viernes, 4 de diciembre de 2015

SOMETHING BEGAN NEW IN SPAIN, WE WON’T KNOW IT UP TO THE 20-D


It seems that in these elections we will discover the new technologies of the information, but don't get scared they won't be to vote more comfortably from your house sat down in front of your computer it won't be so that they still bother you more the watchwords and the atrocities that we received for the ethereal means of the internet. But this time we will also begin to prove that such this goes of being able to choose more than two political parties (although non options that alone they will be three) The peak of new political options in a Spain of tradition two-party has already generated among the voters an indecision and new restlessness before some general elections in those that we don't know if we will have more options or the same ones, but with more alliances. 

In principle everything points to that will be four political parties those that headed the possible change: Popular Party, Party Socialist Spanish Worker, Citizens and We Can all these they struggle for a number record of undecided voters, more than 20 percent that want to vote December 20, but that they don't still know for who. Those doubts transform the campaign into the most decisive in decades, being overturned the candidates in arriving to an unhappy citizenship with their leaders, for the corruption and the deep social cuttings of the last four years. 

Anyway, always in all the elections they finish being the undecided ones those that decide the final composition of a Parliament heading to pacts and without majorities in the one that, as he announces the poll pre electoral of the CIS, the voted force it would be the PP, continued closely by PSOE and Citizens (almost tied) and to something more than distance for we Can. This would mean that we continue having a Spain of right to the one that will simply have been removed rams of the claws, but nothing else everything will continue equally.
 
Centering the campaign in their experience in administration and in the economy, the PP seeks to recover those who shuffle to opt for Citizens - the emergent option whose ideology is more similar to that of the conservative party - today it is heard many complain more or less I have voted this way "Always PP but they have already gotten worked up, with so much unemployment and so much shameless while to me they have descended the gone up salary me the expense in pharmacy and what is worse my son doesn't have work ", so because not to prove with Citizens that I won't have a total overturn with them but maybe be more resolved. I believe that it is the argument for many Spaniards to vote rights wanting to be something more modern.
 
This way today, a fifth part of the 10 million that they gave the PP most absolute in 2011 he doesn't have it clear, not even those bigger than 65 years, traditionally conservative and that today they are counted among the most doubtful, I suppose that besides doubtful afraid because they have seen that the PP is wearing out its future pensions. The mobilization of this vote charges more importance if one keeps in mind that the census of bigger than 55 years - those that more participates are those that more opts for PP-PSOE - it has grown in almost a million people, while the one of smaller than 34 - more you tune to the new parties - he/she has decreased in a million from 2011.

If the PP is not able to mobilize to that electoral base of more than 65 years that are its nucleus of voters, that will benefit to the other ones and its collapse would be superior to the one foreseen, but also among another decisive sector, that of the youngest, the indecision is plentiful. It is in this niche in which the new formations seem to wake up more sympathies for the desires of change. The voters that today is between 30 and 35 years voted in 2004, to the little of completing the 18, to toss to the PP. Then all were disappointed with the crisis that I organize the PSOE and they have not voted more, they don't find politicians believable. What has spent in the last years, and with the attitude so stroppy and full with grafts and public swindles of the PP he makes that all this quantity of voters is as unarmed because they don't have clearing seen the lived experience that they will make neither those some neither the other ones so there the nucleus is of We Can, they are the only ones that it seems that they have new proposals completely. 

And a battle field is us it nails it will be given in the ideological center, where three of each 10 of the undecided ones are located, being the smallest doubts among the voters that are said of left, according to data of the Center of Sociological Investigations (CIS). With the hope of clawing votes in both addresses and after charging force soon after the good result in Catalonia, Citizens are placed in that center with a regeneration speech after a plagued legislature of corruption among the old parties. 

The PSOE, the party for which more sympathy feels the Spaniards - according to the CIS - but that more votes can lose before we Can and Citizens, it will try to be presented as the only one with capacity of tossing from The Moncloa to Mariano Rajoy, the valued worse president of the history of the democracy. Since the vote of last hour is key in atmospheres of uncertainty like the current one, a hard campaign is expected in the one that PP and PSOE try more than making ugly the emergent leaders' behaviors with little political experience that not to be attacked among them like he has come being habitual. 


But all this is summarized like he said in three possibilities for four parties the right with PP and citizens the socialists with the PSOE and the change toward it is not known where that offers We Can. The fourth party citizens until he could decide the if he wants the continuity of the right of the PP or that of the PSOE because undoubtedly civic so already supports definitively the PSOE this party he would stop to be of left. The solution as always in the urns December 20   

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