jueves, 19 de noviembre de 2015

THE ECONOMY OF ELECTIONS GO VERY WELL, BUT THAT IT HAPPENS WITH THAT OF TRUTH


In moments already of electoral campaign in alone Spain lacked us the unfortunate excuse of the attack of Paris, we are losing a beautiful time because while this lamentable fact this "alive" one seems that the general elections have been delayed and it is not we are this way exactly to one month and there are not filtrations of electoral programs, maybe they wait at the strictly marked times for the electoral campaign but it misses me. 

I find it that in the bottom the elections are already made and it won't vary in anything the program of government from Spain because it is more and more undoubtedly for many political parties that are presented at the end in a way or another alone one was always the bipartisanship and I venture to but it will continue governing four years more the right this time that if represented that is to say by two parties the one and the OLD PP, the other the new PP C's (citizens). 

To the government they are coming him from face until the unfortunate events caused by the terrorism Yihadista that if a Russian airplane that if a massacre in France that a declaration of war accompanied by a period of exception in the French government, sprinkled Belgium of being barracks of the terrorism Great Britain that threatens to stop to belong to the UE Germany that doesn't know how to cover their shame industrial thank you VW, deficits opening to France that they took advantage of all the other etc.… we go like to Fernando VII. 

But the real economy the one that really moves the country that of the companies and the families this he doesn't have exit neither he has slips that there is a change of expansible cycle in Spain the internal markets they continue equally stagnated completely without economic reactivation some. For the companies and Spanish families, to contract a credit was more than simple in the first years of the XXI century, but now it seems that to reduce the debt is an impossible challenge. The first ones practically triplicated their debt between 2001 and 2009, when they ended up overcoming the 1,27 trillion Eurus, according to the data of the Bank of Spain, (damned decade) the same step with the demography Spain step of 41 million to 47 million inhabitants in that decade when their growth half era of 1,6 million for decade put to grow the we made in everything and bad. 

For the families, the process has been similar since in 2001, its passive one ascended to 324.550 million Eurus and at the end of 2008, the figure already overcame the 908.000 million Eurus. That is to say, in less than eight years, their indebtedness had grown 180%, marking a new historical record. But if to reach those records was not difficult, yes it is being it to move away from them. Since he played roof the debt of companies and families, in 2009 and 2008, respectively, both communities have hardly been able to reduce it in 24%. 

In six years of you give leverage, the companies have hardly been able to return at the level that they registered by the middle of 2005, after reducing their debt 27% from the record of 2009. The 926.240 million registered Eurus in September continue overcoming 90% of the GDP, a level that the experts still continue considering excessively high and that makes that he becomes worse the little credit flow on the part of the Spanish banks to their own market this takes to the paradox that the banks don't trust of many companies and these in turn don't want to request credits to the banks because they should reduce their debt. 

On the other hand, for the families that began the process of you give indebtedness before some months, at the end of 2008, it is being also expensive since in almost seven years the debt has hardly decreased 20%. The 728.581 million Eurus that it marks the statistic of September of the Bank of Spain are a similar level to which registered in July of 2006. That is to say, what they took hardly two years in ascending, is taking more three times in reducing. 

The debt continues choking to families and companies: they take 6 years to only lower it 24% and this in turn chokes the real growth of the domestic economy, Spain it doesn't leave their crisis another thing it is that the numbers of the state thanks to their juggling and their environment that it favors them vastly with a petroleum for the floors and with a sovereign debt that has even arrived to negative positions more the breathlessness of the autonomies that they cannot fulfill their social costs but that this doesn't count when presenting the bills to Brussels where Spain presents some data that mask all that really passes in the Spanish territory.  

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