lunes, 5 de noviembre de 2012

BEFORE THE CONVOCATION OF GENERAL IT IS NECESSARY TO UNDERSTAND THE BECAUSE OF THE UNEMPLOYMENT IN SPAIN


The government from Spain the Spanish unions the UE and the one who he wants to open the eyes on the irresoluble problem of the unemployment in Spain. The situation of the unemployment of Spain is anti labor recurrent anti and he doesn't have paragon in the history, you cannot continue hiding the situation, because of maintaining the theory that the politicians, and unions adduce, that it is the economic crisis it is the causing of the Spanish unemployment, he won't be able to never get ready. The economic crisis if he/she has an incidence in the sense that for their cause you the economic structure on that the growth des controlled of Spain was based collapses.  

To demonstrate my theory and that my readers see it graphically, I have made the graph that is shown next. In this graph one can observe that our half level of in agreement unemployment with the Spanish economy framed in a poor country and be industrialized, it is in a fringe of between the 10 and 20 percent according to the data accumulated from 1980, so the thing that first it jumps visible, it is that these figures so outside of the European stocking are the normal ones in our country, this behavior line presents an inferior tip concretely to 10% 8% among the triennium 2004/2007 that it was really the triennium of gold of the Spanish economy.  

In this point another important variable converges to understand the current situation, if they look at the superior lines of the graph they will be reflected the demographic evolution in Spain in the same periods, in this graph it is represented with two lines a green one that is the process we could call of natural growth, and another in red that is the consequence of an increase forced by the limitless demographic growth caused by the desire of wealth of the Spanish economy.  

At this time we show off of being 47 million Spaniards, when the logical thing had been to be 42 millions, the jump in demography happens in the first decade of this century and it is brutal, the two previous decades that is to say the 80 and the 90 you grew to rhythm of 1, 8 million inhabitants per decade and in the decade 2000/2010 you grew in 5, 9 millions, take out yourselves its conclusions. This growth was not for the vivacity of the Spaniards but for the immigration conduction to satisfy the madness of the industry of the construction, something similar to that he made Egypt in the times of the Pharaohs with the Jews, with the advantage that they had Moses that I take them to him.   

It is not laugh thing the current situation of the Spanish unemployment, this it is not only direct cause of the European economic stop, if it doesn't cause of the artificial imbalance of two concepts. A. - The terrible planning of the industrial development of Spain that I base their growth on the construction des controlled, and B. - The demographic imbalance that I cause. And that now no matter how much we want, we won't end up growing enough to absorb so much manpower as we have. If in these moments in Spain has a logical population of 42 million inhabitants, the unemployment would possibly be being about 15% it calculates that it would maintain us inside the Spanish structural" "normality and with the hope of the exit of the global crisis locates it in the margins of 10/12%.  

I say that of the structural normality, because the curve of the reflective Spanish unemployment with accuracy the historical moments, it ascends in the periods of the crisis of the 80, it lowers in the moment of the entrance in the European community 1986 and until the celebration of the Olympiads in Barcelona, passing the euphoria ascends another time until almost 19% in 1994 for the stop that suffered the Spanish economy after the games, and the projects of infrastructures carried out by Felipe González socialists, it begins again to get off the hand of the political change carried out by the PP of Aznar that lunatic became privatizing almost everything and with his fabulous law of the floor that opened the general disorder, although surprisingly the lowest tip happens to Zapatero's socialist government that coincident with the Bum of the construction, and from this moment until today the total debacle, like they come almost everything he has explanation 

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