TODAY WE VOTE FOR CATALONIA AND FOR SPAIN TO THE SAME TIME

 

When a mature society and with an identity very well defined he goes to the urns in some elections that can open the one on the way to the independence, that idea it is being questioned by a series of reports on the economic repercussions of a separation of Spain, (that is the fifth economy of Europe, although referred alone in quantity, not in GDP / capita). Most of these reports are tendentious and possibly so much there are them in one or another side of the interested ones. 

 

This takes to confusions among the denominated society but Spanish that naturally it doesn't move him the sensibility national Catalan, and the own companies are also reluctant to discuss in public that question, but many directive say in private that they are very concerned for the risk that Catalonia can it turns forced to abandon the UE, although only outside a time. 

 

A number every time bigger than the 7,5 million residents in Catalonia he wants to separate Spain, a feeling that he has gone growing as the recession was deepened and the frustration increased with a fiscal structure by virtue of which Catalonia pays a dear figure of 16.000 million more Eurus to Madrid of what receives to change. The regional elections of this Sunday probably hurtle as winner to the party conservative Convergence i it United whose leader, Artur Mas that has promised to make a popular consultation about the independence. 

 

Another problem is related with the size of the current debt of Spain and of the region, and how and how much more it can cost to the banks and the Catalan signatures to find financing outside of the area euro". The economists are participating in a war of statistical", Pere Puig Bastard said, economist in the school of business ESADE. "From an economic point of view, it is impossible to establish the impact of for how long we would live in a legal limbo, and it is a bad moment to be looking for investments" this is not that the everything, because the one that Catalonia is hypothetically outside of the area euro, that doesn't mean that this outside of the euro and that the markets didn't want to finance Catalan debt.  

 

Ramón Tremosa, member of CiU in the European Parliament, says that the figures and the quality and exporters' of the region recognition would allow him to put on at the level of some of the richest areas in Europe and to fight better with the debt crisis and with the recession of the one that Spain is having difficulties to leave "A new Catalan state would also force the bureaucrats from Madrid work on the matter" again. After five years of crisis, Spain doesn't have an exit strategy and he doesn't have idea of how to leave", Tremosa said. 

 

Who plead for the independence they say that if Catalonia, (that represents a fifth part of the Spanish economy) it was robbed of the fiscal weight of belonging to Spain, it could invest in their own infrastructures and to impel the production. But first he would have to make in front of their insolvency. Without funds after spending in excess to the help of a boom of the construction that lasted one decade, But he had to request A help to the central Government of 5.000 million Eurus at the beginning of year, and possibly the problem in 2013 it is seemed because even in the supposition of starting a segregation process will have coexistence during more than one year I think. 

 

Catalonia would also have to assume its own part of a national debt that could ascend to 85.000 million Eurus this year. But this approach and stanchion maintain it Spanish economists leaving aside the legal debts that Spain has with Catalonia and that for the current situation the government the freedom is allowed of not paying and point, this in a negotiation of independence one would keep in mind without doubting it. 

 

If all these problems and incognito that they are without solving, if are well directed in the moment in that takes place an eventual referendum, and quantified they will seem quite less demoralizing if it exists the guarantee that an express entrance will take place to the UE after the independence. However, according to the norms of the European Union, a divided republic would have to cross a process potentially long of requesting the adhesion to the block, and the concern of the Catalan of on foot and of the companies it is palpable. Nevertheless I repeat a thing it is not to belong from right to the euro area and another very different one to be outside of the economy and the European trade and of the euro. 

 

"Of what they are concerned the big signatures are not for the independence. It is the process, the transition, what they worry about", said Jordi Pujol that he was president from Catalonia from 1980 to 2003 and it is one of the founders of CiU. This is the reality and here the great dilemma is because Catalonia has repeated it for active and for passive all that one has to be made will make in the mark of the law, and this what it is what it is necessary to make, it can be very long because I fear myself that it will be torpedoed an and another time by Spain.

 

This situation is the danger with which we will be if the elections give via free toward beginning the process of reaffirmation of a Catalan state, but we should be optimistic because I believe that so much damage will make the indecision or I torpedo from a definitive solution to Catalonia like the Spanish state. In definitive today we vote for Catalonia and for Spain.