The Spanish
economy won't recover until in ten years, according to BBVA, a great news
apparently for the bank, since this situation makes them think that it is not
so terrible but rather he calls to take advantage of this time to bolster a new
model based on better human capital, flexible wages and bigger companies,
apparently the crisis of all the values that harasses us to the Spaniards,
thanks to our useless ones political and their parallel organizations that take
advantage of them, can be a blessing of the gods.
The Service of
Studies of BBVA, (one of the gods) he believes that the recovery of the Spanish
economy will take at least one decade and he notices that the later evolution
will depend of how the exit of the crisis is negotiated. For it, it considers
that the current "crossroad" and the time that it is for before they
should be good to sit down the bases of a "balanced long term growth,
solid and inclusive", and it outlines as objective to converge with USA
and the main countries of the UE in rent per capita, frankly it irritates and a
lot to read these things, because to one it assaults him the certainty that the
capital and the Spanish right, believe strongly that the Spaniards are silly
completely.
The cynicism
that overflows in these comments of the studious bankers, is it doesn't already
unite illusion so that we are quiet, but rather it touches the insult but
abrupt toward the society, let us say that more or less it is the same thing
that if they wanted sell another time some new ones again "preferents".
As it aims the report of the own bank, the 'gap' that Spain crawls in rent per
capita with these reference countries it oscillates between 20% and 40%, with
these margins they hear I also guess right it is a shame they don't have
neither he devises of what they say or it is 20% or 40% we are comparing
figures that are twice as much one of the other one that is to say that put to
guess success likewise me
In the bottom
if we catch their own figures we can rectify their initial objective of needing
one decade to correct the current economic situation and to move her to two
decades as it is to dry a desfase of the "gap" of 20% or of 40%, I
already tell them without so much bank that the current gap between the Spanish
social economy and the American or that of the euro area of the north, is of
40%. AND it is explained, among other things, for the high unemployment (more
than 100% in percentage that in Germany and almost of 200% with the USA),
derived of a work market that works substantially worse than in other countries,
an active population with smaller human capital and also for a smaller
technological capital, inheritance of an expense in I+D has more than enough
GDP that is located around 70% below that of USA or the countries of the UE.
It is curious
that the bank doesn't say that the population this inactive one because the
Spanish economy everything is her locked in the arks of the four big banks of
Spain, the BBVA, the Santander, La Caixa and Bankia and it is not that is to
say for the work market for the small and medium manager that attempts it but
that it cannot be left the lack of national economic resources that is the it
authenticates it seals of Spain, here it is not that the labor market should
improve, it is that it should build. The labor market is the ham of the
sandwich, on one hand the companies and for the other side the consumers and in
Spain there is not neither companies neither managers, neither of course
consumption, so the Spanish ham is 24.5% of unemployed.
It doesn't
finish the clairvoyance of the social economic technicians of the entity that
estimates here that in the current circumstances, even with a growth of the
near employment to 2% would be necessary 10 years to recover the level of
employment of 2007 remember that in those dates the unemployment in Spain was
systemic and in a level among the 12y 14%. For it urges it to act from an
entire fan of factors that, before or later, they converge in the correction of
certain 'hang-ups' economic and in the impulse of the economic activity.
It bets in
this sense to motivate that the Spanish companies, traditionally small and
micro company, increase of size and incorporate to the international markets.
As it assures, "the big companies are more productive, they have more
capital human, they present smaller impermanence, they invest more in I+D+i and
they export more" but that shame forgets to say the most important thing
that is that the big Spanish companies are today those “THAT MORE SAY GOODBYE
TO”. Because in Spain there are not big companies there are big monopolies
public semi that alone they live off picking up rates and taxes but that they
don't have any product that provides added value, and this it is the true
problem, certainly the solution should be harder and but directed to this
parasitic national economy that not to the market economy
To achieve
this increase of the half size of the Spanish company, BBVA Research claims to
eliminate multiple legal, financial and fiscal barriers. Certain but this are
impossible if the Spanish economy should pay debts above its GDP that is the
situation in that we will be at the end of 2014. Next, he also remembers that
the increase of the competition in the markets of goods and services the work
demand increases for any level of wages. If but it doesn't increase the
productivity neither the GDP, because the services are not "sold"
they are “make” and you gets paid for it, and once carried out it is not
anything.
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