miércoles, 8 de febrero de 2012

GERMANY NEEDS THE ECONOMY OF THE REACTIVATED EURO WITHOUT DELAY


The commercial scale of Germany hurtled in December a surplus of 12.900 million Eurus, below the 15.900 million November and the 13.800 that he waited the market.  This result is consequence of a descent of the exports of 4,3%, after having gone up 2,6% the previous month. The analysts consulted by Bloomberg expected from stocking a fall of 1%. It is the biggest collapse from January of 2009.  

It seems that Germany begins to accuse the paralysis that herself with its rigidity and a so much of selfishness, it is causing in form of contraction recipes to its European partners, with so much interest that the countries of the euro area reduce their deficits and their debts, to a brutal and ineffective rhythm because nobody can complete it, and this demoralizes more than he helps, Germany goes as its commercial scale (basic tool for its budgetary balance) it begins to weaken and if there are not entrances of money little by little the same calvary that their neighbors are living began.  

Ulrike Rondorf, economist of Commerzbank in Frankfurt. he has manifested, - the exports to the area of the euro will stay weak and they are clearly a risk - that were believed that this will never arrive, because here they have it and wait you because the reactivation of the economy of the euro area, goes unavoidably to make the competition to the German industry, because partly we could say that they have monopolized the whole industry manufacturer, mainly the denominated Heavy Industry that is in fact the one that uses more manpower. 

The political and economic problems that begin to bother the Chancellor Merkel will multiply, unless in the last moment it changes and put on behalf of the problem that blocks to the rest of the euro area, and stop to attack the collateral economy to his, this war begins her to have lost. Merkel should help Sarkozy because if this it loses the elections to the presidency next May, the new socialist France will open a front against the politics of economic slavery of rights implanted by Germany. They will unite the whole rest of European countries without any doubt. 

The possibility that this forecast is materialized, it would mean the one it even rearms from the collateral economies to coast of unloading the deficits possibilities and debts, but this liberation would not be in fact to favor to the German industry, but just the opposite, the economies that I denominate collateral as, France, Spain, and Italy, imperatively they should recover the lost productivity, if they want to be taken out of above the weight of the biggest concept of costs that today has the governments: the unemployment subsidy, and the first balance and their surplus later on of their commercial scale. 

France is the prepared to make the cycle change, and or a lot I make a mistake or certainly the French socialists would not negotiate at all with the current German government, rather they would take the posture of agglutinating in his lathe, to the ballasted economies and fed up with not leaving the rest of countries of the area euro forward, even of that of the United Kingdom. So the Merkel and Sarkozy have left scarcely two months to change the political and economic scenario of Europe, or otherwise it can have a change of 180 grades that which can always be a given risk the current conditions. 

This analyzes it today, in fact the day that some say that Greece finally deceived us for third time, and it is one it authenticates pain that happens this way, because the certainty that everybody has that the economy of Greece as well as that of Portugal, they are no longer viable in the new European configuration, it is the main reason that the markets use to make scarce the economic panorama of the euro, to hold back I live the euro it depends on Germany, and Germany mistakenly thinks that everything depends that it doesn't pass anything in Europa, and he has clinger so much to this theory that has ended up getting that it doesn't really pass anything in Europe, and here we are creating measures and cuttings that you/they don't go neither forward neither back, if this doesn't break immediately everything it jumped for the airs next month of May.  

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