THE CEOE CONFIRMS ITS FEAR TO STAY INS CATALUNYA THREATENING UNTIL WITH THE USE OF THE ARMY

A study of the Institute of Economic Studies, think tank of the CEOE, elaborated by the professor of economic analysis of the UAB, Clemente Pole, legitimates the resource to the Army in the event of an unilateral secession of Catalonia and it risks that you unlawfully to the parties that supported her, would be imprisoned its leaders and the Parlament would close, something similar to what has made Russia with Crimea but the other way around. The document concludes that the aspirations of independence of Catalonia arrive late 350 years to be recognized by the international opinion. 

The author concludes that it is more probable" than the Govern and the Parlament they end up declaring the independence unilaterally that to sustain that the Spanish Government would accept the secession. He adds that, "miscarried the secession, imprisoned their leaders and unlawfully the political parties that supported her, would open up a transitory period during which the Statute would be in flunk and the transferred competitions would return at the hands of the Government". Why it considers that it is this last one the most probable scenario. Not alone because Rajoy, as Lincoln in 1861, swore solemnly to keep and to make keep the Constitution and it has reiterated that commitment in multitude of occasions, but because "powerful economic" reasons exist so that the State adopts the necessary measures to impede the secession of Catalonia", it aims Pole. 

In this line, it defends that the Spanish Constitution, the same as that of USA, expected the intervention of the Armed forces to guarantee the territorial integrity, and he adds: "in the event of armed insurrection, the Spanish Government would have to adopt the necessary measures to suppress the rising, I eat it already happened in the “Second Republic". Also, he underlines that "the international legality endorses therefore to the Spanish State to adopt the necessary measures that guarantee its territorial" integrity. God of the sky in that century the Spanish oligarchy lives this gentleman at least in the XIX century. This is so truth that is reflected in the economic structure - managerial Spanish that doesn't work they don't make companies they don't foment work they are some USELESS to the workers' coast and the society. 

The president of the CEOE, Juan Rosell, comes out today to moderate its partners in an interview in (TV 3) but he is not able to it is stronger the fear that the shame maintains this way that there are many incognito still for awake, and he has noticed of some of the economic risks that it would bear the secession, which were denounced in its 'think tank', for the Institute of Economic Studies (IEE). These risks would already derive of some of the consequences noticed by the own Spanish Government and for the UE, as the exit of the euro or of the European institutions, and they would be translated, in the financial sector, in the closing of the faucet on the part of the BCE of the necessary liquidity that now enjoy the Catalan banks as CaixaBank or the Sabadell. 

This is not this way and they know it today the Caixa and the Sabadell they are installed in numerous national and international squares and their active deposits and credits are so many that their possible one bankrupt economic one would cause it authenticates debacle to European companies and Spaniards it would sink the economy of people's thousands so in Spain leaves you of foolishness the BCE would give credo and Eurus in the face of the possibility of a disaster of such a span another thing it is that doesn't form Catalonia it leaves during a time of the group of countries of the euro but he would not stop to operate with the BCE neither with the euro, they would be as the Andorran banks to give a near example.  

In this interview, Rosell has wanted to disassociate of the political debate on the consultation or envelope the eventual independence of Catalonia and it has been limited to point out that the companies are not to make political and therefore the managers are not nobody" to say "what it is necessary to make from the political" point of view. But the responsible for the employer one has wanted to differentiate the political debate of the technical debate, of the economic and managerial implications of the secession. Rosell has discarded to harden the speech against the process sovereignty of Catalonia "a thing it is political and another is economic" things. 

In this sense, Rosell has defended the presented report of its employer one this Thursday in the Equestrian Circle of Barcelona in which ventures that, in the event of independence, the exports to the rest of the State would fall near 50%, the financial entities with headquarters in Barcelona would change headquarters, the cousin of risk would ascend, the cost of financing of the companies also, financial assets would leave and one gives they would locate companies.  

My mother where Mr. Rosell that punishes with the good thing is that it seemed to be when it was in Barcelona, Mr. Rosell in the current situation is Catalonia the one that is creating but more employment of Spain, it is exporting more than all Spain joins, he receives 16.2% of the international investments that arrive in Spain, although it is less 4 times in global quantity that Madrid, doesn't reflect the reality because in this comparative percentage the financial investments are included and clearing is, in Spain the financial structure is centered in Madrid, but when we look at the investment in having immobilized material and employment, it is that Madrid and Catalonia are equaled practically 

Anyway, the president of the Institute of Economic Studies and president of the commission of economy of the employer CEOE, José Luis Feito, omened that it would be given a "hyperinflation" and a massive flight of capitals the same day in that Catalonia announced its independence, absurd theory if this has to happen it would not be at the 24 hours it would already be happening now, just in case, and however the foreign investments increase, the only thing certain it is that you Sr Feito has admitted that the costs for the rest of Spain would be "enormous" and I tell him that so enormous that Spain would run the risk of it turns forced to leave the euro or being rescued by the UE.  

A retired manager of the auxiliary sector of the auto motion has questioned the vision of Feito and it has concluded that the interests in game are too important so that there are not movements of last hour that impede the rupture between Spain and Catalonia, and this it has concluded that the own UE would also make the impossible thing to avoid the independence uncontrolled of Catalonia, among other aspects, because the Germans maybe fear not to be able to charge their debts". He doesn't miss reason the manager Sirs they don't worry. of the CEOE when it arrives the moment that Spain doesn't want to go to negotiate with Catalonia on an exit wiz out consensus to this situation it will be the UE and not the Spanish army the one that will intervene.