martes, 23 de febrero de 2016

GERMANY DOESN'T BRAKE ITS FALL A WHILE AGO THE UE THAT HE FELL

The trust managerial German falls for third serial month in February to reach its lower level in more than one year, while the perspectives of the company’s manufacturers not collapse at levels seen from soon after of the crash of Lehman Brothers in 2008. What demonstrates once again that the crisis that began then not alone it has not been overcome, but rather it is in full devastating activity. 
The data of the economic institute IFO, with headquarters in Munich, takes to the euro to minima of three weeks in front of the dollar and it deepens the doubts about the strength of the main European economy that has suffered for the fall of the demand of the emergent markets in Asia and Latin America. That it lowers the euro it is a good news, to see if the Germans understand it once and for all that not the whole UE can support a foreign currency a 20% above its value comparing it with the economy of the dollar.   
Most of the companies are pessimistic before their managerial perspectives for the first time in more than six months, most of German companies expressed restlessness regarding the growth, especially in factories when being known that the results of the IFO confirmed that that in their bills of having been was appreciated already clearly. The index of managerial, followed climate very closely for the investors, he fell at 105,7 in February from the 107,3 the previous month to play their lower level from December of 2014. 
The fall was headed by a descent in the managerial expectations that went down abruptly to 98,8 from 102,3 in January, reflecting the concerns in the German administration advice on the turbulences in the markets and the continuous fall of the emergent markets, in short in China. “Carsten Brzeski of the bank ING” qualified the figures that took for the first time to the euro below the 1,10 dollars in almost three weeks, of call of attention. "The global events finally have reached to the advice of administration of the German" companies he said. 
After knowing the fact, the economist of IFO Klaus Wohlrabe said to Reuters, that the forecast of economic growth of Germany in 2016 carried out last year by the institute at the end of the he needs to be revised to the drop, although it is not still clear how much, but it is clear since the industrial sector German will cross a fall. "In the group of the economy we expect a deceleration", it indicated. In December, the IFO had a forecast that the German economy would grow 1,9 percent this year. In January, the German Government revised to the drop his own forecasts of growth for 2016 to 1,7 percent. 
It is so evident the risk of deceleration of Germany that the government has undertaken a bigger expense public and investments that took to a growth of 0,3 percent of the (GDP) German in the fourth trimester, enough to compensate the weakness of the exports, they showed the presented data, confirming a preliminary presage of growth. 
The Federal Office of Statistics said that the public expense contributed in 0,2 percentage points of the GDP in the period between October and December since the authorities they spent more in helps to refugees. The investments contributed in 0,4 percentage points, while the trade supposed a fall of 0,5 percent and the exports fell 0,6 percent in the fourth trimester. 
It is incredible that the UE stays blind and it moves before the evidences of what is happening it is a continuous setback what they suffer the economies of the Eurozone up to now the fools or the vagrants we were the Mediterranean Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and not alone that, but rather the infection of the insecurity of the economy already extended to France, but I already arrive the monster in Germany. 
There are reasons of course for it the null reaction of the UE in front of exaggerated number of refugees that has assaulted us and it continues coming, although with less force it has ended up unbalancing the budgets of all mainly of Germany that was declared as leader of the welcome of thousands and refugees' thousands in principle, it is evident that such and I eat he had already announced this it has put in I discourage to the German society that he has stopped to spend on one hand fearful because suddenly there is in the country a manpower that is able to work for anything alone for a paper that authorizes them to be in Europe. 

Automatically the companies lose production and they also get scared alone it lacked the case VW, and he also harms a lot of that we are not the Mediterranean poor those that we complain it is that now it is already Great  Britain the one that puts the conditions to continue in the UE because they know that if he doesn't intersect the hemorrhage of social expenses and trust is not given to the reactivation of the industry and with it the economy of the UE is better to escape before to be entangled in the cloth of spider of a charity not well expert.    

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