation doesn't exaggerate, or the government explains to it in Brussels or if he wants to hide it we go to the total ruin, in two or three years we are the height of Morocco or Algeria, burning to the bonze in the squares of the towns and cities of our country, or in full revolution requesting that that the state and the country cannot get ready. 

Impressive truth, hard I would say, but real it is there is not this way form of hiding it, or the demography is recomposed by means of helps to the repatriation of the surplus of workers in the appropriate ages, or he won't be possible to palliate the juvenile unemployment, or we will stay without young, because these if they left it doesn't fit them doubt, but the government seems that the only thing that he cares, is at the moment to save to the banks and to clip the budgets, as if this will be good for something, the problems are those that are and not to confront them belongs to suicides and unconscious, because some are been of the other ones and vice versa, and without confronting the two solutions there won't be any solution.   

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