miércoles, 9 de abril de 2014

THE DEBT AND THE DEFICIT ARE NOT THE PROBLEM, THEY ARE THE CONSEQUENCES



I want insist today on the geopolitical situation of Europe again, of the economy, and of the western culture, because I continue seeing to our very pending world and confused by the financial economic imbalances and we continue forgetting that we are amid a changing world and convulse that I don't know very well because, it seems that the western directing class in general determines not to want to see, I don't know if it is for not accepting it for that that "eyes that don’t see heart that doesn't suffer" don't come or it is that it is they impossible to understand it and if this continues we have this way the counted years. 

The whole blame of the bad situation of the economy of the euro, it is guiding to the excessive expense on the part of the states and their societies, that is to say to all us my dear readers, but I think that this interpretation is very comfortable and simple. The fall of the economy is not exclusive to attribute it to the waste this is an incongruity, because we think, in the partner's economy classic norms: if the consumption is exaggerated, that is to say if we have lived above our possibilities, what appears is the inflation, because a bolted consumption has for rule general to originate the excess of liquidity in hands of the society, what is not logical, is that it is squandered and don't have inflation and the economy stops that the companies stay without work and that the consumption falls brutally in all the environments.  

Flatly I don't accept like main cause of the economic imbalance of Europe that is the expense the causing one. The reality that they don't want to see, the politicians and European governments, it is that the crisis is due to the geopolitical circumstances that are convulsing the world, these they are the true causes of the imbalance in the bills of the European countries, and I eat consequence of the euro area and not alone it affects to the continental europa, but rather it has affected to the USA, I eat I have already expressed in fact in other articles they affect to the whole western society. 

The one that the sovereign debts, and the deficits of all the countries has been shot, is consequence that to the strong consumption rhythm (public and private) maintained by the European and western economy, he united the cutting of the flow of economic revenues for the road of the commercialization of manufactured goods, being unbalanced by it the commercial scales in the countries, having to appeal to the debt to be sustained, and this produced the deficit increase, because this imbalance effect between costs and revenues produces the fiscal deficit which should cover you with sovereign debt and we already have the infernal wheel.  

To this it is necessary to add that when it happens or leave to come this situation, they are carried out less strategic and speculative investments on the part of investors and external capitals, also helped because other opportunities have been born in other geographical destinations where to invest with but profitability and without competition, less contracts and industrial orders also take place for the same reason, also add the increment in Europe of the demography for the immigration without control, but perfectly planned by the societies interested in obtaining two objectives, one to maintain their problems of labor and social integration the far away possible, and in many cases, to establish destabilization movements against the coexistence and western culture. 

The things have taken place this way a considerable contraction of the capacity of revenues and an amplification of the necessity of the general and social expense, and that it has also been superimposed to the normal one that was established for the European society, all the governments have had to increase their social expenses, at the same time that they tried to maintain the expenses of the public and private consumption characteristic of the economic level of their societies. The bill evidently soon has given negative results, and the state deficits they have been shot, consequently it was appealed to the debt emission to maintain this situation and you arrives this way to the catastrophic current reality. 

Now Europe seeks to rectify the situation, attacking what is not the main cause of the damage but the consequence, that is to say clipping the deficit with the help of clipping the expenses, but this not alone he results in the discount and the deterioration of the level of stability of the society, and it is that it also is not good to put the things in its place. Alone acting on the cause that causes this deterioration, the capacity of generating resources, will be gotten that the level of economic stability is balanced again that allows to maintain the social status that the European society has perfectly livestock to pulse, for history, for sufferings, and for firmness. 

Our politicians and ruling, they cannot be so blind or to be so comfortable in their idyllic world, and to let that the society loses conditions of life that escape toward other addresses and latitudes, day by day without they put on the means and the appropriate solutions so that the ascent of other societies, don't represent the recession inevitably of ours. I insist in the necessity of the reactivation of the production in Europe, if it is necessary to blow of treaties and laws anti delocalization and benefits to the repatriation of companies and productions give to locate for some years to this part and of indispensable demographic regulation. 

And it is that the question that I outline has not finished neither it finished for the fact that europa reduces its sovereign debts and deficits and elevate the conditions of security before the financial markets, we should understand that the non alone "competition" insured is already but rather other problems are presented in the world geopolitical horizon, to those that I would claim to proceed to a strategic and preventive pursuit from already. I want to expose the following theory: I consider secured but still in growth the market and the economy of the end guides standing out above them to China, Japan, and the India.  In the face of this reality that is the one that has caused the des adjust of the European and western economy, it is necessary to find the economic balance between both blocks if we want that it returns the social normality and in way of western life at the levels reached in the XX century. 

But it is already necessary to go further on, because or a lot I make a mistake or the first half of the XXI century will be the one that to see the change of the Islamic world, this great world portion that he hugs a philosophy of life based on a religion very hard and aggressive in front of other monotheistic religions mainly, it has remained enslaved somehow totally by its own social and religious structures both absolutists today the whole Islamism it is revolutionizing for the east a rich Islamism he is born for the petroleum that seems to want to stay calm in front of its client buyer of its wealth but the element dissonant that is Iran which already mixes its oil wealth with its imperial ambition has already been born we remember that we are I relent of Persia that was one of the humanity's first empires. 

And more near our europa almost integrated physically among us this Turkey another empire to horse of the Islam and the western but lay culture but that now this doubting among what road to take because he knows that it will be the very difficult to be European and if he/she falls asleep it finished being "Persian" and this drawing, conditions the whole rest of the Arab or Islamic world as they want and that he should worry and a lot, because great part of him, we have it to very few kilometers of distance so few that in some point that can leave so alone swimming, I refer to the Maghreb and its call erroneously democratic spring, neither it is spring neither it is democratic it is simply the change to prepare the expansion of we will already see what and who or of the Turks or of the ayatollahs, but this is simply question of time and some that another war waits that among them first. 

What I mean with all this is that while we are wearing away among how to fix the debts and the deficits between declarations like that of the chancellor Merkel in the sense that no country should assume the debt of another country, other countries, they are preparing the road to form another front that I want to believe alone economic in front of our poor economy and if we continue this way discussing without deciding anything and to all this we have Russia that this being begun to move for the patio of to the side, me like it finished all this I cannot guess it neither I will see it, but maybe he should be happy just in case of it. 

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