domingo, 7 de febrero de 2016

AT THE MOMENT EVERYTHING GOES OF BAD IN WORSE


The growth economic World cup will be "disappointing" next year, the directress manager of the International Monetary Fund said months ago in a tribune for the German newspaper Handelsblatt. "In many countries, the financial sector still has weaknesses and in the emergent markets the financial risks are increasing. All that means that the world growth will be disappointing and unequal in the 2016", today seems so obvious this prediction that frankly I don't believe that we need any directress or general director of the IMF to tell us what is already here .

The certain thing nevertheless is that he was right, in 2016 they can fall Greece definitively Spain and Italy and I not eat the Euro, because as all we know the USA they have already decided finally to put the things in their place and they will get paid to lend money that is what plays, it is curious because of this Lagarde doesn't speak, it will be because like she lives in it USES she already goes well her. the causes of the possible falls of many economies in 2016 are very obvious the debts of all the countries will be increased this way by the good ones among 120 to 200 basis points the first ones 100 for the increase of the price of the money that the FED will impose and the second quantity will depend on the trust of the markets to that, after first ascent, understand that some country cannot pay its debt at the second or third. 

Because it is evident that the drop productivity, the population's aging and the effects of the world financial crisis, they continue braking the growth, and certainly anything will change the world to solve these problems but just the opposite the first problem is the inaction of Europe that was accentuated with the disaster of the immigration without control that is strained by all the frontiers of Europe that that if we connect it with the population's European original aging we will see that the labor occupation will be for the much younger immigrants and that they worked for less than the half that the Europeans. 

Evidently this that could seem that the competitiveness of the European production increased is not this way because so that there is competitiveness he has to have production and so that there is production he has to have consumption and so that there is consumption he has to have consumers and with the salaries that approach little consumption there will be and we all know that Europe is so more import than exporter we have everything in against we will care more expensive (for the dollar) and we will export cheaper (for the Euro) the combination is the perfect so that many European countries they think about the suspension of payments, the exit of the euro and the closing of opposite. 

If besides the economic aspects, we notice the political aspects the disaster is it already total the Balkan ones putting decoration of wire of kitchen knives in their frontiers the countries of the German influence will take advantage of the possibility to pay low salaries while they have possibility to take place with this they will be able to lower export prices the problem it will be where they will export? Because the ascent of the alone dollar will benefit to the USA and the economies in march as China and the whole market Asia Pacific the problem is that these markets today they are more producing than consumers.
 
And then that we make, because I believe that we arrive late as always to all, because the only world economic space that will be to reconstruct, will be the area of the half East and the Africa of the North, because the center and the south is already in hands of the market and the influence China. But as we make it because the wars of these places are making them the Russian and the USA while Europe looks ourselves at it terrified and we pick up them the waste that are taken out of above, when these wars finish that they will make it soon who believe you that will reconstruct their economies not certainly Europe. 


And us the Catalan and the Spaniards are throwing ourselves of the hair because we don't understand each other with our politics he gives laugh before the reality and world perspectives what happens to us to the Spaniards and the Catalan he doesn't have any importance maybe it would be even convenient that adds us to the south bank of the Mediterranean to see if we are lucky and the Americans help us again as they made it in the later dictatorship to the Spanish civil war because it is very undoubtedly the Spanish economy the country it cannot be left it is with an unemployment of 21%, the debt in a trillion Eurus and the GDP is not seen any improvement for years this is this way and among so much neither we have politics neither political the perspective is like to begin to tremble.  

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