jueves, 29 de enero de 2015

THE EURO, THE EUROPEAN UNION, AND GREECE, THEY ARE IN AN ALLEY WITHOUT EXIT



One of the big fears among the leaders of the Eurozone was that those “the radical lefts or rights' begins to arrive to the power in the countries more affected by the crisis. That fear is already a fact, Alexis Tsipras, leader of Syriza, is first minister from Greece. Now the objective according to The Wall Street Journal is in avoiding that the success of Syriza extends for Europe. The best form of getting it is to demonstrate that Syriza cannot take out Greece of the crisis. 

It is evident that this it is the first problem that today faces the politics and the economy of the euro, and it is it because it is impossible that Syriza can sustain Greece under the economic conditions in that he is, it is not a banal promise the one that Alexis Tsipras promises in its campaign that its government would not pay the Greek debt maybe the Greeks they believed that they were before a charismatic leader that had a solution to finish with the social breathlessness of the Greeks, but it is not he doesn't have this way any ace in the sleeve but if it is certain that Greece didn't pay its debt, simply because it is IMPOSSIBLE accountably speaking. 

The economic structures of the country are practically nonexistent Greece alone today it can work in a subsidized economy or in one made to their measure with their own currency and totally isolated of the world, this that seems impossible is not it and it is not necessary neither to look a lot to the past neither to look for a situation to which Greece should pass the example of what I want to expose is the Spain’s dictatorship of the general Franco.  

That Spain lives her many totally isolated during but or less the first 25 years of the 40 that I last Spain I want to believe that I am not very more or less as this today Greece without industrial resources, with a destroyed society and poor and with the dislike from all over the world western and "democratic" thing that he became worse fortunately for the similarity that was given to the “franquismo” with the German “Nazism”, Franco he had the great ability not to be allowed to seduce for Hitler and I don't end up being active part from the German invasion to Europe. 

This fact believes that it saved us because little by little and more when the world war concludes, the fact of not having intervened us left open certain doors to economic helps the question is that we are able mainly little by little to create our own one our economy our currency small world to the margin of the rest of Europe they were opened the frontiers the physics and the morals and we begin to be able to negotiate with our European neighbors what allowed to improve our level of life vastly and to create our own "independence" I would say because in fact we never arrive to be considered completely as European and almost he would say that not even like integral part of Europe memory that was said that Europe finished in the Pyrenees in that time we were behind.  

Well this whole history believes that it should expose it because I fear myself that now Greece will have to go by this stage, Greece is not able to neither he will be able to pay its current debt with Europe although wants and what is also useless is that Europe determines to continue facilitating credits so that the debt leaves making bigger every day and arrived to this point I want to make stress in the opinion of The Wall Street Journal.  According to the American publication, if the Eurozone wants to avoid that the peak of the parties 'radicals' he extends, he should put under an obligation to Greece to continue with the leaf of conventional route with the Government of the salient Antonis Samaras, or to that the country leaves the euro, and I add of the group of the UE.  

Greece will have to manage during some how many totally alone decades, evidently the UE is not able to in no way neither to forgive him the debt, neither to force her to pay it simply has to absorb it the UE he has to imagine that an enormous mare moto you whole Greece has swallowed and it has disappeared of the map of Europe, Greece no longer exists debt it no longer exists in its place there is a new country with a form of life different with an own currency that they use to be paid the works and services that are made among them to each other but that it doesn't serve more than for them so that they can reconstruct a country again until its own development allows them to have an economy able to be able to leave to the exterior  

This situation repeats it is not new we live her the Spaniards, they lived her the Soviet socialist republics, the Chinese has lived her, they live her in America Latin numerous countries I am not inventing anything single intent to explain how is necessary to solve the Greek problem before this problem puts an end to the whole UE, included euro. And with the debt that we make you will tell me they look at the alone Greek debt it is a problem because those worthy of the same one want to charge it but in the moment that takes conscience that it is impossible to make it he stopped to be a problem and the economies of the UE will absorb it will perfectly simply be necessary to put the machine of manufacturing Eurus another time in march and car to pay us to each one the debt part that we had. 

The problem that is causing the Greek debt is that today it is distributed among all the countries of the area euro and in some banks, but he doesn't stop to be in the bottom a ridicule compared with the GDP of the euro area but today nobody he wants to stop to charge it because and this it is the problem nobody he wants to give up and this is because or they give up all or nobody doesn't give up this it is that simple. But to insist in the impossible thing can be behind the end of the UE of the euro and the turn to the Europe of the faced nations some with the other ones being given the blame of that happened. And with the risk of returning to historical episodes that nobody wants to revive.  

You cannot charge the Greek debt but one cannot give any concession to Tsipras and Greece because this will be seen as a victory that will impel the support to “Podemos” in Spain. And to other extreme parties in Italy in France in Germany etc. etc. For it, you cannot reach any agreement between Europe and Greece because to admit that there is an economic exit it is impossible neither for payment of the debt neither to facilitate him more credit it should be acted making him abandon the UE drastically and of course the euro is already enough favor to liberate the Greeks of the hindrance of its debt.  

For that reason, I believe that for the interest of both it should be demanded that Greece leaves the euro and be isolated before to reach agreements that Tsipras considers interesting, since that would impel the support to other debtors and extremist political organizations and it would put in risk the recovery of the UE, and I am not me the one that you see it likewise sees it in the same way a source familiarized with the topic of The Wall Street Journal. 

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