martes, 14 de febrero de 2012

THE PERFECT X-RAY OF OUR ERRORS.


The European Commission has certified half dozen of economic imbalances (of an analyzed total of ten) that bore a hard penance. If the Government doesn't correct those structural hang-ups, a process of sanctions that could end in sanctions would open up of until 0,1% of the GDP, what Spain stops would suppose a stone more in the neck of about 1.000 million Eurus.  

Maybe be worthwhile that we take advantage of the occasion to analyze them for our bill besides the commission they don't find it. Assisting to the denounced concepts sees if we can analyze the reason, Spain suspends in the sections of: UNEMPLOYMENT; DEBT PUBLISHES; BALANCE FOR BILL CURRENT; PRIVATE DEBT; QUOTA OF MARKET OF EXPORT; NET POSITION OF INVESTMENTS. 

Very once outlined the shames, it is very easy to explain to them all in a single concept, because they will see you as all are consequence of a single cause that in bad hour somebody supposed that it was the panacea for this country, and you doesn't worry of planning looking to the future instead of the immediate and easy success. I refer without any doubt to the brutal and wild Real estate development organized in Spain in the decade from the 2000 to the 2010. 

UNEMPLOYMENT - Of this decade he comes off the excessive current unemployment, since in this decade, Spain grew 7 million inhabitants, when in the previous dozens he made it to the rhythm of 1.5 million averages, the result of this is devastating, Spain "cares" manpower for the construction, in an  number of about 5 millions.  In the year 2000 the unemployment in Spain was located in 12% and in the decade I arrive to an inferior tip of 7% in the 2007, starting from here the real estate bubble begins to reduce the swelling and the whole "import of manpower" step to augment the lists of the INEM, because the employers disappear overnight, so Spain keeps the unemployment of 12% natural, increased suddenly with all the workers of the construction that add us suddenly 8%. 

PUBLIC DEBT - The public debt of Spain is not precisely exaggerated, in these moments this but or fewer 8 points above that allowed that it is 60% of the GDP, the bad thing it is that he leaves increasing instead of lessening, because it happens this. Easy when the madness of the real estate development the public arks filled with taxes, and the government thought that this would never finish, and it began to distribute social benefits now these benefits they stayed and the taxes ended, so there is that removing, but no matter how much they attempt it if there is not recovery they won't be able to balance the debt, for that reason it will continue increasing and Europe counts it as a problem that today in another country type not the serious thing. 

BALANCE FOR BILL CURRENT - Consequence also of the same sin, the houses are not exported, all are here and if there is crisis and the investors don't come to buy them, here foreign currencies don't enter, and like we have 47 million inhabitants to those that to feed, to give them gasoline, and of everything, and all we have to care him, because they make you the bill. The serious thing is that to redo the export to balance the balance is in the totally chimerical current situation of extreme globalization, this it is one of the points that more it will complicate the relationship Europe Spain together with the unemployment. 

PRIVATE DEBT - we are in the same circumstances, the real estate ones private the contractors of works that grew as mushrooms in the wonderful decade, made it all with credits that incomprehensibly the national banking almost gave, because contractors left and real estate of under the stones, some were simple workers of the construction, and other some graduate that decided to be gone up to the car of the abundance, but callow neither own capital everything was credit, besides this those recently come ones and the cleverer Spaniards, we buy ourselves to credit floors towers and farms insisting until the brows. 

QUOTA OF MARKET OF EXPORT - Simply we don't have, is it the same thing that the scale for bill current what we will export? The biggest national exports are of motor vehicles that all are of marks foreigners, don't confuse the fact that the main national companies are all making business outside of Spain, this is not export, this is delocalization of everything, of employments, and of benefits, we don't have left more than four oranges and vegetables of that the French already take care of throwing us them for the frontier when they feel like. Here I should say that he was trying to hurry in the development of high technologies and something had been gotten, but with the cuttings of this year this will paralyze. 

NET POSITION OF INVESTMENTS - we are deficit also, as we won't be it, above all that exposed previously you would come to invest in Spain, truth that not, because everything explained is already. 

Let us wait that they read this article the Spanish minister of economy, both two, and if they have some common sense will see that the described problems get ready for the mime order that I have exposed them, it is necessary to empty the country to balance the unemployment, it is necessary to provide to the banking to reduce the risks of the credit, (this is the first thing that they have made) it is necessary to manufacture things to be able to export, leave not to manufacture outside, put under an obligation unless to be taken of here the manpower, is to facilitate what is so that external capitals come to establish companies here, if it is necessary liberalizing them of taxes and rates and giving the right of use of the land to settle, to change the country physiognomy as soon as possible and to pass of a country of manufacturers and services, to an industrial country. It is not easy but if I don't remember badly, in the elections the PP said that he had the solution for Spain, because he comes in Europe Mr. Rajoy they are already waiting for you.

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario