lunes, 8 de febrero de 2016

IT IS NOT PANIC WHAT SHAKES THE MARKETS IT IS THAT WE ARE DYING

It is to me to understand evident that we are not in front of a wonderful situation for an economic crisis or what we call a bubble that has exploited the things doesn't go somewhere around they are much more serious than that in the first place already the hard debacle more than one year and (all the 2015) and in spite of the optimistic forecasts that from the institutions financial IMF BCE and all the central banks of the world concerning that 2016 would be that of the take off in hardly an alone month the world markets fall to the hole without guessing where the floor is. 

Amid this situation they do accumulate too many parameters uncontrolled and is this what leads to the incognito one of what it is what is happening? And my answer is that all that can pass to destroy the bases is happening with which up to now the world economy was governed at the same time. We are without a doubt some in a new and modern shape of making the war there are no longer front lines neither of attack neither of defense the world is the total front, although the most recognizable violence this in the North of Africa, but it is clear that there are other fronts that don't fight also with firearms, but for example with the petroleum that is not unbalancing everybody alone to the world consumer but also to the producer. 

He has ended the damned globalization that is in the bottom the cause of all that happens, they have already broken the flows of the economy that I mean with this because that up to now the economy flowed in a constant address and acquaintance went basically from north to south and of west to the east, these flows you has collapsed thanks to the globalization and now the economy goes and he comes in any address, this takes place that there being in the world more production, more consumption, more people, more necessities, more services, in definitive more than everything, this is not translated more than in a tremendous world jam the money cannot flow for example already from the north to the south or of the east to the west because now already the south or the east is not necessary them they already produce it with its production but the problem is that if this flow intersects the producing world it is also paralyzed because all production needs an end that is not another that the consumption of the same one. 
 
The circuits like he said they have broken because until 15 years ago the money went more or less toward an address and it returned in form of products with what all the parts worked now you collapsed the rich countries they are no longer it and they don't buy and the poor countries now neither are poor and they cannot take place because their products the rich ones don't buy them to him and they must consume them to him themselves and this doesn't produce wealth he simply moves in circle the same internal wealth that takes place but this impish circle is not good to create more wealth it is always the same one. 

So the world has become circles of isolated economies that to be self-sufficient to themselves but that they don't grow more and the worst thing is that in this situation if he is not a reformation of the system economic World cup they don't grow again more he ended it has collapsed the same as the petroleum will end or many animal species extinguished, because he ended its you inhabit natural well because I change natural form or we change it because we consume it us the humanity, in a way or another. 

This is the expressed explanation the simplest thing that you to expose it, the economic circles have closed and its future, is to go dying little by little the oldest they go more quickly and the youngest tolerated a little more, but these can no longer feed to the old circles, they have to keep their resources to survive themselves we can see this way as those producing of petroleum they are ruined little by little not because there is not consumption but because this it doesn't grow. 

And because it doesn't grow is there crisis? No, there is not necessity, new forms of energy new basic products have been created to elaborate plastics, to make other materials, etc. sees this way as Russia one has to sell their big monopolies, as the dollar he tries to ascend of value and he is not able to it continues anchored in its same place, we see as the euro that should devaluate they are not allowed to make it and this is stopping all Europe. And for not extending more we see as China it brakes their GDP., it is not well Chinese, at all this still a little above occident because their interior market is not still saturated.  
 
The area euro needs structural reformations and a bigger integration urgently, so much economic as human the UE should be integrated with Russia to make its bigger and "newer" economic circle, this would give him new life because there is still a lot that to explode in the lands of the east, but we need more consumption and this would give it to us the union of the inhabitants of the UE and of serious Russia also the occasion of modifying the structures of government from Europe. In an article published in the edition of this Monday of the Sueddeutsche titled Zeitung 'Europe in a crossroad', the responsible ones sustained that the European Central Bank (BCE) it is not in position of achieving a long term sustainable growth for the block of 19 countries. 

The BCE has not fulfilled its goal of 2 % inflation in the last three years and it doesn't seem that it can return for a while to that level due to the collapse of the prices of the petroleum and the slack economic growth. Blind men continue it is not that it is that there is not more the one circulates he closed with 19 countries and all are already saturated and to their surroundings there are not more circles unless we believe them among all. "In spite of the fact that the monetary politics has made a lot for the economy of the area euro, it cannot create a sustainable" economic growth, the president of the Bundesbank said, Jens Weidmann, and his homologous of the Bank of France, François Villeroy of Galhau.

The area euro needs a program of structural reformations and a better mark of monetary politics, they highlighted. A minister of Finances for the Eurozone. It is the only thing that they are happened. The idea of a minister of this type was in the table in 2011. In that moment a bigger coordination was needed of political national after the economic crisis that forced to the European Union to take rescues ahead for hundreds of thousands of millions of Eurus for Greece, Ireland and Portugal and in spite of what happened with these countries they didn't realize that what happened was that these countries were draining they no longer created neither they offered anything of interest for the other ones and if you don't sell you don't make money and if you don't make money your economy he stops. 

The current asymmetry between the national sovereignty and the community solidarity generates a danger for the stability of our monetary union, a bigger integration seems to be the obvious form of restoring the trust in the area euro to favor the development of combined strategies for the finances of the countries member and to achieve reformations that promote the growth, the specialists they added before mentioned but it is not the only thing that happens it is this way that to maintain the circles that you/they die they empty other until it happens the same thing. 


At the end the clearest test of what I expose is that the capital hides and he pays for it, the money he knows that it cannot be exposed but it is not necessary more investment because there is not necessity of her so that it is necessary to make new that it cares that it generates wealth new eye that is not the same thing that to become rich that to create wealth doesn't serve as anything that a genius or a company invests in making a more narrow, clearer, bigger television, for example and this company becomes rich it will become rich because he left to other or at two more in the ruin, because it removed them the market, but in having summarized bills the market it will continue being the same one the money it simply changed hands but it was not created, the BCE for that reason the IPC it doesn't go up him.  

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